Halloween is typically a quiet time at the box office and that should play out in 2026 with it falling on a Saturday. There are no significant wide releases other than Christmas at the Kringles. I didn’t do an individual prediction post for the Briarcliff release. The comedic horror flick is slated to release on approximately 1800 screens and I don’t think it’ll make enough cash (maybe $2 to $2.5 million) to place in the top five.
That leaves holdovers for what could be a close contest between current champ Clayface and You Can See Everything, which has held the runner-up spot for two weeks in a row. I have the former dropping in the mid 40s with the latter easing in the mid 30s.
After kicking off on the higher end of its expected range, Wildwood should remain in third with Street Fighter and Wicker in a battle for fourth and fifth position. Here’s how I have it shaking out:
1. Clayface
Predicted Gross: $13.5 million
2. You Can See Everything
Predicted Gross: $12.9 million
3. Wildwood
Predicted Gross: $8 million
4. Wicker
Predicted Gross: $4 million
5. Street Fighter
Predicted Gross: $4 million
Box Office Results (October 23-25)
Sporting a reported $40 million budget (certainly small for the DC Universe), Clayface made $24 million for a slightly better debut than my $22 million prediction. The R-rated comic book adaptation’s results are alright considering the price tag as it hopes viewers will keep coming during the Halloween frame.
A24’s acclaimed doc You Can See Everything expanded wide and was second with $19.5 million. I went a little higher at $23.8 million though it can boast a better per theater average than Clayface. The probable Oscar contender has amassed $45 million.
Laika Animation’s Wildwood capitalized on rave reviews in third with $12.2 million. That’s still not great when factoring the $100 million plus budget, but it’s stronger than the lower forecasts including my own at $7.2 million.
Video game adaptation Street Fighter was knocked down from 1st to 4th in its sophomore outing with $8.5 million. That’s a whopping 72% plummet and under my $11.6 million projection. The two-week total is $46 million.
Wicker with Olivia Colman and Alexander Skarsgård built a commendable female following in fifth with $5.7 million. I went with $4.9 million.
Jessica Chastain’s horror pic Other Mommy was sixth with $3.9 million. My guess? $3.9 million! The three-week tally is $51 million.
Seventh place went to Sense and Sensibility as the Jane Austen adaptation made $3.3 million, not matching my $4.2 million call. The ten-day gross is an underwhelming $13 million.
Whalefall sunk to eighth in frame #2 with $3 million (I said $3.7 million). The whale tale is also at $13 million.
Last (and least), Taika Waititi’s Klara and the Sun had a dark debut in 15th (!) with just $701,000 and an average of under $800 per venue. Oof. I said it would do $2.3 million.
Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim’s You Can See Everything has done the kind of box office numbers that documentaries simply don’t do unless it is Fahrenheit 9/11 from 22 years ago. The unconventional look at Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes as she prepares for prison and the aftermath has become a water cooler experience for audiences.
When I did my last predictions update two weeks ago, I did not have Everything listed in my top 15 possibilities for Best Picture. A lot has changed. It now sits at #3. Along with The Odyssey and The Black Ball, I believe a win narrative is present. Fielder and Oppenheim also make their appearance (in third) in the directing quintet. The film rises from #2 to #1 in Documentary Feature. I have it down for an Editing nod and it could get into Cinematography and Original Score.
The Everything love also extends to the acting categories. Due to the doc’s nature, I will not spoil who I’m predicting for a Supporting Actress nomination. Those who’ve seen the pic will understand. That will likely change soon but I’ll be kind enough to put a spoiler alert for readers who haven’t seen it.
Everything‘s rise in Picture takes out Elsinore while Fielder and Oppenheim’s ascension in Director drops Ryusuke Hamaguchi (All of a Sudden). She who shall not be named in Supporting Actress has Lola Dueñas from The Black Ball on the outside looking in. While Dueñas falls, her costar Guitarricadelafuente makes his first appearance in Supporting Actor. That removes Edward Norton (The Invite) from my five in what would be seen as a rather major snub.
You can read all the movement below!
