Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim’s You Can See Everything has done the kind of box office numbers that documentaries simply don’t do unless it is Fahrenheit 9/11 from 22 years ago. The unconventional look at Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes as she prepares for prison and the aftermath has become a water cooler experience for audiences.
When I did my last predictions update two weeks ago, I did not have Everything listed in my top 15 possibilities for Best Picture. A lot has changed. It now sits at #3. Along with The Odyssey and The Black Ball, I believe a win narrative is present. Fielder and Oppenheim also make their appearance (in third) in the directing quintet. The film rises from #2 to #1 in Documentary Feature. I have it down for an Editing nod and it could get into Cinematography and Original Score.
The Everything love also extends to the acting categories. Due to the doc’s nature, I will not spoil who I’m predicting for a Supporting Actress nomination. Those who’ve seen the pic will understand. That will likely change soon but I’ll be kind enough to put a spoiler alert for readers who haven’t seen it.
Everything‘s rise in Picture takes out Elsinore while Fielder and Oppenheim’s ascension in Director drops Ryusuke Hamaguchi (All of a Sudden). She who shall not be named in Supporting Actress has Lola Dueñas from The Black Ball on the outside looking in. While Dueñas falls, her costar Guitarricadelafuente makes his first appearance in Supporting Actor. That removes Edward Norton (The Invite) from my five in what would be seen as a rather major snub.
You can read all the movement below!
Best Picture
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
4. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 3) (-1)
5. Dune: Part Three (PR: 5) (E)
6. Project Hail Mary (PR: 4) (-2)
7. The Invite (PR: 7) (E)
8. The Debut (PR: 6) (-2)
9. All of a Sudden (PR: 9) (E)
10. Obsession (PR: 8) (-2)
Other Possibilities:
11. Elsinore (PR: 10) (-1)
12. Fjord (PR: 12) (E)
13. Artificial (PR: 13) (E)
14. I Play Rocky (PR: 11) (-2)
15. Digger (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Being Heumann
Possible Love
Best Director
Predicted Nominees:
1. Christopher Nolan, The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo, The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim, You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
4. Olivia Wilde, The Invite (PR: 4) (E)
5. Martin McDonagh, Wild Horse Nine (PR: 3) (-2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, All of a Sudden (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Three (PR: 7) (E)
8. Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, Project Hail Mary (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Jesse Eisenberg, The Debut (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Cristian Mungiu, Fjord (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Lee Chang-dong, Possible Love
Best Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Julianne Moore, The Debut (PR: 1) (E)
2. Inde Navarrette, Obsession (PR: 2) (E)
3. Olivia Wilde, The Invite (PR: 3) (E)
4. Sandra Hüller, Rose (PR: 4) (E)
5. Virginie Efira, All of a Sudden (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Renate Reinsve, Fjord (PR: 6) (E)
7. Ruth Madeley, Being Heumann (PR: 7) (E)
8. Emily Blunt, Disclosure Day (PR: 8) (E)
9. Léa Seydoux, Gentle Monster (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Cynthia Erivo, Prima Facie (PR: 9) (-1)
Best Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Andrew Scott, Elsinore (PR: 1) (E)
2. John Malkovich, Wild Horse Nine (PR: 2) (E)
3. Matt Damon, The Odyssey (PR: 3) (E)
4. Tom Cruise, Digger (PR: 4) (E)
5. Ryan Gosling, Project Hail Mary (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Robert Pattinson, Primetime (PR: 6) (E)
7. Sebastian Stan, Fjord (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Anthony Ippolito, I Play Rocky (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Jaafar Jackson, Michael (PR: 10) (+1)
