It’s been a robust March at the box office and it closes out with the wide release of two new offerings: sci-fi action pic Ghost in the Shell with Scarlett Johansson and Dreamworks animated feature The Boss Baby. You can read my detailed prediction posts on each here:
I foresee a close race between the newbies, giving Shell a slight edge. Neither is likely to unseat Disney juggernaut Beauty and the Beast from a third week atop the charts. Power Rangers should drop to fourth in its sophomore frame after a solid opening and I look for it to lose about 50% of its premiere audience. Kong: Skull Island should round out the top five.
Finally, The Zookeeper’s Wife with Jessica Chastain opens on approximately 450 screens at press time. Its reviews have been just so-so (58% currently on Rotten Tomatoes). I didn’t do an individual estimate post for it, but I’ll say $2.1 million, which probably puts it in 11th place.
And with that, my top 5 predictions for the weekend:
1. Beauty and the Beast
Predicted Gross: $48.8 million (representing a drop of 46%)
2. Ghost in the Shell
Predicted Gross: $30.3 million
3. The Boss Baby
Predicted Gross: $28.6 million
4. Power Rangers
Predicted Gross: $20.1 million (representing a drop of 50%)
5. Kong: Skull Island
Predicted Gross: $7.9 million (representing a drop of 46%)
Box Office Results (March 24-26)
Beauty and the Beast continued its amazing run with $90.4 million in weekend #2, besting my $82.5M forecast. The Disney smash achieved the fourth highest second weekend in box office history and brought its total to $319M.
Power Rangers had a sturdy runner-up debut with $40.3 million, powering past my $33.8M projection. That number bodes well for potential sequels in this reboot of a franchise popularized in the 1990s.
Kong: Skull Island was third with $14.6 million compared to my $12.6M prediction. It’s made $133M in three weeks.
Space thriller Life starring Jake Gyllenhaal and Ryan Reynolds opened in fourth with a disappointing $12.5 million, below my $19.1M estimate. A host of similarly themed and better reviewed titles in recent years probably didn’t bode well for this in the long run.
Logan was fifth at $10.3 million (I said $9M) for a $201M tally. Its overall gross puts Logan as standing a solid shot at becoming the highest earning X-Men feature thus far. The record currently belongs to 2006’s X-Men: The Last Stand at $234M.
Get Out was sixth with $8.8 million ($147M total) and I incorrectly had it outside the top 6.
That’s because CHiPs fell victim to poor reviews and word of mouth, opening in seventh place with just $7.7 million (I said $8.4M).
And that’ll do it for now, folks! Until next time…