Tag: Julianne Moore

99th Academy Awards Predictions: April 19th Edition

Barely a month beyond the 98th edition of the Academy Awards, we have arrived at my first ranked predictions for the 99th ceremony. We begin with six major categories – Best Picture, Director, and the four acting derbies.

I gave you my first ranked glimpses for the previous telecast around the same time last year in these same races. How did that impossibly early forecast turn out? I correctly called four of the eventual ten BP nominees with Hamnet, Marty Supreme, Sentimental Value, and Sinners. Winner One Battle After Another as well as Bugonia, F1, and Frankenstein were listed in Other Possibilities. So 80% of the BP contenders were identified with The Secret Agent and Train Dreams not being mentioned in April 2025.

In Best Director, three of the five filmmakers were predicted: Ryan Coogler (Sinners), Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme), and Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value). Statue recipient Paul Thomas Anderson from One Battle and Chloé Zhao (Hamnet) were in Other Possibilities.

As for Best Actress, Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) swept the season and was in my predicted quintet. So was Sentimental Value‘s Renate Reinsve while Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You) and Emma Stone (Bugonia) were in Other Possibilities. Only Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue) wasn’t listed. In Best Actor, Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme) was in my quintet. Three others – winner Michael B. Jordan (Sinners), Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another), and Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) were Other Possibilities with Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) as the sole thespian not identified.

My projected Supporting Actress five rightly named Teyana Taylor (One Battle) with Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value) as a possibility. Fanning’s costar Inga Ibsdotter Lilleass, Wumni Mosaku (Sinners), and the victorious Amy Madigan (Weapons) were not found among my possibilities. In Supporting Actor, Stellan Skarsgård from Value was in my five with winner Sean Penn (One Battle) and Delroy Lindo (Sinners) as possibilities. Battle‘s Benicio del Toro and Frankenstein‘s Jacob Elordi were not to be found yet.

Let’s get some caveats out of the way. Some of the performers listed in lead will end up in supporting and vice versa. As an example, I figured Paul Mescal (Hamnet) would go lead for that film last year, but he was slotted in supporting. He ended up not being nominated but likely came close. For instance in this year’s listings, I don’t know if Sam Rockwell will be lead or supporting for Wild Horse Nine but my hunch says the latter at press time. The distributor will eventually clear that up.

We will see pictures push to 2027. When I did my initial projections a year ago for 2025, Michael and The Rivals of Amziah King were thought to be releases for that calendar frame. Both are being put out in ’26. I have Michael still as a potential nominee in some competitions. Not so at this time for Rivals.

And now the most important forewarning. Some movies you find below will turn out to be non-contenders. My inaugural look at the 98th Oscars listed Luca Guadagnino’s After the Hunt at #1 in Best Picture, Director, Actress (Julia Roberts), #4 in Supporting Actress (Ayo Edebiri), and #2 in Supporting Actor (Andrew Garfield). After its Venice festival premiere, the mixed to negative reaction drastically changed its narrative. It ended up with zero nominations. My April 2025 #1’s in the supporting fields – Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good) and Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly) – did not make final cut either.

So take this speculation as what it is – speculative. The picture and Best Picture will become clearer in time. That said, a reminder that 80% of the BP nominees were mentioned a year ago in addition to 100% of the directors and 80% of the lead acting hopefuls could be found in the initial post. On the flip side, nearly all of my acting picks for a nomination are coming from projected BP nominees and the percentage probably won’t be quite that high.

When Sinners came out last year, it was a box office juggernaut with widespread critical acclaim. Yet I wondered whether the spring release could mean it would fall by the wayside months down the line. That’s why I named it in Other Possibilities for Picture, Director, Actor, and Supporting Actor. What happened months down the line? A record-setting 16 nominations with Jordan winning Actor. I won’t make the same mistake with Project Hail Mary. It has been out for weeks and already looks like a strong contender in Picture, Director, Actor, and possibly Supporting Actress. Another note – it’s not often (or maybe ever) you see a performer mentioned four times. That’s the case at the moment with the busy Sandra Hüller who is a legit threat twice in lead Actress and supporting.

You can expect these posts to hit the blog every couple of weeks until it becomes weekly. This should occur when festival season goes into overdrive in last summer/early fall.

BEST PICTURE

Predicted Nominees:

1. The Odyssey

2. Project Hail Mary

3. Wild Horse Nine

4. Digger

5. Fjord

6. No One Cares

7. All of a Sudden

8. Fatherland

9. The Social Reckoning

10. Dune: Part Three

Other Possibilities:

11. Narnia: The Magican’s Nephew

12. A Place in Hell

13. A Long Winter

14. The Entertainment System is Down

15. Being Heumann

16. Cry to Heaven

17. Josephine

18. Werwulf

19. The Adventures of Cliff Booth

20. Michael

21. Paper Tiger

22. Saturn Return

23. Sense and Sensibility

24. Jack of Spades

25. Behemoth!

BEST DIRECTOR

Predicted Nominees:

1. Christopher Nolan, The Odyssey

2. Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Digger

3. Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, Project Hail Mary

4. Martin McDonagh, Wild Horse Nine

5. Cristian Mingiu, Fjord

Other Possibilities:

6. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, All of a Sudden

7. Pawel Pawlikowski, Fatherland

8. Jesse Eisenberg, No One Cares

9. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Three

10. Greta Gerwig, Narnia: The Magician’s Nephew

11. Ruben Östlund, The Entertainment System is Down

12. Tom Ford, Cry to Heaven

13. Aaron Sorkin, The Social Reckoning

14. Robert Eggers, Werwulf

15. David Fincher, The Adventures of Cliff Booth

BEST ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees:

1. Renate Reinsve, Fjord

2. Mikey Madison, The Social Reckoning

3. Julianne Moore, No One Cares

4. Sandra Hüller, Fatherland

5. Michelle Williams, A Place in Hell

Other Possibilities:

6. Virginie Efira, All of a Sudden

7. Ruth Madeley, Being Heumann

8. Mason Reeves, Josephine

9. Sophie Okenedo, Clarissa

10. Cynthia Erivo, Prima Facie

11. Sandra Hüller, Rose

12. Lily Gladstone, The Memory Police

13. Rachel Brosnahan, Saturn Return

14. Daisy Edgar-Jones, Sense and Sensibility

15. Amy Adams, At the Sea

BEST ACTOR

Predicted Nominees:

1. Tom Cruise, Digger

2. Ryan Gosling, Project Hail Mary

3. John Malkovich, Wild Horse Nine

4. Sebastian Stan, Fjord

5. Hanns Zischler, Fatherland

Other Possibilities:

6. Matt Damon, The Odyssey

7. Robert Aramayo, I Swear

8. Dominic Sessa, Tony

9. Nicholas Hoult, Cry to Heaven

10. Jafaar Jackson, Michael

11. Timothée Chalamet, Dune: Part Three

12. Pedro Pascal, Behemoth!

13. Brad Pitt, The Adventures of Cliff Booth

14. Charles Melton, Saturn Return

15. John Turturro, The Only Pickpocket Living in New York

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees:

1. Parker Posey, Wild Horse Nine

2. Mariana Di Girolamo, Wild Horse Nine

3. Halle Bailey, No One Cares

4. Anne Hathaway, The Odyssey

5. Tao Okamoto, All of a Sudden

Other Possibilities:

6. Sandra Hüller, Digger

7. Daisy Edgar-Jones, A Place in Hell

8.. Sandra Hüller, Project Hail Mary

9. Caitriona Balfe, A Long Winter

10. Scarlett Johansson, Paper Tiger

11. Wunmi Mosaku, The Social Reckoning

12. Kirsten Dunst, The Entertainment System is Down

13. Gemma Chan, Josephine

14. Frances McDormand, Jack of Spades

15. Elizabeth Debicki, The Adventures of Cliff Booth

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Predicted Nominees:

1. Paul Giamatti, No One Cares

2. John Goodman, Digger

3. Sam Rockwell, Wild Horse Nine

4. Colman Domingo, Michael

5. Jeremy Strong, The Social Reckoning

Other Possibilities:

6. Steve Buscemi, Wild Horse Nine

7. Andrew Scott, A Place in Hell

8. Tom Holland, The Odyssey

9. Mark Ruffalo, Being Heumann

10. D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai, A Long Winter

11. Jesse Plemons, Digger

12. Channing Tatum, Josephine

13. David Oyelowo, Clarissa

14. Daniel Brühl, The Entertainment System is Down

15. Riz Ahmed, Digger

99th Academy Awards: FIRST Predictions in Best Actress

My first Oscar predictions for the 99th Academy Awards are underway!