Best Picture
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
4. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 3) (-1)
5. Dune: Part Three (PR: 5) (E)
6. Project Hail Mary (PR: 4) (-2)
7. The Invite (PR: 7) (E)
8. The Debut (PR: 6) (-2)
9. All of a Sudden (PR: 9) (E)
10. Obsession (PR: 8) (-2)
Other Possibilities:
11. Elsinore (PR: 10) (-1)
12. Fjord (PR: 12) (E)
13. Artificial (PR: 13) (E)
14. I Play Rocky (PR: 11) (-2)
15. Digger (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Being Heumann
Possible Love
Best Director
Predicted Nominees:
1. Christopher Nolan, The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo, The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim, You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
4. Olivia Wilde, The Invite (PR: 4) (E)
5. Martin McDonagh, Wild Horse Nine (PR: 3) (-2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, All of a Sudden (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Three (PR: 7) (E)
8. Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, Project Hail Mary (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Jesse Eisenberg, The Debut (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Cristian Mungiu, Fjord (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Lee Chang-dong, Possible Love
Best Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Julianne Moore, The Debut (PR: 1) (E)
2. Inde Navarrette, Obsession (PR: 2) (E)
3. Olivia Wilde, The Invite (PR: 3) (E)
4. Sandra Hüller, Rose (PR: 4) (E)
5. Virginie Efira, All of a Sudden (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Renate Reinsve, Fjord (PR: 6) (E)
7. Ruth Madeley, Being Heumann (PR: 7) (E)
8. Emily Blunt, Disclosure Day (PR: 8) (E)
9. Léa Seydoux, Gentle Monster (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Cynthia Erivo, Prima Facie (PR: 9) (-1)
Best Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Andrew Scott, Elsinore (PR: 1) (E)
2. John Malkovich, Wild Horse Nine (PR: 2) (E)
3. Matt Damon, The Odyssey (PR: 3) (E)
4. Tom Cruise, Digger (PR: 4) (E)
5. Ryan Gosling, Project Hail Mary (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Robert Pattinson, Primetime (PR: 6) (E)
7. Sebastian Stan, Fjord (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Anthony Ippolito, I Play Rocky (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Jaafar Jackson, Michael (PR: 10) (+1)
10. John Turturro, The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Pedro Pascal, Behemoth!
Best Supporting Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Anne Hathaway, The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Penélope Cruz, The Invite (PR: 2) (E)
3. Tao Okamoto, All of a Sudden (PR: 3) (E)
4. REDACTED, You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
5. Olivia Colman, Elsinore (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Samantha Morton, The Odyssey (PR: 6) (E)
7. Penélope Cruz, The Black Ball (PR: 7) (E)
8. Mariana Di Girolamo, Wild Horse Nine (PR: 8) (E)
9. Lola Dueñas, The Black Ball (PR: 5) (-4)
10. Sandra Hüller, Project Hail Mary (PR: 10) (E)
Dropped Out:
Scarlett Johansson, Paper Tiger
Best Supporting Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Paul Giamatti, The Debut (PR: 1) (E)
2. Andrew Garfield, Artificial (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Sam Rockwell, Wild Horse Nine (PR: 5) (+2)
4. John Leguizamo, The Odyssey (PR: 4) (E)
5. Guitarricadelafuente, The Black Ball (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Edward Norton, The Invite (PR: 2) (-4)
7. Colman Domingo, Michael (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Robert Pattinson, The Odyssey (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Guy Pearce, Ink (PR: 9) (E)
10. Riz Ahmed, Digger (PR: 10) (E)
Best Original Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
1. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Debut (PR: 2) (E)
3. Obsession (PR: 3) (E)
4. Artificial (PR: 4) (E)
5. Tender Loving Care (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Fjord (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Elsinore (PR: 7) (E)
8. I Play Rocky (PR: 8) (E)
9. Club Kid (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Digger (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Possible Love
Best Adapted Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Invite (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Odyssey (PR: 3) (E)
4. All of a Sudden (PR: 4) (E)
5. Project Hail Mary (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Dune: Part Three (PR: 6) (E)
7. Being Heumann (PR: 7) (E)
8. Sense and Sensibility (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Ink (PR: 8) (-1)
10. The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Primetime
Wildwood
Best International Feature Film
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Black Ball (PR: 1) (E)
