Obsession Box Office Prediction

Focus Features looks for genre fans to lock in on Obsession when it debuts May 15th. From writer/director Curry Barker, who will soon be taking over The Texas Chainsaw Massacre franchise, the horror flick originally premiered last fall at the Toronto Film Festival. Michael Johnston, Inde Navarrette, Cooper Tomlinson, Megan Lawless, and Andy Richter lead the cast.

With a teensy budget of around $1 million, Obsession captured the attention of patrons at TIFF during midnight showings. The Rotten Tomatoes score is 96% with 78 on Metacritic. Focus reportedly bought the rights for $15 million with hopes of a sleeper hit.

The more optimistic projections have this managing double digits. I’m not sure the awareness factor will allow for that so I’ll set the bar a bit lower. My estimate puts this in the same range as Bring Her Back, Drop, and Hokum.

Obsession opening weekend prediction: $6.8 million