We are not even a month removed from the 98th ceremony so let us begin some ridiculously early speculation. These are my opening glimpses at the four acting derbies, Director, and Picture. They will unfold on the blog over the next few days. I already posted my take in the supporting fields and lead actor and they can be found here:

99th Academy Awards: FIRST Predictions in Best Actor
99th Academy Awards: FIRST Predictions in Best Supporting Actress
99th Academy Awards: FIRST Predictions in Best Supporting Actor

That brings us to Best Actress. When I presented my first picks in April of 2025, it produced the most eventual nominees among the quartet of acting races. At this impossibly early stage, I correctly had the eventual winner Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) and Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value) in the quintet. Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You) and Emma Stone (Bugonia) were listed in Other Possibilities. Only Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue) was not mentioned.

Let’s get some caveats out of the way… it’s early. Some movies listed are likely to be pushed back or simply not turn out to be awards contenders. Actresses listed here could end up being campaigned in supporting. And there will be movies we are not even anticipating that will rise up with performances currently not on the radar.

This inaugural post has Renate Reinsve getting a second nod in a row for Cristian Mungiu’s Fjord and Julianne Moore (No One Cares) contending for the first time since her victory in 2014’s Still Alice. As for Mikey Madison, I’m projecting 2024’s victor in the category for Anora will be up again for The Social Reckoning. Then there’s Sandra Hüller. She’s a threat to get in for Fatherland or Rose (for which she’s already won a prize at the Berlin Film Festival). At press time, I’ve got her making the cut for the latter. That’s in addition to my forecast that Hüller nabs a Supporting Actress nomination for Digger.

Here’s the first snapshot with Best Director up next!

TODD’S FIRST OSCAR PREDICTIONS FOR BEST ACTRESS AT THE 99TH ACADEMY AWARDS

Virginie Efira, All of a Sudden

Sandra Hüller, Rose

Mikey Madison, The Social Reckoning

Julianne Moore, No One Cares

Renate Reinsve, Fjord

Other Possibilities:

Amy Adams, At the Sea

Rachel Brosnahan, Saturn Return

Penélope Cruz, Bunker

Cynthia Erivo, Prima Facie

Anne Hathaway, Mother Mary

Sandra Hüller, Fatherland

Ruth Madeley, Being Heumann

Sophie Okonedo, Clarissa

Mason Reeves, Josephine

Michelle Williams, A Place in Hell

Oscar Nominations: The Case of Kate Hudson in Song Sung Blue

As we do every year on the blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP posts are readily available for your perusing pleasure. We have arrived at our third contestant in Best Actress and that’s Kate Hudson for Song Sung Blue. If you missed my posts covering the first two contenders, you can find them here:

Oscar Nominations: The Case of Jessie Buckley in Hamnet
Oscar Nominations: The Case of Rose Byrne in If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

Previous Acting Nominations:

2000 (Supporting Actress) – Almost Famous – lost to Marcia Gay Harden in Pollock

The Case for Kate Hudson:

Hollywood loves a good awards comeback story and this marks Hudson’s second try at Oscar glory after a quarter century and probably almost winning for Almost Famous. For her performance as the real-life Claire from a Neil Diamond tribute band in Craig Brewer’s musical drama, Hudson has picked up precursor noms at SAG Actor, BAFTA, and the Golden Globes.

The Case Against Kate Hudson:

As I mentioned in the write-up for Rose Byrne in If I Had Legs I’d Kick You, you have to go back to 2014 and Julianne Moore (Still Alice) to find the last Best Actress winner whose movie managed just one nomination. Hudson missed out at Critics Choice. Blue itself received mixed reviews. Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) has swept thus far.

The Verdict:

Hudson had a much stronger chance 25 years ago as Penny Lane than she has today.

My Case Of posts will continue with the third entrant in Best Actor – Ethan Hawke for Blue Moon…

Oscar Nominations: The Case of Rose Byrne in If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

As we do every year on the blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP posts are readily available for your perusing pleasure. We have arrived at our second contestant in Best Actress and that’s Rose Byrne for If I Had Legs I’d Kick You. If you missed my post covering Jessie Buckley for Hamnet, you can find it here:

Oscar Nominations: The Case of Jessie Buckley in Hamnet

Previous Acting Nominations:

None

The Case for Rose Byrne:

Despite an impressive career mixing comedies (Bridesmaids, Neighbors, Spy), superhero sagas in the X-Men franchise, and horror (the Insidious series), Mary Bronson’s anxiety inducing dramedy marks the Aussie performer’s first big screen awards vehicle. The buzz started after she took the Silver Bear for Best Leading Performance at the Berlin festival. She has landed precursor noms at BAFTA, SAG Actor, Critics Choice, and took home the Golden Globe for lead in a Musical or Comedy.

The Cast Against Rose Byrne:

The recipient for lead actress in a drama at the Globes is Hamnet‘s Jessie Buckley. She also received the Critics Choice prize and is rightfully seen as the frontrunner. Byrne’s inclusion in the actress quintet marks the sole nomination for Legs. You have to go back to 2014 and Julianne Moore (Still Alice) to find the last winner whose movie only nabbed the one mention.

The Verdict:

While she’s yet to miss any precursors and it could be argued that Byrne is #2, Buckley is a formidable favorite.

My Case Of posts will continue will the second Best Actor nominee and that’s Leonardo DiCaprio for One Battle After Another…

Oscar Predictions: Echo Valley

Julianne Moore is saddled with protecting her troubled daughter Sydney Sweeney in the crime thriller Echo Valley from director Michael Pearce. It begins showing on Apple TV+ tomorrow after a limited theatrical bow last weekend. Costars include Domhnall Gleeson, Kyle MacLachlan, and Fiona Shaw.

Critics are mostly not high on Valley with a 50% Rotten Tomatoes rating and 55 Metacritic. Despite the presence of five-time nominee and one-time Academy recipient Moore and the popular Ms. Sweeney, this is receiving scant buzz. Nevertheless it could do just fine via its streaming route, but this is not an awards pic. My Oscar Predictions posts will continue…

Oscars: The Case of Felicity Jones in The Brutalist

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our third entry in Best Supporting Actress and that’s Felicity Jones in Brady Corbet’s The Brutalist. If you missed my posts covering Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown) and Ariana Grande from Wicked, they’re linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

Best Actress (2014, The Theory of Everything) – lost to Julianne Moore (Still Alice)

The Case for Felicity Jones:

A decade after contending in lead actress for The Theory of Everything, Jones gets her second Academy try in the picture tied for the second most nominations. She also received mentions at BAFTA and the Golden Globes.