10. John Turturro, The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Pedro Pascal, Behemoth!
Best Supporting Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Anne Hathaway, The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Penélope Cruz, The Invite (PR: 2) (E)
3. Tao Okamoto, All of a Sudden (PR: 3) (E)
4. REDACTED, You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
5. Olivia Colman, Elsinore (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Samantha Morton, The Odyssey (PR: 6) (E)
7. Penélope Cruz, The Black Ball (PR: 7) (E)
8. Mariana Di Girolamo, Wild Horse Nine (PR: 8) (E)
9. Lola Dueñas, The Black Ball (PR: 5) (-4)
10. Sandra Hüller, Project Hail Mary (PR: 10) (E)
Dropped Out:
Scarlett Johansson, Paper Tiger
Best Supporting Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Paul Giamatti, The Debut (PR: 1) (E)
2. Andrew Garfield, Artificial (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Sam Rockwell, Wild Horse Nine (PR: 5) (+2)
4. John Leguizamo, The Odyssey (PR: 4) (E)
5. Guitarricadelafuente, The Black Ball (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Edward Norton, The Invite (PR: 2) (-4)
7. Colman Domingo, Michael (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Robert Pattinson, The Odyssey (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Guy Pearce, Ink (PR: 9) (E)
10. Riz Ahmed, Digger (PR: 10) (E)
Best Original Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
1. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Debut (PR: 2) (E)
3. Obsession (PR: 3) (E)
4. Artificial (PR: 4) (E)
5. Tender Loving Care (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Fjord (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Elsinore (PR: 7) (E)
8. I Play Rocky (PR: 8) (E)
9. Club Kid (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Digger (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Possible Love
Best Adapted Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Invite (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Odyssey (PR: 3) (E)
4. All of a Sudden (PR: 4) (E)
5. Project Hail Mary (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Dune: Part Three (PR: 6) (E)
7. Being Heumann (PR: 7) (E)
8. Sense and Sensibility (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Ink (PR: 8) (-1)
10. The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Primetime
Wildwood
Best International Feature Film
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Black Ball (PR: 1) (E)
2. All of a Sudden (PR: 2) (E)
3. Fjord (PR: 3) (E)
4. Possible Love (PR:4) (E)
5. Minotaur (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Rose (PR: 6) (E)
7. Fatherland (PR: 7) (E)
8. Coward (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Woman Unknown (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Everytime (PR: 10) (E)
Best Animated Feature
Predicted Nominees:
1. Wildwood (PR: 1) (E)
2. Toy Story 5 (PR: 2) (E)
3. Ray Gunn (PR: 3) (E)
4. Tangles (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Iron Boy (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Forgotten Island (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Hoppers (PR: 8) (E)
9. In Waves (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Coyote vs. Acme (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Minions & Monsters
Best Documentary Feature
Predicted Nominees:
1. You Can See Everything (PR: 2) (+1)
2. NAZA (PR: 1) (-1)
3. Once Upon a Time in Harlem (PR: 3) (E)
4. American Doctor (PR: 4) (E)
5. Rehearsals for a Revolution (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. One in a Million (PR: 6) (E)
7. To Hold a Mountain (PR: 7) (E)
8. The History of Concrete (PR: 9) (+1)
9. 14th (PR: 10) (+1)
10. The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
When a Witness Recants
Best Casting
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 3) (E)
4. Being Heumann (PR: 5) (+1)
5. The Debut (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. The Invite (PR: Not Ranked)
7. Dune: Part Three (PR: 9) (+2)
8. I Play Rocky (PR: 6) (-2)
9. All of a Sudden (PR: 10) (+1)
9. Artificial (PR: 8) (-2)
Dropped Out:
Fjord
Best Cinematography
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Dune: Part Three (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Black Ball (PR: 3) (E)
4. Project Hail Mary (PR: 4) (E)
5. Fatherland (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Werwulf (PR: 6) (E)
7. Digger (PR: 7) (E)
8. You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 9) (E)
10. Disclosure Day (PR: 8) (-2)
Dropped Out:
Fjord
Best Costume Design
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. Sense and Sensibility (PR: 3) (E)
4. Dune: Part Three (PR: 4) (E)
5. Michael (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Werwulf (PR: 6) (E)
7. The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PR: 7) (E)
8. Wuthering Heights (PR: 8) (E)
9. I Love Boosters (PR: 9) (E)
10. Digger (PR: 10) (E)
Best Film Editing
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. You Can See Everything (PR: 7) (+4)
4. Project Hail Mary (PR: 4) (E)
5. Dune: Part Three (PR: 3) (-2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 5) (-1)
7. The Invite (PR: 8) (+1)
8. The Debut (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Artificial (PR: Not Ranked)
10. I Play Rocky (PR: 10) (E)
Dropped Out:
Behemoth!
