The Jigsaw Files: Saw X (2023)

When the surprise is revealed at the end of David Fincher’s The Game, Michael Douglas’s character is reminded that he was drugged and left for dead in Mexico and all that he got was a lousy t-shirt (and a gigantic bill I might add). John Kramer aka Jigsaw (Tobin Bell) can relate in Saw X. And while he doesn’t get a t-shirt, he definitely gets some new games to engineer after his visit to our southern neighbor.

As many franchises do nowadays, this tenth installment of the nearly two decade old series doesn’t require knowledge of the entire canon. You really only need to remember Saw (2004) and its 2005 sequel (they remain the best two of the bunch). To jar those memories, Bell’s Kramer has terminal brain cancer. His civil engineering background allows him to concoct elaborate traps for victims. He doesn’t look at them that way because they’re generally terrible people who’ve wronged him or others. The patient known as Jigsaw doesn’t actually kill them as he gives them opportunities for escape and I suppose personal growth. As we’ve witnessed in nine pictures already, these candidates for redemption frequently fail their tests. One of Jigsaw’s would-be cases is Amanda (Shawnee Smith). She passed her exam back in the original and was revealed to be his apprentice in part II.

With those friendly reminders, Saw X takes place between the happenings of Saw and Saw II. John is freshly diagnosed and given months to live. An acquaintance from a cancer support group tips him to experimental therapy in Mexico run by Norwegian doctor Cecelia Pederson (Synnøve Macody Lund). The eventual surgery yields puzzling results and Jigsaw realizes that the Scandinavian surgeon and her conspirators need his unique form of tutelage. Let the games begin.

Among the flaws of many Saw entries after the second and third ones is they fell all over themselves trying to feature Bell’s Jigsaw in them (or at least his aura). Two of them (Saw VI, Saw 3D) were directed by Kevin Greutert and he returns here. I can understand the strained Jigsaw inclusions as he’s the most compelling character and other villains (or sadistic heroes depending on how you look at it) didn’t match up. Therefore it’s a relief that screenwriters Josh Stolberg and Peter Goldfinger (who penned the inferior immediate predecessor Spiral) find a clever way to make him the star. These movies are dimly lit so the fact that Bell and Smith have aged a few years isn’t much of a distraction. The script also gives Bell the most screen time he’s probably ever had. That’s a plus. Yet Saw X is also quite leisurely paced at two hours. Stretching a Saw saga beyond 90 to 100 minutes is a test of endurance.

Stolberg and Goldfinger were also responsible for Jigsaw in 2017. I found it to be a mostly effective reboot. Saw X is similar in quality. Like Jigsaw, it ebbs somewhat in the third act. It takes a little too long to get where it’s going. We know John and Amanda will set their barbarous traps and that’s delivered occasionally in peak Saw fashion. The straightforward story is far less convoluted than other sequels with their overreliance on flashbacks to bring Bell into the proceedings.

Bell is front and center in this for good reason. He’s got loads of intestinal fortitude to carry forth his mission. So do his captors at one point… you’ll see. This is the tenth pic arriving 19 years after we first met the patient. It belongs in the top half in the rankings and I would diagnose it as a cut above everything after the third one (with the possible exception of Jigsaw).

October 27-29 Box Office Predictions

Based on the hugely popular series of video games, the PG-13 horror flick Five Nights at Freddy’s looks to dominate the Halloween frame. It is the only wide release as October draws to a close and you can peruse my detailed prediction post on it here:

There is a wide range of possibility for Freddy’s and I think it is ready for a debut just north of $60 million. That would easily top the rest of the top five combined.

The battle for the runner-up spot will be decided by the respective third and second weekend drops for Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour and Killers of the Flower Moon. The former had an understandable mid 6os plummet as Swifties wanted to rush out and see it immediately. Moon hopes for smallish declines in the frames ahead. I have Ms. Swift edging Killers as her concert film enters its third and final outing in multiplexes.

The Exorcist: Believer should be fourth with PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie rounding out the top five. Here’s how I see it shaking out:

1. Five Nights at Freddy’s

Predicted Gross: $68.3 million

2. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour

Predicted Gross: $14.2 million

3. Killers of the Flower Moon

Predicted Gross: $13.4 million

4. The Exorcist: Believer

Predicted Gross: $3.5 million

5. PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie

Predicted Gross: $2.9 million

Box Office Results (October 20-22)

Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour belonged at #1 again as the record-setting concert experience drew another $33.2 million, a tad under my $35.6 million projection. That gives it a two weekend take of $131 million.

Martin Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon came in at the bottom end of its expected range with $23.2 million. I was more generous at $32.7 million. While not a flop (especially considering it was first slated for an Apple TV streaming start), it is underwhelming considering the awards buzz, Leo star power, and $200 million reported budget. The Oscar hopeful will hope to leg out during November.

