76th BAFTA Nominee Predictions

Arriving five days before Oscar nominations are the British Academy Film Awards – commonly known as the BAFTAs. On January 6th, the long lists in each category were revealed. There were major surprises like Avatar: The Way of Water not being in the list of 10 for Best Film consideration (same goes for its maker James Cameron in Director). Perhaps the biggest shock was Steven Spielberg being omitted from the Directing race. That’s partly why I have The Fabelmans generating a grand total of 1 nomination.

This is a show that isn’t afraid to go their own way. In 2021, while all 5 Best Film contenders were also BP contenders with the Academy, none of the six Best Actress hopefuls scored an Oscar nod (I doubt that happens again). Only two of the six Actor nominees got the Academy’s consideration.

You know the drill. For each competition, I’m giving you my picks (nominees can be between 4 and 10 and mostly 5 and 6 depending on the race) and a runner-up. Let’s go!

Best Film

All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Tár, Triangle of Sadness

Runner-Up: Top Gun: Maverick

Director

Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front), Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Alice Diop (Saint Omer), Todd Field (Tár), Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), Charlotte Wells (Aftersun)

Runner-Up: Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave

Actress

Cate Blanchett (Tár), Viola Davis (The Woman King), Ana de Armas (Blonde), Lesley Manville (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris), Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande), Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Runner-Up: Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

Actor

Austin Butler (Elvis), Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brendan Fraser (The Whale), Felix Kammerer (All Quiet on the Western Front), Paul Mescal (Aftersun), Bill Nighy (Living)

Runner-Up: Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick

Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), Hong Chau (The Whale), Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin), Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness), Lashana Lynch (The Woman King), Janelle Monáe (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)

Runner-Up: Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Supporting Actor

Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin), Woody Harrelson (Triangle of Sadness), Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brad Pitt (Babylon), Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Micheal Ward (Empire of Light)

Runner-Up: Ben Whishaw, Women Talking

Original Screenplay

Aftersun, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Tár, Triangle of Sadness

Runner-Up: The Fabelmans

Adapted Screenplay

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Living, She Said, Women Talking

Runner-Up: The Whale

Outstanding British Film

Aftersun, The Banshees of Inisherin, Blue Jean, Brian and Charles, Empire of Light, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Living, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Roald Dahl’s Matilda the Musical, The Wonder

Runner-Up: Lady Chatterley’s Lover

Outstanding Debut a British Writer, Director, or Producer

Aftersun, Blue Jean, Emily, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Wayfinder

Runner-Up: Donna

Film Not in the English Language

All Quiet on the Western Front, Argentina, 1985, Decision to Leave, EO, The Quiet Girl

Runner-Up: RRR

Animated Film

Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Turning Red

Documentary

All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, The Ghost of Richard Harris, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song, Moonage Daydream

Runner-Up: Navalny

Casting

Aftersun, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Triangle of Sadness

Runner-Up: All Quiet on the Western Front

Cinematography

All Quiet on the Western Front, Athena, Empire of Light, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick

Runner-Up: The Banshees of Inisherin

Costume Design

Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Roald Dahl’s Matilda the Musical

Runner-Up: Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

Editing

All Quiet on the Western Front, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Moonage Daydream, Top Gun: Maverick

Runner-Up: Aftersun

Make Up and Hair

Amsterdam, Babylon, The Batman, Elvis, The Whale

Runner-Up: All Quiet on the Western Front

Original Score

Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, Empire of Light, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Women Talking

Runner-Up: The Batman

Production Design

Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Empire of Light

Runner-Up: All Quiet on the Western Front

Sound

All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Elvis, Top Gun: Maverick

Runner-Up: Thirteen Lives

Special Visual Effects

Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, Top Gun: Maverick

Runner-Up: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

That equates to these movies garnering these numbers in nominations:

11 Nominations

The Banshees of Inisherin

8 Nominations

Everything Everywhere All at Once

7 Nominations

All Quiet on the Western Front

6 Nominations

Aftersun, Elvis

5 Nominations

Babylon, Empire of Light, Tár, Triangle of Sadness

4 Nominations

Top Gun: Maverick

3 Nominations

Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Living, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, The Whale

2 Nominations

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blue Jean, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Moonage Daydream, Roald Dahl’s Matilda the Musical, The Woman King, Women Talking

1 Nomination

All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Argentina, 1985, Athena, Blonde, Brian and Charles, Decision to Leave, Emily, EO, The Fabelmans (!), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, The Ghost of Richard Harris, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, The Quiet Girl, Saint Omer, She Said, Turning Red, Wayfinder, The Wonder

I’ll have a recap up Thursday!

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