Bloggers Note (08/31) – UPDATE: It has been confirmed that Steve Carell will be campaigned for in Lead Actor not Supporting. Therefore, he comes out and James Franco goes in.
Continuing on with my earliest 2017 Oscar predictions, we move to Best Supporting Actor. If you missed my post on Supporting Actress, you can find it here:
In 2014, 2015, and 2016 – my initial projections yielded two of the eventual five nominees. For the last two years, the first predictions have named the winner (Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies, Mahershala Ali in Moonlight).
Let’s begin with some confusion – there are three potential nominees where it’s uncertain as to whether they’ll be campaigned for in Lead Actor or this race. They are: Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes), Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project), and James Franco (The Disaster Artist). The Best Actor race already looks incredibly competitive this year, so I’m currently operating on the assumption that all 3 will find themselves campaigned for here.
There are no sure things yet in this category, but festival season could easily change that. Here is my first blush take:
TODD’S FIRST PREDICTIONS – BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Laurence Fishburne, Last Flag Flying
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name
Mark Rylance, Dunkirk
Idris Elba, Molly’s Game
Richard Graham, Phantom Thread
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Ed Harris, mother!
Garrett Hedlund, Mudbound
Ben Mendelsohn, Darkest Hour
Jason Mitchell, Mudbound
Michael Stuhlbarg, The Papers
Christoph Waltz, Downsizing
Predictions for the Lead Acting Races are on the way…