The Exorcist: Believer was third with $5.6 million compared to my $6.9 million forecast. The three-week total is a fair $54 million.

PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie sat in the four spot with $4.4 million (I said $4.7 million) for $56 million after four frames.

Rounding out the top five was a holiday themed re-release of 1993’s The Nightmare Before Christmas on its 30th anniversary. The Tim Burton produced classic added another $4.2 million to its coffers. I failed to put it in the mix.

That took Saw X out of the high five in sixth with $3.6 million (I went with $4.1 million). The four-week gross is $47 million.

And that does it for now, folks! Until next time…

October 20-22 Box Office Predictions

Blogger’s Update (10/18): And it’s a big one… by lowering my projection of Killers from $38.7 million to $32.7 million, that puts Eras at #1 for the second weekend in a row.

Martin Scorsese and Leonardo DiCaprio’s sixth collaboration faces off against Taylor Swift’s second cinematic touring weekend as Oscar hopeful Killers of the Flower Moon blossoms on Friday. It could shape up to be a close battle for the top spot. You can peruse my detailed prediction post on Killers here:

With rave reviews and awards buzz, Moon could fill multiplexes up with adult moviegoers who turned Oppenheimer into a smash hit over the summer. While it won’t reach as high, I believe a low 30s premiere is certainly doable.

Whether that puts it in first is a huge question mark. That’s because the sophomore frame of Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour is tricky to figure out. The concert doc didn’t reach the lofty expectations that kept rising prior to its start (more on that below). Yet it still scored a massive debut that set every record possible for its genre. The deal that Ms. Swift cut with theaters is a unique one, to say the least. Eras is not playing on Mondays, Tuesdays, or Wednesdays. That could certainly increase the demand during the second weekend. However, it probably goes without saying that its gross is likely to be front loaded due to her fans rushing out to see it (a whole bunch of its business came from presales). I’ll be honest. I’m at a loss for how far it dips coming up. I will speculate high 60s to possibly low 70s and that would put it just behind my Killers estimate.

Holdover sequels of the horror and family variety should fill the 3-5 slots as The Exorcist: Believer, PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie, and Saw X look to post decent holds in the 30s-low 40s range.

Here’s how I see it shaking out:

1. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour

Predicted Gross: $35.6 million

2. Killers of the Flower Moon

Predicted Gross: $32.7 million

3. The Exorcist: Believer

Predicted Gross: $6.9 million

4. PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie

Predicted Gross: $4.7 million

5. Saw X

Predicted Gross: $4.1 million

Box Office Results (October 13-15)

It isn’t often that Taylor Swift doesn’t reach the levels of financial success that are anticipated, but it might have been a case of expectations being too sky high. The Eras Tour was projected to top the all-time October weekend record held by Joker at $96 million. I had it doing so with room to spare at $139.6 million. It wasn’t to be as it achieved the second largest debut at $92.8 million. By the way, that triples the previous best concert doc start held by Hannah Montana and Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour. In other words, it’s still a rather remarkable performance.

The Exorcist: Believer dropped to second with an understandable $10.9 million, a bit above my $9.7 million take. The direct sequel to the 1973 classic sits at $44 million after ten days as it hopes for meager declines as we approach Halloween.

PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie was third with $6.8 million (on pace with my $6.6 million forecast) for $49 million after three weeks.

Saw X reaped the benefit of horror fans looking for a scare. Dropping just 28%, Jigsaw and company took in $5.6 million compared to my $4.1 million prediction. Total is $41 million thus far.

The Creator rounded out the top five at $4.3 million (I said $3.5 million) for a three-week tally of just $32 million.

And that does it for now, folks! Until next time…

October 13-15 Box Office Predictions

This coming weekend should be very lucky for a songstress you may have heard of named Taylor Swift. Her cinematic airing of The Eras Tour is out on approximately 4000 screens as it looks to dominate the box office. You can peruse my detailed prediction post on it here:

The power of Swift has propelled the concert doc to hefty pre sales totaling over $100 million worldwide. I’m projecting the domestic take will fall just shy of $140 million. That would give it the third best premiere of 2023 behind only Barbie and The Super Mario Bros. Movie.

No other studio dared to open anything against Taylor and her army of Swifties. In fact, The Exorcist Believer moved up its release date to this past weekend. It had a so-so start (more on that below). With a meh C Cinemascore grade, I look for it to fall in the low to mid 60s in its sophomore frame.

The rest of the top five will be filled with holdovers likely dropping in the low to high 40s. Everything should slide a spot with PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie, Sax X, and The Creator populating 3-5 in their third weekends.