The Case Against Felicity Jones:

Jones was not nominated at Critics Choice or SAG and nearly all chatter of an actor winning for The Brutalist has focused on Adrien Brody in Best Actor. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) has swept the season so far and with SAG the only precursor left, Jones has no chance of picking up any hardware before the big show.

The Verdict:

It was a question mark as to whether Jones would make the final five. It’s an honor to be nominated.

My Case Of posts will continue with the third hopeful in Supporting Actor and that’s Edward Norton in A Complete Unknown…

Oscars: The Case of Monica Barbaro in A Complete Unknown
Oscars: The Case of Ariana Grande in Wicked

97th Academy Awards: The FINAL State of the Best Actress Race

My final predictions for nominees at the 97th Academy Awards arrives this Wednesday, January 15th prior to the announcement on Sunday, January 19th. Before I make them, I’m taking a deeper dive into the six major categories (Picture, Director, the four acting derbies) with detailed thoughts on where I think each race stands.

Let’s begin with Best Actress as it might be the most tricky of all to figure out (though the supporting competitions are up there too). I believe there are three performers whose nominations you can write down in pen.

For months, I’ve had Mikey Madison (Anora) listed in 1st place for her work in Anora. She’s been nominated everywhere she needs to be – Golden Globes, SAG, Critics Choice, the BAFTA long list. The film is definitely in the top 5 of Best Picture hopefuls. In other words, she’s in.

That said, just yesterday, I slid her from 1st to 2nd in favor of Demi Moore in The Substance. That’s mainly because Moore was victorious over Madison at the Golden Globes in the Actress (Musical or Comedy) category. Furthermore, Hollywood loves a comeback story. That is present with Demi. She managed all the aforementioned precursors that Madison has and there’s a win in her favor. I do believe the Oscar could go to either of them, but this seems reminiscent of Best Actor in 2022. Austin Butler (Elvis) was the young upstart like Madison. Brendan Fraser (The Whale) was the once major movie star in a comeback vehicle that also involved heavy makeup work. Fraser got the gold.

I would put Moore and Madison’s chances of making the final five at 100% or at least 99.9999999%. The third “pen” pick is Karla Sofia Gascón in Emilia Pérez. She would make history as the Academy’s first trans nominee. Gascón also made the cut at the key precursors and shared a Cannes victory for Best Actress with her costars. Some prognosticators have started wondering whether she’s a guaranteed nominee. While she’s maybe not a total certainty like our previous actresses, I’d say it’s really close. After all, Emilia Pérez might get the most nominations of any picture this time around. I don’t see that occurring without Emilia Pérez being in contention.

And then… it gets complicated. Before we move to the several performers jockeying for two spots, let’s pour one out for these actresses whose campaigns never got off the ground. In some cases, the films underperformed significantly with critics and audiences. In others, their studios didn’t mount an offensive drive for their inclusion. Some examples are Florence Pugh (We Live in Time), Jodie Comer (The Bikeriders), Ryan Destiny (The Fire Inside), Daisy Ridley (Young Woman and the Sea), Regina King (Shirley), Lily-Rose Depp (Nosferatu), and Marisa Abela (Back to Black). Julianne Moore (The Room Next Door) and June Squibb (Thelma) received a little more attention. However, they failed to show up in any significant other awards lists.

After that lengthy group, there’s a next level. These are actresses who may have shown up in some precursors or long lists, but aren’t expected to materialize in the Oscar quintet. Their chances aren’t completely out of reach like those in the previous paragraph. Yet it’s close. I would put Julianne Moore’s The Room Next Door costar Tilda Swinton in this class. Same with Zendaya (Challengers) and Saoirse Ronan (The Outrun).

This leaves us with eight performances vying for two spots: Amy Adams (Nightbitch), Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl), Cynthia Erivo (Wicked), Marianne Jean-Baptiste (Hard Truths), Angelina Jolie (Maria), Nicole Kidman (Babygirl), Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here), and Kate Winslet (Lee). Let’s walk through them one by one, shall we?

Amy Adams has the narrative of being long overdue for an Oscar. Despite six nominations, she’s yet to hear her name called. On paper, this seemed like a strong possibility but so-so reviews for Nightbitch have not helped. Despite a Globe nod and being in the BAFTA long list, I have her 8th of these 8 possibilities.

I might be more inclined to put Anderson in my five if it weren’t for Demi Moore’s comeback narrative. The Baywatch starlet is getting career best notices for this indie drama even if the film itself is drawing more mixed reactions. Her Globe nomination in Actress (Drama) wasn’t a huge surprise. The SAG nod this week was and it does increase her viability. I have her 5th of these 8 possibilities.

Cynthia Erivo is starring in one of the year’s largest blockbusters with Globe, SAG, Critics Choice, and the BAFTA long list preceding a potential Oscar nod. If she were to win, Erivo would achieve EGOT status as she already has an Emmy, Grammy, and Tony on her resume. The only question mark is whether the amount of performers could squeeze her out. I doubt it. Erivo is ranked 1st of these 8 possibilities.

Marianne Jean-Baptiste is receiving plenty of critics prizes for her role in Mike Leigh’s Hard Truths. Critics Choice and the BAFTA long list are in her corner though she notably missed SAG and the Globes. Leigh has a history of getting his actors nominated. Seeing her in the eventual quintet would not surprise, but she’s 4th of my 8 possibilities at press time.

Angelina Jolie’s inclusion for Pablo Larrain’s Maria seemed assured at one point after the picture premiered in Venice. In hindsight, the troubling signs could have been evident immediately. She did not take Best Actress at that festival. Since then, she’s missed SAG and the BAFTA long list while competing for the Globe and being nominated for Critics Choice. Her most notable blow came at the Globes. She was favored to win Best Actress in a Drama but fell short to Fernanda Torres. I still think she could get in though I have her just on the outside looking in and 3rd of my 8 possibilities.

For her performance in Babygirl, Nicole Kidman did win Best Actress at Venice and Globe and BAFTA long list spots followed. The recent snubs at Critics Choice and SAG are hard to ignore. She’s 6th among these 8 possibilities.

Fernanda Torres in I’m Still Here had no major other precursors to her credit besides the Globe. No BAFTA long list. No Critics Choice. And no SAG attention this week. That win at the Globes, though, looms large and it occurred just as Academy voting was underway. That’s why she’s 2nd of these 8 possibilities.

Finally, Kate Winslet as Lee showed up at the Globes and BAFTA long list. Reviews for the project itself aren’t overly impressive. Winslet could get in because, well, she’s Kate Winslet. Nevertheless she’s 7th of these 8 possibilities.

Whew. OK. There you have it. My microscope analysis of Best Actress for the 97th Academy Awards. Let’s see how it shakes out Wednesday when I do my final picks. I’ll have a dive into Supporting Actor up next!

    97th Academy Awards Predictions: December 30th Edition

    These are last Oscar predictions in calendar year 2024 and I’ll likely do the final forecast on Tuesday, January 14th before the nominations are revealed on Friday, January 17th. It got me wondering how accurate my projections were for the 96th Academy Awards covering 2023 at this point in the calendar. Turns out… I did a post on December 29th of last year. The results? That’s what I’ll focus on in this write-up while giving you my predictions for the next broadcast.

    The quick version is that my December 29th, 2023 forecast yielded 79 of the eventual 105 nominees. That’s not far off from my eventual tally of 84 of 105 when the announcements were made in January 2024. This includes 10 for 10 (!) in Best Picture and 5 for 5 in Makeup & Hairstyling. I went 4 for 5 in 10 other competitions while getting 3 for 5 in eight other competitions. There wasn’t one category where I didn’t have the winner listed as a nominee… except for in Visual Effects (we’ll get to that at the bottom).

