Oscar Predictions: Breaking

Blogger’s Note (08/23): This post has been updated from its original January 24th publication to reflect the title change from 892 to Breaking. 

Abi Damaris Corbin’s debut dramatic thriller 892 has premiered at Sundance and features a performance from John Boyega that’s already drawing critical kudos. The pic recounts the events surrounding Lance Corporal Brian Brown-Easley’s attempted robbery of a Marietta, GA bank in the summer of 2017. Costars include Nicole Beharie, Connie Britton, and Michael K. Williams in one of his final roles. It opens August 26th.

Boyega is, of course, best known as Finn from the most recent Star Wars trilogy. He recently nabbed a Golden Globe for Steve McQueen’s acclaimed TV anthology Small Axe. With 892, reviews are calling it some of his finest work. As far as Williams (who passed away in September 2021), perhaps there could be a push for a posthumous Supporting Actor nod.

Yet the notices themselves (81% on Rotten Tomatoes) don’t point to this being a major awards contender and it could be a struggle for Boyega or Williams to garner any momentum in next year’s Actor derby. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

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