My first Oscar predictions in the six major categories for the month of June sees Top Gun: Maverick rising 3 spots to #17 in the BP derby. My ten predicted nominees remain the same as do the five estimated individuals in Director, Actor, and Supporting Actor. There are changes in Actress with Cate Blanchett (Tar) in my five over Danielle Deadwyler (Till) and in Supporting Actress with Hong Chau (The Whale) being elevated over Vanessa Kirby in The Son. You can peruse all the movement below!
Best Picture
Predicted Nominees:
1. Babylon (Previous Ranking: 1) (E)
2. The Fabelmans (PR: 2) (E)
3. Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 3) (E)
4. Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 4) (E)
5. Women Talking (PR: 6) (+1)
6. The Son (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Bardo (PR: 7) (E)
8. She Said (PR: 9)
9. The Whale (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Empire of Light (PR: 9) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
11. Rustin (PR: 11) (E)
12. Broker (PR: 12) (E)
13. Poor Things (PR: 18) (+5)
14. Amsterdam (PR: 14) (E)
15. Decision to Leave (PR: 13) (-2)
16. Tar (PR: 24) (+8)
17. Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 20) (+3)
18. Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 19) (+1)
19. Thirteen Lives (PR: 16) (-3)
20. White Noise (PR: 15) (-5)
21. Elvis (PR: 17) (-4)
22. Next Goal Wins (PR: 23) (+1)
23. Aftersun (PR: 25( +2)
24. Till (PR: 22) (-2)
25. The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Armageddon Time
Best Director
Predicted Nominees:
1. Damien Chazelle, Babylon (PR: 1) (E)
2. Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans (PR: 2) (E)
3. Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 3) (E)
4. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Bardo (PR: 5) (+1)
5. The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Sarah Polley, Women Talking (PR: 6) (E)
7. Darren Aronofsky, The Whale (PR: 11) (+4)
8. Florian Zeller, The Son (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Sam Mendes, Empire of Light (PR: 9) (-1)
11. Hirokazu Kore-eda, Broker (PR: 10) (-1)
12. Maria Schrader, She Said (PR: 12) (E)
13. Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things (PR: 15) (+2)
14. James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 14) (E)
15. George C. Wolfe, Rustin (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
David O. Russell, Amsterdam
Best Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Margot Robbie, Babylon (PR: 1) (E)
2. Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Regina King, Shirley (PR: 2) (-1)
4. Olivia Colman, Empire of Light (PR: 4) (E)
5. Cate Blanchett, Tar (PR: 7) (+2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Danielle Deadwyler, Till (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Carey Mulligan, She Said (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Naomi Ackie, I Wanna Dance with Somebody (PR: 8) (E)
9. Emma Stone, Poor Things (PR: 9) (E)
10. Laura Dern, The Son (PR: 10) (E)
11. Helen Mirren, Golda (PR: 13) (+2)
12. Viola Davis, The Woman King (PR: 11) (-1)
13. Ana de Armas, Blonde (PR: 14) (+1)
14. Michelle Williams, Showing Up (PR: 13) (-1)
15. Saoirse Ronan, See How They Run (PR: 15) (E)
Best Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Brendan Fraser, The Whale (PR: 2) (+1)
2. Hugh Jackman, The Son (PR: 1) (-1)
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 3) (E)
4. Colman Domingo, Rustin (PR: 4) (E)
5. Austin Butler, Elvis (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Song King-Ho, Broker (PR: 6) (E)
7. Diego Calva, Babylon (PR: 10) (+3)
8. Christian Bale, Amsterdam (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Daniel Gimenez Cacho, Bardo (PR: 9) (E)
10. Adam Driver, White Noise (PR: 8) (-2)
11. Michael Fassbender, Next Goal Wins (PR: 11) (E)
12. Gabriel LaBelle, The Fabelmans (PR: 13) (+1)
13. Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick (PR: Not Ranked)
14. Michael Ward, Empire of Light (PR: Not Ranked)
15. Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 15) (E)
Dropped Out:
Viggo Mortensen, Thirteen Lives
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Best Supporting Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans (PR: 1) (E)
2. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 2) (E)
3. Jessie Buckley, Women Talking (PR: 4) (+1)
4. Zoe Kazan, She Said (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Hong Chau, The Whale (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Vanessa Kirby, The Son (PR: 3) (-3)
7. Audra McDonald, Rustin (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Jean Smart, Babylon (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Patricia Clarkson, She Said (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 9) (-1)
11. Nina Hoss, Tar (PR: Not Ranked)
12. Dakota Johnson, Cha Cha Real Smooth (PR: 13) (+1)
13. Sadie Sink, The Whale (PR: Not Ranked)
14. Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 14) (E)
15. Margot Robbie, Amsterdam (PR: 12) (-3)
Dropped Out:
Whoopi Goldberg, Till
Anne Hathaway, Armageddon Time
Best Supporting Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 1) (E)
2. Brad Pitt, Babylon (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 4) (+1)
4. Paul Dano, The Fabelmans (PR: 2) (-2)
5. Jesse Plemons, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Willem Dafoe, Poor Things (PR: 6) (E)
7. Colin Firth, Empire of Light (PR: 7) (E)
8. Ben Whishaw, Women Talking (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Glynn Turman, Rustin (PR: 9) (E)
10. Seth Rogen, The Fabelmans (PR: 13) (+3)
11. Anthony Hopkins, Armageddon Time (PR: 12) (+1)
12. Tom Hanks, Elvis (PR: 14) (+2)
13. John David Washington, Amsterdam (PR: 8) (-5)
14. Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things (PR: 15) (+1)
15. Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Andre Holland, Shirley
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