    Let’s get to it with some chatter about my performance in the previous year to use a potential context for what’s to come.

    Best Picture

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Brutalist (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)

    2. Conclave (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Anora (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Emilia Pérez (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Wicked (PR: 5) (E)

    6. Dune: Part Two (PR: 6) (E)

    7. A Complete Unknown (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. The Substance (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Nickel Boys (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. Sing Sing (PR: 8) (-2)

    Other Possibilities:

    11. A Real Pain (PR: 11) (E)

    12. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 13) (+1)

    13. September 5 (PR: 12) (-1)

    14. All We Imagine as Light (PR: 14) (E)

    15. Nosferatu (PR: 15) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    10 for 10 on the Best Picture nominees and that includes listing eventual victor Oppenheimer at #1.

    Best Director

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Sean Baker, Anora (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Edward Berger, Conclave (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. RaMell Ross, Nickel Boys (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Mohammad Rasoulof, The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light (PR: 9) (E)

    10. James Mangold, A Complete Unknown (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Jon M. Chu, Wicked

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5 and I correctly had Christopher Nolan’s direction of Oppenheimer listed in 1st. Where I went wrong – I had Greta Gerwig (Barbie) in over Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall), who was listed in 8th position.

    Best Actress

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Mikey Madison, Anora (PR: 1) (E)

    2.Angelina Jolie, Maria (PR: 4) (+2)

    3. Demi Moore, The Substance (PR: 2) (-1)

    4. Karla Sofia Gascón, Emilia Pérez (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here (PR: 7) (E)

    8. Kate Winslet, Lee (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. Nicole Kidman, Babygirl (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Amy Adams, Nightbitch (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Saoirse Ronan, The Outrun

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5. Eventual winner Emma Stone (Poor Things) was listed in 2nd after Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon). I incorrectly had Greta Lee (Past Lives) nominated over Annette Bening (Nyad), who I had listed in ninth.

    Best Actor

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Daniel Craig, Queer (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain (PR: 8) (+1)

    8. Sebastian Stan, A Different Man (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. Hugh Grant, Heretic (PR: 7) (-2)

    10. Glen Powell, Hit Man (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5. I had the winner Cillian Murphy of Oppenheimer listed second after Bradley Cooper from Maestro. Where I went wrong – I had Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon) nominated over my #6 Colman Domingo (Rustin).

    Best Supporting Actress

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Ariana Grande, Wicked (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Danielle Deadwyler, The Piano Lesson (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Nickel Boys (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Margaret Qualley, The Substance (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Elle Fanning, A Complete Unknown (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. Saoirse Ronan, Blitz (PR: 10) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Joan Chen, Dídi

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    3 for 5. I correctly had Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers listed in 1st. Where I went wrong – Julianne Moore (May December) and Rachel McAdams (Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret) in over Jodie Foster for Nyad (who I had in sixth) and America Ferrera in Barbie (who was 8th at that time).

    Best Supporting Actor

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist (PR: 2) (+1)

    2. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain (PR: 1) (-1)

    3. Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Denzel Washington, Gladiator II (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown (PR: 4) (-1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Yura Borisov, Anora (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice (PR: 8) (+1)

    8. Stanley Tucci, Conclave (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Adam Pearson, A Different Man (PR: 9) (E)

    10. Brian Tyree Henry, The Fire Inside (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29 –

    4 for 5. I correctly had Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) listed in first. Where I went wrong – I had Charles Melton (May December) being nominated over #7 Sterling K. Brown in American Fiction.

    Best Original Screenplay

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Anora (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Brutalist (PR: 2) (E)

    3. A Real Pain (PR: 3) (E)

    4. The Substance (PR: 4) (E)

    5. September 5 (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. Hard Truths (PR: 7) (E)

    8. All We Imagine as Light (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Saturday Night (PR: 9) (E)

    10. A Different Man (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Challengers

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5. Winner The Holdovers was listed 2nd while I had Barbie ranked 1st. It would be moved into Adapted Screenplay shortly thereafter. Where I went wrong – listing Barbie instead of #7 Maestro.

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Conclave (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Nickel Boys (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Sing Sing (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Emilia Pérez (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Dune: Part Two (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. The Room Next Door (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. A Complete Unknown (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. I’m Still Here (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Wicked (PR: 9) (E)

    10. Hit Man (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    3 for 5. Per above, I had Barbie listed in Original instead of Adapted at that time. Winner American Fiction was slotted fourth. Where I went wrong – having Killers of the Flower Moon and All of Us Strangers instead of Barbie and #6 The Zone of Interest.

    Best International Feature Film

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 2) (E)

    3. I’m Still Here (PR: 3) (E)

    4. The Girl with the Needle (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Vermiglio (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Kneecap (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Universal Language (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. How to Make Millions Before Grandma Dies (PR: 10) (+2)

    9. Flow (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Dahomey (PR: 6) (-4)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5. The Zone of Interest was correctly listed in 1st. Where I went wrong – The Taste of Things was predicted over #9 lo capitano.

    Best Animated Feature Film

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Wild Robot (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Flow (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Inside Out 2 (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Memoir of a Snail (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Moana 2 (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Piece by Piece (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Chicken for Linda! (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Transformers One (PR: 9) (E)

    10. Spellbound (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5. Winner The Boy and the Heron was listed in 2nd. Where I went wrong – predicting The Peasants over #10 Robot Dreams.

    Best Documentary Feature

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. No Other Land (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Sugarcane (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Will & Harper (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. Daughters (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat (PR: 8) (+3)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Black Box Diaries (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Dahomey (PR: 5) (-1)

    8. Union (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Porcelain War (PR: 9) (E)

    10. The Remarkable Life of Ibelin (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    3 for 5. 20 Days in Mariupol was correctly listed 1st. Where I went wrong – Beyond Utopia and American Symphony were predicted over #9 Bobi Wine: The People’s President and unranked To Kill a Tiger.

    Best Cinematography

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Brutalist (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Dune: Part Two (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Nickel Boys (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Maria (PR: 4) (E)

    5. The Girl with the Needle (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Conclave (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Nosferatu (PR: 7) (E)

    8. Emilia Pérez (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Wicked (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. A Complete Unknown (PR: 10) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Anora

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5. Oppenheimer was correctly listed 1st. Where I went wrong – I had The Zone of Interest nominated over #10 El Conde.

    Best Costume Design

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Wicked (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Dune: Part Two (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Nosferatu (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. Gladiator II (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Maria (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Conclave (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (PR: 10) (+3)

    8. The Brutalist (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. A Complete Unknown (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Blitz (PR: 7) (-3)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5. Winner Poor Things was listed in 2nd (behind Barbie). Where I went wrong – The Color Purple getting nominated over #7 Napoleon.

    Best Film Editing

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Brutalist (PR: 3) (+2)

    2. Conclave (PR: 1) (-1)

    3. Anora (PR: 2) (-1)

    4. Dune: Part Two (PR: 6) (+2)

    5. Emilia Pérez (PR: 4) (-1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Wicked (PR: 9) (+3)

    7. September 5 (PR: 5) (-2)

    8. Challengers (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. The Substance (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Nickel Boys (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    3 for 5. Oppenheimer was correctly listed 1st. Where I went wrong – I had Air and Barbie nominated over #6 The Holdovers and #8 Anatomy of a Fall.

    Best Makeup & Hairstyling

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Substance (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Wicked (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Dune: Part Two (PR: 3) (E)

    4. A Different Man (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Nosferatu (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Emilia Pérez (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (PR: 5) (-2)

    8. Waltzing with Brando (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. Maria (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. The Apprentice (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    5 for 5! Winner Poor Things was listed second behind Maestro.