2. All of a Sudden (PR: 2) (E)
3. Fjord (PR: 3) (E)
4. Possible Love (PR:4) (E)
5. Minotaur (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Rose (PR: 6) (E)
7. Fatherland (PR: 7) (E)
8. Coward (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Woman Unknown (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Everytime (PR: 10) (E)
Best Animated Feature
Predicted Nominees:
1. Wildwood (PR: 1) (E)
2. Toy Story 5 (PR: 2) (E)
3. Ray Gunn (PR: 3) (E)
4. Tangles (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Iron Boy (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Forgotten Island (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Hoppers (PR: 8) (E)
9. In Waves (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Coyote vs. Acme (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Minions & Monsters
Best Documentary Feature
Predicted Nominees:
1. You Can See Everything (PR: 2) (+1)
2. NAZA (PR: 1) (-1)
3. Once Upon a Time in Harlem (PR: 3) (E)
4. American Doctor (PR: 4) (E)
5. Rehearsals for a Revolution (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. One in a Million (PR: 6) (E)
7. To Hold a Mountain (PR: 7) (E)
8. The History of Concrete (PR: 9) (+1)
9. 14th (PR: 10) (+1)
10. The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
When a Witness Recants
Best Casting
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 3) (E)
4. Being Heumann (PR: 5) (+1)
5. The Debut (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. The Invite (PR: Not Ranked)
7. Dune: Part Three (PR: 9) (+2)
8. I Play Rocky (PR: 6) (-2)
9. All of a Sudden (PR: 10) (+1)
9. Artificial (PR: 8) (-2)
Dropped Out:
Fjord
Best Cinematography
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Dune: Part Three (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Black Ball (PR: 3) (E)
4. Project Hail Mary (PR: 4) (E)
5. Fatherland (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Werwulf (PR: 6) (E)
7. Digger (PR: 7) (E)
8. You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 9) (E)
10. Disclosure Day (PR: 8) (-2)
Dropped Out:
Fjord
Best Costume Design
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. Sense and Sensibility (PR: 3) (E)
4. Dune: Part Three (PR: 4) (E)
5. Michael (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Werwulf (PR: 6) (E)
7. The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PR: 7) (E)
8. Wuthering Heights (PR: 8) (E)
9. I Love Boosters (PR: 9) (E)
10. Digger (PR: 10) (E)
Best Film Editing
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. You Can See Everything (PR: 7) (+4)
4. Project Hail Mary (PR: 4) (E)
5. Dune: Part Three (PR: 3) (-2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 5) (-1)
7. The Invite (PR: 8) (+1)
8. The Debut (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Artificial (PR: Not Ranked)
10. I Play Rocky (PR: 10) (E)
Dropped Out:
Behemoth!
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Predicted Nominees:
1. Werwulf (PR: 1) (E)
2. Digger (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Odyssey (PR: 3) (E)
4. Wicker (PR: 4) (E)
5. Rose (PR: 7) (+2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Michael (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Dune: Part Three (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Clayface (PR: 6) (-2)
9. The Black Ball (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Is God Is (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
The Bride!
Best Original Score
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Black Ball (PR: 2) (E)
3. Project Hail Mary (PR: 3) (E)
4. Disclosure Day (PR: 4) (E)
5. Behemoth! (PR: 7) (+2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Dune: Part Three (PR: 6) (E)
7. Wildwood (PR: 5) (-2)
8. Wild Horse Nine (PR: 8) (E)
9. The Debut (PR: 10) (+1)
10. You Can See Everything (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Artificial
Best Original Song
Predicted Nominees:
1. “La Nieve” from The Black Ball (PR: 1) (E)
2. “The City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn’t Spit Me Out)” from The Debut (PR: 3) (+1)
3. “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Toy Story 5 (PR: 2) (-1)
4. “By Any Means” from By Any Means (PR: 4) (E)
5. “How to Write a Song (Without You)” from Power Ballad (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. “The Saddest Song” from Artificial (PR: Not Ranked)
7. “When I’m Home” from The Odyssey (PR: 6) (-1)
8. “The Better Part of Bravery” from Wildwood (PR: 7) (-1)
9. “Chains of Love” from Wuthering Heights (PR: 8) (-1)
10. “Let Me Sell You a Dream” from Musk (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
“Runway” from The Devil Wears Prada 2
Best Production Design
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Dune: Part Three (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Black Ball (PR: 4) (+1)
