And away we go with my very early initial Oscar predictions for the films of 2019! As has become tradition on this here blog, I make my first projections in the six top races (the acting categories, Director, Picture) in late August. This is right on the cusp of festival season (Toronto, Venice, Telluride, New York) when dozens of hopefuls will screen beginning Thursday and into the next several weeks. Expect a whole bunch of Oscar Watch posts coming your way!
At that time, the outlook will become considerably clearer when it comes to real deal contenders and pretenders. Beginning Thursday and through October, I will have a weekly column estimating my top 25 Best Picture possibilities and 15 entries in the five other races. They will be ranked unlike these first posts. Starting in November, that will dwindle down to 15 Pictures and top 10 predictions in all other categories weekly.
There is no doubt that these lists will fluctuate significantly as the year progresses. We begin with Supporting Actress. Last year, only one of my initial 5 predictions for this race ended up being nominated. It happened to be the winner… Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk. Of the 10 performers below the estimated five, two scored nods (Amy Adams in Vice and Rachel Weisz in The Favourite).
So without further adieu, Todd’s first Oscar calls for 2019!
EARLY PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Annette Bening, The Report
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Shuzhen Zhou, The Farewell
Anne Hathaway, Dark Waters
Jennifer Hudson, Cats
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Nicole Kidman, Bombshell
Nicole Kidman, The Goldfinch
Janelle Monae, Harriet
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Meryl Streep, The Laundromat
Meryl Streep, Little Women
Emma Watson, Little Women
Best Supporting Actor is next!