    Best Original Score

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Brutalist (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Conclave (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Emilia Pérez (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Challengers (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. The Room Next Door (PR: 9) (+4)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. The Wild Robot (PR: 4) (-2)

    7. Wicked (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Sing Sing (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Nosferatu (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Blitz (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    3 for 5. Oppenheimer was correctly listed 1st. Where I went wrong – I had The Zone of Interest and The Boy and the Heron nominated over #10 American Fiction and the unranked Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny.

    Best Original Song

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. “El Mal” from Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. “Mi Camino” from Emilia Pérez (PR: 3) (+1)

    3. “Kiss the Sky” from The Wild Robot (PR: 2) (-1)

    4. “The Journey” from The Six Triple Eight (PR: 4) (E)

    5. “Harper and Will Go West” from Will & Harper (PR: 7) (+2)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. “Like a Bird” from Sing Sing (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. “Compress/Repress” from Challengers (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. “Tell Me It’s You” from Mufasa: The Lion King (PR: 8) (E)

    9. “Piece by Piece” from Piece by Piece (PR: 9) (E)

    10. “Sick in the Head” from Kneecap (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    3 for 5. “What Was I Made For?” from Barbie was correctly in 1st. Where I went wrong – I had “Road to Freedom” from Rustin and “Keep It Movin” from The Color Purple nominated over #6 “It Never Went Away” from American Symphony and #9 “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)” from Killers of the Flower Moon

    Best Production Design

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Wicked (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Dune: Part Two (PR: 2) (E)

    3. The Brutalist (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Gladiator II (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Conclave (PR: 7) (+2)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Nosferatu (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. Maria (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Blitz (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Emilia Pérez (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. A Complete Unknown (PR: 9) (-1)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    4 for 5. Winner Poor Things was listed 2nd behind Barbie. Where I went wrong – The Color Purple getting nominated over #7 Napoleon.

    Best Sound

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Wicked (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Emilia Pérez (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. A Complete Unknown (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Blitz (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Gladiator II (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Alien: Romulus (PR: 8) (+1)

    8. The Wild Robot (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Deadpool & Wolverine (PR: 9) (E)

    10. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    3 for 5. I had winner The Zone of Interest listed fourth. Where I went wrong – Ferrari and Napoleon being nominated over #8 Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning and #10 The Creator.

    Best Visual Effects

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Gladiator II (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. Wicked (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Alien: Romulus (PR: 8) (+3)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Twisters (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Better Man (PR: 5) (-2)

    8. Mufasa: The Lion King (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Deadpool & Wolverine (PR: 9) (E)

    10. Civil War (PR: 10) (E)

    2023 Performance on December 29th –

    3 for 5. My #4 Godzilla Minus One won. Where I went wrong – this is the one category where my #1 (Poor Things) ended up not getting nominated. That’s in addition to having Society of the Snow getting in. #7 Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning and #10 Napoleon made the cut instead.

    Whew. And that leaves the following pictures garnering these numbers of nominations:

    11 Nominations

    Emilia Pérez

    10 Nominations

    The Brutalist

    9 Nominations

    Dune: Part Two

    8 Nominations

    Conclave

    7 Nominations

    Wicked

    5 Nominations

    Anora, The Substance

    4 Nominations

    A Complete Unknown, Gladiator II, Sing Sing

    3 Nominations

    Maria, Nickel Boys

    2 Nominations

    The Girl with the Needle, Nosferatu, A Real Pain, The Wild Robot, Will & Harper

    1 Nomination

    Alien: Romulus, Blitz, Challengers, Daughters, A Different Man, Flow, Hard Truths, I’m Still Here, Inside Out 2, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Memoir of a Snail, No Other Land, The Piano Lesson, Queer, The Room Next Door, The Seed of the Sacred Fig, September 5, The Six Triple Eight, Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat, Sugarcane, Vermiglio, Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

    97th Academy Awards Predictions: September 21st Edition

    The Venice, Telluride, and Toronto Film Festivals have all concluded and the Oscar landscape is looking a bit clearer for the 97th edition of the ceremony. Per usual with the festivals, there are films that rise and those that fall. No film rose more than Brady Corbet’s The Brutalist from Venice, but Toronto gave us a shocker in the form of Mike Flanagan’s The Life of Chuck. The sci-fi flick based on a Stephen King novella took People’s Choice at the Canadian event. 15 of the last 16 victors of that prize have received a Best Picture nomination including the past 12 in a row. We still don’t know which distributor will buy Chuck and it’s not confirmed to be out this year. For that matter, we also don’t know for a fact that A24’s The Brutalist will make the ’24 calendar. For now I’m assuming both will. That means I’m elevating Chuck from unranked to #11 in my BP possibilities on the outside just looking in.

    There was a significant announcement that Tilda Swinton and Julianne Moore will be both be campaigned in lead actress for The Room Next Door. That means Swinton enters my quintet in that category with Amy Adams (Nightbitch) dropping. With Swinton leaving supporting, Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez) resurfaces there. It has also been confirmed that Saoirse Ronan will vie for Actress with The Outrun and Supporting Actress in Blitz. I continue to list her a double nominee.

    We have a change in Supporting Actor as I’m putting Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) in with Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) falling out of the projected five.

    For the last few months, I’ve included 25 BP contenders and 15 for Director, the four acting derbies, and the two screenplay competitions. As I typically do around this time of year, I will condense this to 15 BPs and 10 in the others. Got all that? Good!

    Best Picture

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Brutalist (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)

    2. Blitz (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Anora (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Dune: Part Two (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. Sing Sing (PR: 4) (-1)

    6. Emilia Pérez (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Conclave (PR: 7) (E)

    8. Nickel Boys (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. Saturday Night (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. The Room Next Door (PR: 10) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    11. The Life of Chuck (PR: Not Ranked)

    12. A Complete Unknown (PR: 11) (-1)

    13. September 5 (PR: 16) (+3)

    14. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 12) (-2)

    15. A Real Pain (PR: 13) (-2)

    Dropped Out:

    Gladiator II

    Queer

    Nosferatu

    The Apprentice

    All We Imagine as Light

    Joker: Folie à Deux

    The Piano Lesson

    Wicked

    Juror No. 2

    His Three Daughters

    A Different Man

    Best Director

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Steve McQueen, Blitz (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Sean Baker, Anora (PR: 3) (E)

    5. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Mohammad Rasoulof, The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Edward Berger, Conclave (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. RaMell Ross, Nickel Boys (PR: 6) (-2)

    9. Greg Kwedar, Sing Sing (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Pedro Almodóvar, The Room Next Door (PR: 11) (+1)

    Dropped Out:

    Jason Reitman, Saturday Night

    James Mangold, A Complete Unknown

    Ridley Scott, Gladiator II

    Luca Guadagnino, Queer

    Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light

    Best Actress

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Mikey Madison, Anora (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Angelina Jolie, Maria (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Karla Sofia Gascón, Emilia Pérez (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Saoirse Ronan, The Outrun (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Tilda Swinton, The Room Next Door (PR: Not Ranked) – moved from supporting

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Nicole Kidman, Babygirl (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Amy Adams, Nightbitch (PR: 5) (-2)

    8. Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths (PR: 6) (-2)

    9. Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. Demi Moore, The Substance (PR: 9) (-1)

    Dropped Out:

    Julianne Moore, The Room Next Door

    Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl

    Carrie Coon, His Three Daughters

    June Squibb, Thelma

    Zendaya, Challengers

    Florence Pugh, We Live in Time

    Best Actor

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Daniel Craig, Queer (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Glen Powell, Hit Man (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. Sebastian Stan, A Different Man (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Paul Mescal, Gladiator II (PR: 10) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Gabriel LaBelle, Saturday Night