4. Digger (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Project Hail Mary (PR: 3) (-2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Werwulf (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Backrooms (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Sense and Sensibility (PR: 8) (E)
9. Wuthering Heights (PR: 10) (+1)
10. The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Wildwood
Best Sound
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Odyssey (PR: 1) (E)
2. Dune: Part Three (PR: 2) (E)
3. Project Hail Mary (PR: 3) (E)
4. The Black Ball (PR: 4) (E)
5. Michael (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Disclosure Day (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Godzilla Minus Zero (PR: 7) (E)
8. Whalefall (PR: 8) (E)
9. Werwulf (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Behemoth! (PR: 9) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Wildwood
Best Visual Effects
Predicted Nominees:
1. Dune: Part Three (PR: 1) (E)
2. Project Hail Mary (PR: 2) (E)
3. Godzilla Minus Zero (PR: 4) (+1)
4. The Odyssey (PR: 3) (-1)
5. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Wildwood (PR: 8) (+2)
7. Avengers: Doomsday (PR: 7) (E)
8. Whalefall (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Disclosure Day (PR: 9) (E)
10. The Sheep Detectives (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
The End of Oak Street
That equates to these movies generating these numbers of nominations:
15 Nominations
The Odyssey
13 Nominations
The Black Ball
9 Nominations
Project Hail Mary
7 Nominations
Dune: Part Three
6 Nominations
The Debut, Wild Horse Nine
5 Nominations
All of a Sudden, The Invite, You Can See Everything
3 Nominations
Digger, Obsession
2 Nominations
Artificial, Elsinore, Michael, Rose, Toy Story 5
1 Nomination
American Doctor, Behemoth!, Being Heumann, By Any Means, Disclosure Day, Fatherland, Fjord, Godzilla Minus Zero, Iron Boy, Minotaur, NAZA, Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Possible Love, Power Ballad, Ray Gunn, Rehearsals for a Revolution, Sense and Sensibility, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Tangles, Tender Loving Care, Werwulf, Wicker, Wildwood
**Blogger’s Update (10/21): I didn’t do an individual post for Wicker with Olivia Colman, but with the news that it is debuting on over 1400 screens, my $4.9 million puts it in fifth place on my chart.
Clayface from the DC Universe was, until very recently, expected to easily rule the box office charts this weekend. That may be challenged from a previously unanticipated source. We also have Laika Animation’s critically acclaimed Wildwood and Taika Waititi’s far from acclaimed sci-fi dramedy Klara and the Sun starring Jenna Ortega premiering. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on the newcomers here:
Clayface could gross high teens for a floor to possibly mid to high 20s in the best case scenario. My estimate puts it right in the middle of the range in the low 20s. That’s far from impressive but not too shabby considering its reported $40 million budget.
As mentioned, that figure was thought to be enough to give it bragging rights at #1. Then You Can See Everything happened. Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim’s documentary about imprisoned Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes exceeded all expectations with a sizzling #2 debut on 855 screens (more on its opening below). It is slated to grow to around 2600 venues this weekend. I think the word-of-mouth could mean a low to mid 20s output in its sophomore frame. That means I’m giving it the edge for the top spot.
Wildwood, despite glowing reviews, may fall under $10 million for a fourth place start. As for Klara, my meager $2.3 million guesstimate might mean it struggles to even make the top 10.
Current champ Street Fighter should be third with a low 60s percentage fall while holdovers Sense and Sensibility, Whalefall, and Other Mommy all post similar grosses.
Here’s how I see it all shaking out:
1. You Can See Everything
Predicted Gross: $23.8 million
2. Clayface
Predicted Gross: $22 million
3. Street Fighter
Predicted Gross: $11.6 million
4. Wildwood
Predicted Gross: $7.2 million
5. Wicker
Predicted Gross: $4.9 million
6. Sense and Sensibility
Predicted Gross: $4.2 million
7. Other Mommy
Predicted Gross: $3.9 million
8. Whalefall
Predicted Gross: $3.7 million
Box Office Results (October 16-18)
Video game based Street Fighter kicked off in line with expectations at $30.7 million for first, managing to outdo my $24.5 million take. I look for it to fade quickly.
A24 nailed down the second highest non-concert documentary opening in history behind 2004’s Fahrenheit 9/11 with You Can See Everything. With over $18k per screen, the doc (which no one knew existed until it surprise screened at Telluride) was runner-up with $15.6 million. That’s well beyond my $8.9 million prediction as its future looks rosy.