Here’s how I think it’ll play out:

1. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour

Predicted Gross: $139.6 million

2. The Exorcist: Believer

Predicted Gross: $9.7 million

3. PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie

Predicted Gross: $6.6 million

4. Saw X

Predicted Gross: $4.1 million

5. The Creator

Predicted Gross: $3.5 million

Box Office Results (October 6-8)

David Gordon Green’s take on another iconic horror franchise couldn’t come close to his Halloween numbers as The Exorcist: Believer fell slightly short of expectations. The poorly reviewed direct sequel to the 1973 classic scared up $26.4 million compared to my $31.9 million prediction. That’s not terrible, but Universal reportedly ponied up $400 million for the rights to the series with two sequels planned. A mid 20s beginning (coupled with that unimpressive Cinemascore grade) could spell trouble ahead.

PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie was second with $11.3 million, a bit under my $12.8 million forecast. The animated sequel has grossed a sturdy $38 million in ten days of release.

Saw X had an understandable 57% decline for third with $7.8 million (I was close with $8.3 million). Jigsaw and company’s tenth go-round has $32 million in the bank thus far.

The Creator was fourth with $6.2 million (I said $5.9 million) for a disappointing $25 million in its first two weeks.

I incorrectly didn’t project numbers for The Blind and A Haunting in Venice. They were 5th and 6th respectively with $3.2 million and $2.6 million. The Blind has made $10 million in two weeks while Venice is at $35 million after four frames.

The error was placing The Nun II in fifth. It was seventh with $2.6 million. My prediction? $2.6 million! This horror sequel has achieved $81 million.

And that does it for now, folks! Until next time…

October 6-8 Box Office Predictions

Universal Pictures hopes to scare up big business in the first full weekend of October with The Exorcist: Believer. It’s the only new release coming out after a handful of pics were out this past frame. You can peruse my detailed prediction post on it here:

David Gordon Green’s direct sequel to the 1973 horror classic (with Ellen Burstyn returning to her Oscar nominated role) looks to be a financial success like the filmmaker’s recent Halloween trilogy. I’m thinking it might accomplish that goal and my forecast is at the higher end of its anticipated range at over $30 million.

All holdovers seem destined to slide a spot. PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie had a better than anticipated start (more on that below) and the sophomore dip should be the smallest of last weekend’s newcomers. Falls for Saw X and The Creator should be heftier with The Nun II rounding out the top five in its fifth outing.

Here’s how I see it playing out:

1. The Exorcist: Believer

Predicted Gross: $31.9 million

2. PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie

Predicted Gross: $12.8 million

3. Saw X

Predicted Gross: $8.3 million

4. The Creator

Predicted Gross: $5.9 million

5. The Nun II

Predicted Gross: $2.6 million

Box Office Results (September 29-October 1)

PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie eclipsed the earnings of its 2021 predecessor (which opened during the COVID challenges) and was easily the top dog of the weekend with $22.7 million. That’s ahead of my $16.3 million call as the animated sequel based on the Nickelodeon series brought in family audiences.

Saw X, which surprisingly received the best reviews of the nearly 20-year-old franchise, was second and slightly beat projections with $18.3 million. I went lower with $15.7 million. That’s an improvement over previous entries Jigsaw (2017) and Spiral (2021) while a far cry from the $30M+ that earlier editions managed.

I was off base in saying sci-fi thriller The Creator from Gareth Edwards would capture the #1 position. With a third place premiere at $14 million, it fell short of my $17.9 million take. Look for it to fade quickly as its overseas grosses were also underwhelming.

The Nun II, after three weeks in 1st, was fourth with $4.7 million. My prediction? $4.7 million! The four-week tally is a sturdy $76 million.

I failed to see that The Blind might be in the top 5. Recounting the early days of Duck Dynasty star Phil Robertson, the Fathom Events feature did manage the 5 spot with $4.3 million and $5.1 million since its Thursday bow.

The final wide release was Dumb Money as it expanded nationwide and disappeared in seventh with $3.3 million (I said $5.5 million). The overall three-week gross is a weak $7 million.

And that’s all for now, folks! Until next time…

September 29-October 1 Box Office Predictions

After the worst box office weekend of 2023, Hollywood hopes to rebound with a quartet of new releases. We have sci-fi action pic The Creator from Gareth Edwards, the return of Jigsaw in Saw X, animated canine sequel PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie, and the wide expansion of the GameStop stock dramedy Dumb Money. My detailed prediction posts on all of them can be accessed here:

The newcomers should manage to populate the 1-4 slots. The Creator seems poised for #1 though I’m projecting it’ll fall under $20 million for a so-so high teens start.

As for the runner-up position, it could be either of the sequels. The Saw franchise seems to have run out of steam in recent years. My low double digits estimate means a third place start as I see PAW getting into the low teens.

