My first ranked predictions for the 96th Academy Awards in the four acting derbies with Director and Picture brings us to Best Actor. If you missed the posts covering the supporting races, you can access them here:
Some caveats… especially for this early in the calendar…
Don’t be surprised if a performer or two listed here end up being supporting players. There’s also people slotted in Supporting Actor (Ryan Gosling in Barbie for example) that could move to lead.
If 2022 is a guide, movies currently scheduled for ’23 could move to ’24. The top two actors below? Their pics were originally supposed to arrive last year. And, of course, some contenders simply won’t pan out while surprises will emerge as the year rolls along.
When I did my initial ranked projections for last year’s ceremony, I had Brendan Fraser (The Whale) listed in first place. Of course, he ended up nabbing the statue. Austin Butler (Elvis) and Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) were mentioned in Other Possibilities.
TODD’S BEST ACTOR PREDICTIONS:
1. Colman Domingo, Rustin
2. Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
3. Barry Keoghan, Saltburn
4. Teo Yoo, Past Lives
5. Mike Faist, Challengers
6. Bradley Cooper, Maestro
7. Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
8. Kingsley Ben-Adir, Untitled Bob Marley Movie
9. Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
10. Joaquin Phoenix, Napoleon
11. Anthony Hopkins, Freud’s Last Session
12. Andre Holland, The Actor
13. Paul Mescal, Strangers
14. Matt Damon, Air
15. Adam Driver, Ferrari
Best Actress is up next!