Other Mommy dropped to third with $8.2 million (a 70% plummet) compared to my $9.1 million call. The horror flick with Jessica Chastain sits at $44 million after two weeks.
Survival tale Whalefall flopped in fourth with $7.8 million, in line with my $8.2 million projection. Mixed reviews helped sink it.
Sense and Sensibility rounded out the top five with a respectable $7.2 million, ahead of my $5.3 million forecast. The latest Jane Austen adaptation may hold up fairly in subsequent weekends.
Finally, Verity was sixth with $6 million (I said $5.9 million) as the romantic thriller brought its three-week tally to $65 million.
A quartet of newcomers step into the box office ring this weekend. Video game adaptation Street Fighter looks to lead the pack while survival tale Whalefall, acclaimed documentary You Can See Everything, and the latest adaptation of Jane Austen’s Sense and Sensibility jockey for position in the top five. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on them here:
Arriving 32 years after the Jean-Claude Van Damme version was a considerable bomb, Street Fighter should fare better with a decent if unspectacular mid 20s start. That should easily give it a first place finish.
Whalefall features Resident Evil lead Austin Abrams stuck in the belly of a sperm whale and I have it logging a so-so fourth place start in the high single digits.
You Can See Everything is the major question mark. It made a splash at the Telluride Film Festival and the covering of Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes before she entered prison should generate eyeballs. The challenge is that I’ve yet to see a screen count. My higher single digits estimate could put in anywhere from 2nd to 4th depending on the Other Mommy drop.
Jessica Chastain’s horror flick opened in line with expectations (more on that below) but poor reviews and a dreadful D+ Cinemascore grade could spell a mid to high 60s percentage decline in weekend #2.
Sense and Sensibility doesn’t seem to have significant buzz and my mid single digits take should have it rounding out the top six just behind Verity‘s third frame.
Here’s how I see it shaking out:
1. Street Fighter
Predicted Gross: $24.5 million
2. Other Mommy
Predicted Gross: $9.1 million
3. You Can See Everything
Predicted Gross: $8.9 million
4. Whalefall
Predicted Gross: $8.2 million
5. Verity
Predicted Gross: $5.9 million
6. Sense and Sensibility
Predicted Gross: $5.3 million
Box Office Results (October 9-11)
Audiences were hungry for horror despite a critical drubbing as Other Mommy brought in $27.8 million, on pace with my $27.2 million prediction. As mentioned, even with genre fans craving scares, this should fade quickly.
Verity dropped to second with $12 million, just under my $13.1 million call. The thriller with Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson eased 63% for a two-week total of $54 million.
Resident Evil was third in its fourth frame with $8.5 million compared to my $7.8 million projection. This video game adaptation grew to $138 million.
Heart of the Beast took fourth with $7.4 million (I said $6.6 million) as the Brad Pitt survival tale hit $50 million after three weeks.
Finally, Aaron Sorkin’s The Social Reckoning tanked in fifth with $5 million. Taking in just a quarter of what 2010 predecessor The Social Network achieved out of the gate, the tech drama couldn’t match my $7.4 million number.
Ever since its surprise premiere at the Telluride Film Festival, Nathan Fielder and Primetime director Lance Oppenheim’s You Can See Everything has been picked up considerable buzz that could translate to impressive box office numbers (especially for its genre). The A24 release finds the filmmakers deeply involved in documenting the life of Theranos founder and convicted swindler Elizabeth Holmes as she awaits her prison stay and beyond.
Clocking in at nearly three hours, Everything is one of 2026’s most acclaimed titles at 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and 97 on Metacritic. It is rolling out in limited fashion this Friday, October 16th. A theater count has yet to be published which makes a projection tricky.
Everything appears to be playing indie venues and select AMC locations. My local indie theater’s showtimes this coming weekend are filling up quickly while the AMC showings have better availability. With some pundits predicting it could be the first doc to receive a Best Picture nomination, the curiosity factor should be high.
The largest non-concert documentary opening belongs to 2004’s Fahrenheit 9/11 at nearly $24 million. I don’t believe this challenge that, but the second best is Chimpanzee with $10.6 million. In a best case scenario, Everything might achieve that figure or slightly more.
My forecast could fluctuate once I see a count. For now, I’ll put it a little under $10 million.
You Can See Everything opening weekend prediction: $8.9 million