    Jesse Plemons, Kinds of Kindness

    Ethan Herisse, Nickel Boys

    John David Washington, The Piano Lesson

    Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

    Best Supporting Actress

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Danielle Deadwyler, The Piano Lesson (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Saoirse Ronan, Blitz (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Nickel Boys (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Lady Gaga, Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave (PR: 11) (+3)

    9. Natasha Lyonne, His Three Daughters (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Joan Chen, Dídi (PR: 10) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Tilda Swinton, The Room Next Door – moved to lead actress

    Lesley Manville, Queer

    Elle Fanning, A Complete Unknown

    Toni Collette, Juror No. 2

    Fernanda Montenegro, I’m Still Here

    Best Supporting Actor

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Stanley Tucci, Conclave (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Denzel Washington, Gladiator II (PR: 4) (-2)

    7. Mark Hamill, The Life of Chuck (PR: Not Ranked)

    8. Adam Pearson, A Different Man (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Samuel L. Jackson, The Piano Lesson (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown (PR: 7) (-3)

    Dropped Out:

    Drew Starkey, Queer

    Harris Dickinson, Blitz

    Mark Eidelstein, Anora

    Brian Tyree Henry, The Fire Inside

    Ray Fisher, The Piano Lesson

    John Lithgow, Conclave

    Best Original Screenplay

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Anora (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Brutalist (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Blitz (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Saturday Night (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. A Real Pain (PR: 4) (-1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Emilia Pérez (PR: 6) (E)

    7. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 7) (E)

    8. The Substance (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. Hard Truths (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. September 5 (PR: 13) (+3)

    Dropped Out:

    His Three Daughters

    Dídi

    Kinds of Kindness

    A Different Man

    Juror No. 2

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Conclave (PR: 2) (+1)

    2. Sing Sing (PR: 1) (-1)

    3. Nickel Boys (PR: 3) (E)

    4. The Room Next Door (PR: 4) (E)

    5. The Life of Chuck (PR: Not Ranked)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Dune: Part Two (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Queer (PR: 5) (-2)

    8. Hit Man (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. A Complete Unknown (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. The Piano Lesson (PR: 9) (-1)

    Dropped Out:

    I’m Still Here

    Gladiator II

    Nightbitch

    Inside Out 2

    Nosferatu

    The Wild Robot

    Best International Feature Film

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 2) (E)

    3. I’m Still Here (PR: 3) (E)

    4. All We Imagine as Light (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. Grand Tour (PR: 4) (-1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Universal Language (PR: 6) (E)

    7. The Girl with the Needle (PR: 7) (E)

    8. Caught by the Tides (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Pedro Páramo (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. Kneecap (PR: 9) (-1)

    Dropped Out:

    Simon of the Mountain

    Best Animated Feature

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Inside Out 2 (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Wild Robot (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Flow (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Memoir of a Snail (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Piece by Piece (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Moana 2 (PR: 7) (E)

    8. Savages (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. Orion and the Dark (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim (PR: 8) (-2)

    Best Documentary Feature

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. No Other Land (PR: 2) (+1)

    2. Will & Harper (PR: 3) (+1)

    3. Daughters (PR: 1) (-2)

    4. Sugarcane (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Black Box Diaries (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. Union (PR: 7) (E)

    8. The Remarkable Life of Ibelin (PR: Not Ranked)

    9. Skywalkers: A Love Story (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. Apocalypse in the Tropics (PR: 8) (-2)

    Dropped Out:

    Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story

    Best Cinematography

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Brutalist (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Dune: Part Two (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Blitz (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Nosferatu (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Emilia Pérez (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Maria (PR: Not Ranked)

    7. Conclave (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. Anora (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 6) (-3)

    10. Gladiator II (PR: 8) (-2)

    Dropped Out:

    The Room Next Door

    Best Costume Design

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Nosferatu (PR: 4) (+2)

    3. Wicked (PR: 2) (-1)

    4. Gladiator II (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Maria (PR: 7) (+2)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Blitz (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 8) (E)

    9. The Brutalist (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. Saturday Night (PR: 10 (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga

    Best Film Editing

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Blitz (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Anora (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Dune: Part Two (PR: 6) (+3)

    4. The Brutalist (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Saturday Night (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Emilia Pérez (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Sing Sing (PR: 4) (-3)

    8. Conclave (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. Nickel Boys (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Challengers (PR: 10) (E)

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Nosferatu (PR: 2) (E)

    3. A Different Man (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Maria (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. The Substance (PR: 9) (+4)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (PR: 4) (-2)

    7. Wicked (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Sasquatch Sunset (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Gladiator II

    Best Original Score

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Brutalist (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Sing Sing (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Gladiator II (PR: 6) (+2)

    5. The Wild Robot (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Emilia Pérez (PR: 4) (-2)

    7. Conclave (PR: 7) (E)

    8. Saturday Night (PR: 10) (+2)

    9. The Room Next Door (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. The Life of Chuck (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Joker: Folie à Deux

    Queer

    Best Original Song

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. “Mi Camino” from Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. “Like a Bird” from Sing Sing (PR: 2) (E)

    3. “Harley and Joker Waltz” from Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: Not Ranked)

    4. “Piece by Piece” from Piece by Piece (PR: 4) (E)

    5. “Relentless” from Diane Warren: Relentless (PR: 3) (-2)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. “Harper and Will Go West” from Will & Harper (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. “Kiss the Sky” from The Wild Robot (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. “We’re Back” from Moana 2 (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. “Forbidden Road” from Better Man (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. “El Mal” from Emilia Pérez (PR: 8) (-2)

    Dropped Out:

    “The Journey” from The Six Triple Eight

    “Why Am I Here” from Shirley

    Best Production Design

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Blitz (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Gladiator II (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Nosferatu (PR: 4) (E)

    5. The Brutalist (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Wicked (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Maria (PR: 10) (+3)

    8. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. Conclave (PR: 9) (-1)

    Dropped Out:

    Saturday Night

    Best Sound

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Blitz (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Gladiator II (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Emilia Pérez (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 8) (+3)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Nosferatu (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Wicked (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 5) (-3)

    9. Civil War (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. The Brutalist (PR: 10) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    A Complete Unknown

    Best Visual Effects

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Gladiator II (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Twisters (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Here (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Blitz (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Wicked (PR: 10) (+3)

    8. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Deadpool & Wolverine (PR: 7) (-2)

    10. Better Man (PR: 9) (-1)

    That equates to these movies generating these numbers of nominations:

    10 Nominations

    The Brutalist, Dune: Part Two

    9 Nominations

    Emilia Pérez

    8 Nominations

    Blitz

    6 Nominations

    Sing Sing

    5 Nominations

    Anora, Gladiator II

    4 Nominations

    Conclave, Nosferatu

    3 Nominations

    Maria, The Room Next Door, Saturday Night

    2 Nominations

    Joker: Folie à Deux, Nickel Boys, A Real Pain, The Wild Robot

    1 Nomination

    All We Imagine as Light, The Apprentice, Black Box Diaries, A Complete Unknown, Daughters, Diane Warren: Relentless, A Different Man, Flow, Grand Tour, Here, I’m Still Here, Inside Out 2, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, The Life of Chuck, Memoir of a Snail, No Other Land, The Outrun, The Piano Lesson, Piece by Piece, Queer, The Seed of the Sacred Fig, The Substance, Sugarcane, Twisters, Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl, Wicked, Will & Harper

    97th Academy Awards Predictions: September 14th Edition

    To say there’s been plenty of news since my last predictions post on 09/03 is quite an understatement. It’s been confirmed that Clint Eastwood’s thriller Juror No. 2 will release in this calendar year. You’ll see that reflected below though I don’t have the movie or Toni Collette (in Supporting Actress) or the screenplay actually projected for nominations.