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Predicted Nominees:
1. Werwulf (PR: 1) (E)
2. Digger (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Odyssey (PR: 3) (E)
4. Wicker (PR: 4) (E)
5. Rose (PR: 7) (+2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Michael (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Dune: Part Three (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Clayface (PR: 6) (-2)
9. The Black Ball (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Is God Is (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
The Bride!
Best Original Score
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. Project Hail Mary (PR: 3) (E)
4. Disclosure Day (PR: 4) (E)
5. Behemoth! (PR: 7) (+2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Dune: Part Three (PR: 6) (E)
7. Wildwood (PR: 5) (-2)
8. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 8) (E)
9. The Debut (PR: 10) (+1)
10. You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Artificial
Best Original Song
Predicted Nominees:
1. “La Nieve” from The Black Ball (PR: 1) (E)
2. “The City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn’t Spit Me Out)” from The Debut (PR: 3) (+1)
3. “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Toy Story 5 (PR: 2) (-1)
4. “By Any Means” from By Any Means (PR: 4) (E)
5. “How to Write a Song (Without You)” from Power Ballad (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. “The Saddest Song” from Artificial (PR: Not Ranked)
7. “When I’m Home” from The Odyssey (PR: 6) (-1)
8. “The Better Part of Bravery” from Wildwood (PR: 7) (-1)
9. “Chains of Love” from Wuthering Heights (PR: 8) (-1)
10. “Let Me Sell You a Dream” from Musk (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
“Runway” from The Devil Wears Prada 2
Best Production Design
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Dune: Part Three (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Black Ball (PR: 4) (+1)
4. Digger (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Project Hail Mary (PR: 3) (-2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Werwulf (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Backrooms (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Sense and Sensibility (PR: 8) (E)
9. Wuthering Heights (PR: 10) (+1)
10. The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Wildwood
Best Sound
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Dune: Part Three (PR: 2) (E)
3. Project Hail Mary (PR: 3) (E)
4. The Black Ball (PR: 4) (E)
5. Michael (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Disclosure Day (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Godzilla Minus Zero (PR: 7) (E)
8. Whalefall (PR: 8) (E)
9. Werwulf (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Behemoth! (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Wildwood
Best Visual Effects
Predicted Nominees:
1. Dune: Part Three (PR: 1) (E)
2. Project Hail Mary (PR: 2) (E)
3. Godzilla Minus Zero (PR: 4) (+1)
4. The Odyssey (PR: 3) (-1)
5. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Wildwood (PR: 8) (+2)
7. Avengers: Doomsday (PR: 7) (E)
8. Whalefall (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Disclosure Day (PR: 9) (E)
10. The Sheep Detectives (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
The End of Oak Street
That equates to these movies generating these numbers of nominations:
15 Nominations
The Odyssey
13 Nominations
The Black Ball
9 Nominations
Project Hail Mary
7 Nominations
Dune: Part Three
6 Nominations
The Debut, Wild Horse Nine
5 Nominations
All of a Sudden, The Invite, You Can See Everything
3 Nominations
Digger, Obsession
2 Nominations
Artificial, Elsinore, Michael, Rose, Toy Story 5
1 Nomination
American Doctor, Behemoth!, Being Heumann, By Any Means, Disclosure Day, Fatherland, Fjord, Godzilla Minus Zero, Iron Boy, Minotaur, NAZA, Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Possible Love, Power Ballad, Ray Gunn, Rehearsals for a Revolution, Sense and Sensibility, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Tangles, Tender Loving Care, Werwulf, Wicker, Wildwood
