My deeper dives into big races at the Oscars arrives at Supporting Actress. If you didn’t catch my take on where Supporting Actor, you can access it here:
The Telluride and Venice and ongoing Toronto Film Festivals have helped shed some light on various hopefuls. Penelope Cruz helped herself with the Ferrari bow in Venice. Jodie Comer could be a factor for The Bikeriders (though she could also be campaigned for in lead).
One thing remains the same and has since Cannes. Lily Gladstone’s performance in Martin Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon looks like a serious frontrunner. Obviously this could change as more pictures screen. The Color Purple, for example, has plenty of possibilities (Danielle Brooks, Taraji P. Henson, Halle Bailey).
We have gotten some news during festival season in that Sandra Hüller will be showcased here for The Zone of Interest. However, she’s more likely to make the Actress cut for Anatomy of a Fall.
At this stage of the predicting game, I’m shortening my possible nominees from 15 to 10. Here’s my snapshot of where I believe we are now:
Predicted Nominees:
1. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)
2. Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple (PR: 2) (E)
3. Taraji P. Henson, The Color Purple (PR: 3) (E)
4. Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers (PR: 6) (+2)
5. Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Viola Davis, Air (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Penelope Cruz, Ferrari (PR: 12) (+5)
8. Jodie Foster, Nyad (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Julianne Moore, May December (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Jodie Comer, The Bikeriders (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Rosamund Pike, Saltburn
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, The Nickel Boys
Helena Bonham-Carter, One Life
Claire Foy, All of Us Strangers
Vanessa Kirby, Napoleon
Niecy Nash-Betts, Origin
Best Actor is up next!
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