    Then there is, of course, more screenings from the Venice and Toronto Film Festivals. While Nightbitch is probably out of Best Picture contention, TIFF screenings suggest Amy Adams could still be a threat to make the Actress quintet. She’s back in my five. I had to make room anyway since Lady Gaga (Joker: Folie à Deux) appears to be a supporting play and not lead. I hesitated to put Adams back in as Nicole Kidman (Babygirl) and Marianne Jean-Baptiste (Hard Truths) are serious threats. For that, so are Julianne Moore (The Room Next Door) and Demi Moore (The Substance). It’s getting crowded in Actress.

    Speaking of Joker, the mixed reaction from Cannes causes it to drop from 11th to 20th in my BP rankings.

    There are gains for The Brutalist as it rises from 3rd to 1st in the BP derby. The announcement that A24 picked up it up for distribution might mean it’s now their #1 campaign. If so, that could have a detrimental effect on Sing Sing. That helps explain Adrien Brody getting to first in Best Actor over Colman Domingo. Clarence Maclin from Sing Sing stays at #1 in Supporting Actor over The Brutalist‘s Guy Pearce though I considered making that switch. And now Brady Corbet now sitting atop the charts in Director. Blitz had previously held the #1 positions in BP and Director but they slip to #2.

    In Supporting Actress, two changes as Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) and Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door) are in and Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Nickel Boys) and Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez) are on the outside looking in.

    And for the one change in BP, Venice’s Golden Lion winner The Room Next Door is in the 10 with A Complete Unknown falling out.

    Please note that this update is the first time where Dune: Part Two is not the nomination leader. It’s now tied with 9 with Blitz and Emilia Pérez while The Brutalist sits with 10.

    You can read all the movement below!

    Best Picture

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Brutalist (PR: 3) (+2)

    2. Blitz (Previous Ranking: 1) (-1)

    3. Anora (PR: 5) (+2)

    4. Sing Sing (PR: 2) (-2)

    5. Dune: Part Two (PR: 4) (-1)

    6. Emilia Pérez (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Conclave (PR: 7) (E)

    8. Saturday Night (PR: 10) (+2)

    9. Nickel Boys (PR: 9) (E)

    10. The Room Next Door (PR: 15) (+5)

    Other Possibilities:

    11. A Complete Unknown (PR: 9) (-2)

    12. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 13) (+1)

    12. A Real Pain (PR: 11) (-1)

    14. Gladiator II (PR: 16) (+2)

    15. Queer (PR: 14) (-1)

    16. September 5 (PR: 23) (+7)

    17. Nosferatu (PR: 17) (E)

    18. The Apprentice (PR: 22) (+4)

    19. All We Imagine as Light (PR: 19) (E)

    20. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 11) (-9)

    21. The Piano Lesson (PR: 18) (-3)

    22. Wicked (PR: 21) (-1)

    23. Juror No. 2 (PR: Not Ranked)

    24. His Three Daughters (PR: Not Ranked)

    25. A Different Man (PR: 25) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Nightbitch

    Maria

    Best Director

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist (PR: 3) (+2)

    2. Steve McQueen, Blitz (PR: 1) (-1)

    3. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two (PR: 2) (-1)

    4. Sean Baker, Anora (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Jacques Audiard, Emila Pérez (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. RaMell Ross, Nickel Boys (PR: 7) (+1)

    7. Mohammad Rasoulof, The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 8) (+1)

    8. Greg Kwedar, Sing Sing (PR: 6) (-2)

    9. Edward Berger, Conclave (PR: 9) (E)

    10. Jason Reitman, Saturday Night (PR: 11) (+1)

    11. Pedro Almodóvar, The Room Next Door (PR: Not Ranked)

    12. James Mangold, A Complete Unknown (PR: 10) (-2)

    13. Ridley Scott, Gladiator II (PR: 15) (+2)

    14. Luca Guadagnino, Queer (PR: 13) (-1)

    15. Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light (PR: 14) (-1)

    Dropped Out:

    Todd Phillips, Joker: Folie à Deux

    Best Actress

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Mikey Madison, Anora (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Angelina Jolie, Maria (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Karla Sofia Gascón, Emilia Pérez (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Saoirse Ronan, The Outrun (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Amy Adams, Nightbitch (PR: 7) (+2)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Nicole Kidman, Babygirl (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. Julianne Moore, The Room Next Door (PR: 10) (+2)

    9. Demi Moore, The Substance (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here (PR: 12) (+2)

    11. Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl (PR: 15) (+4)

    12. Carrie Coon, His Three Daughters (PR: 11) (-1)

    13. June Squibb, Thelma (PR: 13) (E)

    14. Zendaya, Challengers (PR: Not Ranked)

    15. Florence Pugh, We Live in Time (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Lady Gaga, Joker: Folie à Deux – moved to supporting

    Ryan Destiny, The Fire Inside

    Best Actor

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist (PR: 3) (+2)

    2. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing (PR: 1) (-1)

    3. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave (PR: 2) (-1)

    4. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Daniel Craig, Queer (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Sebastian Stan, A Different Man (PR: 8) (+1)

    8. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Glen Powell, Hit Man (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. Paul Mescal, Gladiator II (PR: 12) (+2)

    11. Gabriel LaBelle, Saturday Night (PR: Not Ranked)

    12. Jesse Plemons, Kinds of Kindness (PR: 11) (-1)

    13. Ethan Herisse, Nickel Boys (PR: 13) (E)

    14. John David Washington, The Piano Lesson (PR: 14) (E)

    15. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain (PR: 15) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    André Holland, The Actor

    Best Supporting Actress

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Danielle Deadwyler, The Piano Lesson (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist (PR: 7) (+4)

    4. Saoirse Ronan, Blitz (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Tilda Swinton, The Room Next Door (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Nickel Boys (PR: 4) (-3)

    8. Natasha Lyonne, His Three Daughters (PR: 8) (E)

    9. Lady Gaga, Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: Not Ranked) – moved from lead Actress

    10. Joan Chen, Dídi (PR: 9) (-1)

    11. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave (PR: 10) (-1)

    12. Lesley Manville, Queer (PR: 11) (-1)

    13. Elle Fanning, A Complete Unknown (PR: 12) (-1)

    14. Toni Collette, Juror No. 2 (PR: Not Ranked)

    15. Fernanda Montenegro, I’m Still Here (PR: 15) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Kathy Burke, Blitz

    Elizabeth Olsen, His Three Daughters

    Best Supporting Actor

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Denzel Washington, Gladiator II (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Stanley Tucci, Conclave (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown (PR: 8) (+1)

    8. Adam Pearson, A Different Man (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Drew Starkey, Queer (PR: 12) (+3)

    10. Samuel L. Jackson, The Piano Lesson (PR: 9) (-1)

    11. Harris Dickinson, Blitz (PR: 10) (-1)

    12. Mark Eidelstein, Anora (PR: 11) (-1)

    13. Brian Tyree Henry, The Fire Inside (PR: 13) (E)

    14. Ray Fisher, The Piano Lesson (PR: Not Ranked)

    15. John Lithgow, Conclave (PR: 15) (+1)

    Dropped Out:

    Stephen Graham, Blitz

    Best Original Screenplay

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Anora (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Brutalist (PR: 5) (+3)

    3. Blitz (PR: 2) (-1)

    4. A Real Pain (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Saturday Night (PR: 4) (-1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Emilia Pérez (PR: 6) (E)

