Project Hail Mary Box Office Prediction

Project Hail Mary looks to throw down impressive grosses for Amazon MGM when it debuts March 20th. Drew Goddard adapts Andy Weir’s 2021 novel with Phil Lord and Christopher Miller directing. The sci-fi adventures stars Ryan Gosling with a supporting cast including Sandra Hüller, Lionel Boyce, Ken Leung, and Milana Vayntrub.

Critics have complimented the production on its Spielberg vibes with Rotten Tomatoes at 95% and 80 on Metacritic. With a reported budget north of $200 million, the studio is hoping for a high launch. Encouraging early word-of-mouth should assist.

One scenario is that it plays similar to 2015’s The Martian which is also based on a Weir book. That space tale with Matt Damon opened to $54 million. A best case might be closer to $70 million, but I’ll hedge and say high 50s to low 60s is likelier. Like The Martian (with an eventual $228 million domestic haul), it’ll bank on sturdy legs in follow-up weekends.

Project Hail Mary opening weekend prediction: $59 million

For my Ready or Not 2: Here I Come prediction, click here:

Leave a comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.