Disney’s live-action remake of Beauty and the Beast looks to dominate the box office this weekend as The Belko Experiment also debuts with what will likely be a soft opening. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on both here:
It should be a fascinating weekend to track as St. Patrick’s Day falls on a Friday and a good portion of the East Coast might be digging out of expected blizzard like conditions. Even with those potential obstacles, I’m still projecting Beast will achieve a monstrous opening that would place it 10th in all-time domestic debuts.
As for Belko, my $3.2 million projection would put it in a weak seventh place.
Regarding holdovers, Kong: Skull Island premiered above expectations (a trend in the month of March) and looks to lose in the mid-high 50s in weekend #2. Logan, Get Out, and The Shack should populate the rest of the top five.
And with that, my projections for the weekend:
1. Beauty and the Beast
Predicted Gross: $158.8 million
2. Kong: Skull Island
Predicted Gross: $25.6 million (representing a drop of 58%)
Predicted Gross: $17.8 million (representing a drop of 53%)
4. Get Out
Predicted Gross: $14.5 million (representing a drop of 30%)
5. The Shack
Predicted Gross: $6.3 million (representing a drop of 37%)
Box Office Results (March 10-12)
Kong: Skull Island exceeded most prognosticators estimates with a robust $61 million, well above my $48.6M prediction. The ape tale was assisted by mostly positive reviews and look for the title character to return vs. Godzilla in three years.
Logan dropped to second in its sophomore weekend with $38.1 million, a bit shy of my $42.5M projection. The acclaimed comic book pic is up to $152M thus far.
Get Out continued its stunning grosses with $20.7 million for third place – on track with my take of $19.8M. It’s up to $110M.
The Shack held nicely in weekend #2 with $10 million (I said $10.7M) for $32M total. The Lego Batman Movie rounded out the top five with $7.6 million compared to my $6.8M guesstimate. The domestic total for it is $158M.
And that’ll do it for now! Until next time…