    7. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 9) (+2)

    8. His Three Daughters (PR: 8) (E)

    9. The Substance (PR: 12) (+3)

    10. Hard Truths (PR: 7) (-3)

    11. Dídi (PR: 10) (-1)

    12. Kinds of Kindness (PR: 14) (+2)

    13. September 5 (PR: 11) (-2)

    14. A Different Man (PR: 15) (+1)

    15. Juror No. 2 (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Challengers

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Sing Sing (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Conclave (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Nickel Boys (PR: 3) (E)

    4. The Room Next Door (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. Queer (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Dune: Part Two (PR: 4) (-2)

    7. Hit Man (PR: 7) (E)

    8. A Complete Unknown (PR: 9) (+1)

    9. The Piano Lesson (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. I’m Still Here (PR: Not Ranked)

    11. Gladiator II (PR: 13) (+2)

    12. Nightbitch (PR: 10) (-2)

    13. Inside Out 2 (PR: 12) (-1)

    14. Nosferatu (PR: 15) (+1)

    15. The Wild Robot (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Joker: Folie à Deux

    The Fire Inside

    Best International Feature Film

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (PR: 2) (E)

    3. I’m Still Here (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Grand Tour (PR: 4) (E)

    5. All We Imagine as Light (PR: 7) (+2)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Universal Language (PR: 8) (+2)

    7. The Girl with the Needle (PR: 5) (-2)

    8. Caught by the Tides (PR: 10) (+2)

    9. Kneecap (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. Simon of the Mountain (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    The Count of Monte Cristo

    Cloud

    Best Animated Feature

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Inside Out 2 (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Wild Robot (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Flow (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Memoir of a Snail (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Piece by Piece (PR: 8) (+2)

    7. Moana 2 (PR: 7) (E)

    8. The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim (PR: 10) (+2)

    9. Savages (PR: 6) (-3)

    10. Orion and the Dark (PR: 9) (-1)

    Best Documentary Feature

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Daughters (PR: 1) (E)

    2. No Other Land (PR: 4) (+2)

    3. Will & Harper (PR: 5) (+2)

    4. Sugarcane (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Black Box Diaries (PR: 2) (-4)

    7. Union (PR: Not Ranked)

    8. Apocalypse in the Tropics (PR: 10) (+2)

    9. Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story (PR: 9) (E)

    10. Skywalkers: A Love Story (PR: 8) (-2)

    Dropped Out:

    The Remarkable Life of Ibelin

    Best Cinematography

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. The Brutalist (PR: 5) (+4)

    2. Dune: Part Two (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Blitz (PR: 1) (-2)

    4. Nosferatu (PR: 4) (E)

    5. Emilia Pérez (PR: 7) (+2)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Joker: Folie á Deux (PR: 3) (-3)

    7. Anora (PR: 8) (+1)

    8. Gladiator II (PR: 6) (-2)

    9. Conclave (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. The Room Next Door (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Queer

    Maria

    Best Costume Design

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Wicked (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Gladiator II (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. Nosferatu (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. Blitz (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (PR: Not Ranked)

    7. Maria (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 8) (-1)

    10. Saturday Night (PR: 10) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Queer

    Best Film Editing

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Blitz (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Anora (PR: 3) (+1)

    3. The Brutalist (PR: 7) (+4)

    4. Sing Sing (PR: 6) (+2)

    5. Saturday Night (PR: 4) (-1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Dune: Part Two (PR: 2) (-4)

    7. Emilia Pérez (PR: 8) (+1)

    8. Nickel Boys (PR: Not Ranked)

    9. Conclave (PR: 5) (-4)

    10. Challengers (PR: 10) (E)

    Dropped Out:

    Joker: Folie à Deux

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Nosferatu (PR: 2) (E)

    3. A Different Man (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (PR: 7) (+3)

    5. Maria (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Wicked (PR: 6) (E)

    7. Joker: Folie á Deux (PR: 4) (-3)

    8. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 8) (E)

    9. The Substance (PR: 10) (+1)

    10. Gladiator II (PR: 9) (-1)

    Best Original Score

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. The Brutalist (PR: Not Ranked)

    3. Sing Sing (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Emilia Pérez (PR: 4) (E)

    5. The Wild Robot (PR: Not Ranked)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Gladiator II (PR: 5) (-1)

    7. Conclave (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 2) (-6)

    9. Queer (PR: 7) (-2)

    10. Saturday Night (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Challengers

    Blitz

    Nickel Boys

    Best Original Song

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. “Mi Camino” from Emilia Pérez (PR: 1) (E)

    2. “Like a Bird” from Sing Sing (PR: 3) (+1)

    3. “Relentless” from Diane Warren: Relentless (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. “Piece by Piece” from Piece by Piece (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. “Harper and Will Go West” from Will & Harper (PR: 6) (+1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. “Kiss the Sky” from The Wild Robot (PR: Not Ranked)

    7. “We’re Back” from Moana 2 (PR: 7) (E)

    8. “El Mal” from Emilia Pérez (PR: Not Ranked)

    9. “The Journey” from The Six Triple Eight (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. “Why Am I Here?” from Shirley (PR: 8) (-1)

    Dropped Out:

    TBD from Joker: Folie à Deux

    “Compress/Repress” from Challengers

    “Ain’t No Love in Oklahoma” from Twisters

    Best Production Design

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Blitz (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Gladiator II (PR: 4) (+1)

    4. Nosferatu (PR: 3) (-1)

    5. The Brutalist (PR: 5) (E)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Saturday Night (PR: 10) (+4)

    7. Wicked (PR: 6) (-1)

    8. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 7) (-1)

    9. Conclave (PR: 9) (E)

    10. Maria (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Joker: Folie à Deux

    Best Sound

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Blitz (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Gladiator II (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Emilia Pérez (PR: 7) (+3)

    5. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 9) (+4)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Nosferatu (PR: 8) (+2)

    7. A Complete Unknown (PR: 5) (-2)

    8. Joker: Folie à Deux (PR: 4) (-4)

    9. Wicked (PR: 6) (-3)

    10. The Brutalist (PR: Not Ranked)

    Dropped Out:

    Civil War

    Best Visual Effects

    Predicted Nominees:

    1. Dune: Part Two (PR: 1) (E)

    2. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (PR: 2) (E)

    3. Gladiator II (PR: 3) (E)

    4. Twisters (PR: 5) (+1)

    5. Here (PR: 4) (-1)

    Other Possibilities:

    6. Blitz (PR: 10) (+4)

    7. Deadpool & Wolverine (PR: 7) (E)

    8. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (PR: 6) (-2)

    9. Better Man (PR: Not Ranked)

    10. Wicked (PR: 8) (-2)

    Dropped Out:

    Alien: Romulus

    And that equates to these movies generating these numbers of nominations:

    10 Nominations

    The Brutalist

    9 Nominations

    Blitz, Dune: Part Two, Emilia Pérez

    7 Nominations

    Sing Sing

    5 Nominations

    Anora, Gladiator II

    4 Nominations

    Conclave, Nosferatu

    3 Nominations

    The Room Next Door, Saturday Night

    2 Nominations

    Maria, Nickel Boys, Queer, A Real Pain, The Wild Robot, Will & Harper

    1 Nomination

    All We Imagine as Light, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, A Complete Unknown, Daughters, Diane Warren: Relentless, A Different Man, Flow, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga, Grand Tour, Here, I’m Still Here, Inside Out 2, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Memoir of a Snail, The Outrun, Nightbitch, No Other Land, The Piano Lesson, Piece by Piece, The Seed of the Sacred Fig, Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat, Sugarcane, Twisters, Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl, Wicked