Unless it earns less than half of what Jackass 3D took in for an opening three years ago, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa with Johnny Knoxville should knock Gravity off its three week perch of being #1. The weekend’s other newbie is Ridley Scott’s The Counselor with an impressive cast and curiously, a so-so marketing campaign and no reviews at press time. You can read my prediction posts on both newcomers here:
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/10/20/jackass-presents-bad-grandpa-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/10/20/the-counselor-box-office-prediction/
Gravity lost about 30% of its audience from week two to three and I’d expect roughly the same for this weekend. A low 30s drop seems likely for Captain Phillips in week three. And, finally, Carrie opened to a disappointing third place showing in its debut and could easily fall over 50% in its sophomore frame.
And with that, my prediction for this weekend’s top five:
1. Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
Predicted Gross: $28.3 million
2. Gravity
Predicted Gross: $21.2 million (representing a drop of 29%)
3. The Counselor
Predicted Gross: $13.8 million
4. Captain Phillips
Predicted Gross: $10.9 million (representing a drop of 33%)
5. Carrie
Predicted Gross: $7.6 million (representing a drop of 52%)
As always, I’ll have updates on the blog’s Facebook page Saturday with final results Sunday!
