Well, folks, this is it. After months of weekly predictions and dozens of Oscar Watch posts, it’s time for my final Oscar picks in each feature film category (with an alternate listed as well). Nominations will be out Tuesday morning. I’ve used thousands of words to analyze the 2018 race and here’s the ones that count.
I’ll have analysis up Tuesday evening with how I did. Here we go!
Picture
A Star Is Born
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
Vice
Alternate – First Man
Director
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Alternate – Adam McKay, Vice
Actor
Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Alternate – John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman
Actress
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Alternate – Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns
Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliot, A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Alternate – Sam Rockwell, Vice
Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Vice
Claire Foy, First Man
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Alternate – Marina de Tavira, Roma
Adapted Screenplay
A Star Is Born
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
Alternate – First Man
Original Screenplay
The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
Vice
Alternate – Eighth Grade
Foreign Language Film
Burning
Capernaum
Cold War
Roma
Shoplifters
Alternate – Never Look Away
Animated Feature
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider–Man: Into the Spider–Verse
Alternate – Early Man
Documentary Feature
Free Solo
Minding the Gap
RBG
Three Identical Strangers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
Alternate – Shirkers
Film Editing
A Star Is Born
The Favourite
First Man
Roma
Vice
Alternate – Black Panther
Cinematography
Cold War
The Favourite
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
Alternate – A Star Is Born
Production Design
Black Panther
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma
Alternate – First Man
Costume Design
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots
Alternate – Crazy Rich Asians
Makeup and Hairstyling
Black Panther
Border
Vice
Alternate – Mary Queen of Scots
Sound Editing
A Quiet Place
A Star Is Born
Black Panther
First Man
Roma
Alternate – Bohemian Rhapsody
Sound Mixing
A Quiet Place
A Star Is Born
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma
Alternate – Mary Poppins Returns
Visual Effects
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Ready Player One
Alternate – Solo: A Star Wars Story
Score
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mary Poppins Returns
Alternate – Isle of Dogs
Song
“All the Stars” from Black Panther
“Girl in the Movies” from Dumplin
“I’ll Fight” from RBG
”Shallow” from A Star Is Born
“Trip a Little Light Fantastic” from Mary Poppins Returns
Alternate – “The Place Where Lost Things Go” from Mary Poppins Returns
And my picks equate to the following movies getting these numbers in terms of nods:
10 Nominations
A Star Is Born, The Favourite, Roma
9 Nominations
Black Panther
7 Nominations
First Man
6 Nominations
Vice
5 Nominations
BlacKkKlansman, Green Book, If Beale Street Could Talk, Mary Poppins Returns
4 Nominations
Bohemian Rhapsody
3 Nominations
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
2 Nominations
A Quiet Place, Cold War, First Reformed, RBG
1 Nomination
Avengers: Infinity War, Beautiful Boy, Border, Burning, Capernaum, Crazy Rich Asians, Dumplin, Free Solo, Incredibles 2, Isle of Dogs, Mary Queen of Scots, Minding the Gap, Mirai, Ralph Breaks the Internet, Ready Player One, Shoplifters, Spider–Man: Into the Spider–Verse, Three Identical Strangers, The Wife, Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