Dumb Money has done fair business in limited release and the expansion might mean mid single digits for fourth position. The lone holdover in the top five should be unlikely three-week champ The Nun II.

Here’s how I see it shaking out:

1. The Creator

Predicted Gross: $17.9 million

2. PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie

Predicted Gross: $16.3 million

3. Saw X

Predicted Gross: $15.7 million

4. Dumb Money

Predicted Gross: $5.5 million

5. The Nun II

Predicted Gross: $4.7 million

Box Office Results (September 22-24)

Neither Hercule Poirot last weekend nor Jason Statham and Sylvester Stallone could dethrone The Nun II from a third weekend atop the charts. The horror sequel edged Expend4bles with $8.5 million, a little above my $7.5 million take. The three-week total is $69 million.

Expend4bles was a huge disappointment in second with only $8 million compared to my $12.8 million prediction. The nine year break between sequels probably didn’t help, but I would’ve thought it could at least hit $10 million.

A Haunting in Venice had a scary 56% drop for third in its sophomore frame with $6.3 million. I was a bit more generous at $7.2 million. The ten-day tally is a weak $25 million.

The Equalizer 3 was fourth with $4.9 million, on target with my $4.7 million forecast for $81 million overall.

Barbie rounded out the top five with $3.2 million (I said $3.1 million) for a 2023 best $630 million in ten weeks.

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 was sixth with $3 million. I went with $2.6 million and the romantic comedy threequel has grossed $23 million after three weeks.

That’s all for now, folks! Until next time…

Saw X Box Office Prediction

Nearly 20 years after the original was an unexpected box office hit, Saw X arrives on September 29th. It’s a back to basics affair with Tobin Bell returning as Jigsaw with the events taking place between 2004’s Saw and 2005’s Saw II. Kevin Greutert, who helmed 2009’s Saw VI and 2010’s Saw 3D, directs. Shawnee Smith returns to the series and other supporting players include Synnøve Macody Lund, Steven Brand, and Michael Beach.

The tenth entry was supposed to open right at Halloween on October 27th before Lionsgate announced its late September bump. X is out two and a half years after Spiral: From the Book of Saw, Chris Rock’s take on the franchise which set historic lows. COVID didn’t help, but Spiral did just that at the box office with a mere $8 million opening and $16 million eventual domestic gross. Prior to that, 2017’s Jigsaw managed a $16 million premiere and $38 million eventual take. That’s a far cry from the high point debut of Saw III in 2006 at $33 million.

Saw X will be lucky make half of that. I certainly don’t think it’ll fall under Spiral, but low to mid teens might be all it manages.

Saw X opening weekend prediction: $15.7 million

For my The Creator prediction, click here:

For my PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie prediction, click here:

For my Dumb Money prediction, click here:

Ranking the Saw Movies

**Blogger’s Note (02/09/24): Updated through Saw X

As of this week, I have now completed my rewatch of the Saw franchise from the 2004 original through this year’s Spiral. Over the last few weeks, I’ve seen more grisly traps, body parts flying, endless flashbacks, and more tape recorders than a Radio Shack in the 1980s than I care to remember.

Of course, my reviews of this ennead was brought on by the release of Spiral, Chris Rock’s foray into a reboot. I was hopeful that it would stand as one of the bright spots in this dark group of bloody tales. It wasn’t to be. With each placement on this list, you will find my longer post.

Opinions are varied on the overall placement of the Saw pictures in terms of quality. There’s not much debate that the first is the best and it’s a sentiment I certainly share.

After that we see plenty of debate. I still maintain that the first three (in which Tobin Bell’s Jigsaw is alive though not well in health or mind) stand above anything that followed. There are ardent admirers of part 6, but I feel IV-VII represented a considerable dip in quality and the sixth is not immune to that criticism. 2017’s Jigsaw was more successful in rebooting the films than the recent Spiral, though it has plenty of flaws.

And with that, here are my rankings in the Saw cinematic universe:

10. Saw 3D (2010)

The Jigsaw Files: Saw 3D (2010)

9. Spiral (2021)

The Jigsaw Files: Spiral (2021)

8. Saw IV (2007)

The Jigsaw Files: Saw IV (2007)

7. Saw VI (2009)

The Jigsaw Files: Saw VI (2009)

6. Saw V (2008)

The Jigsaw Files: Saw V (2008)

5. Saw X (2023)

The Jigsaw Files: Saw X (2023)

4. Jigsaw (2017)

The Jigsaw Files: Jigsaw (2017)

3. Saw III (2006)

The Jigsaw Files: Saw III (2006)

2. Saw II (2005)

The Jigsaw Files: Saw II (2005)

1. Saw (2004)

The Jigsaw Files: Saw (2004)