The October box office rolls along as three new titles debut: Ben Affleck’s CIA thriller The Accountant, stand-up concert pic Kevin Hart: What Now?, and Mattel toy adaptation Max Steel. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on each here:
As I see it, my estimated high teens for Accountant should be enough of a number to make it #1. For #2, I’m looking at an extremely tight race between Mr. Hart and Ms. Emily Blunt for The Girl on the Train’s sophomore frame.
Due to a very low prognosis for Max Steel at $3.8 million, Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children and Deepwater Horizon should round out the top five.
When it comes to where the readers are at with my newcomer estimates:
The Accountant – 48% Too Low, 43% Just About Right, 9% Too High
Kevin Hart: What Now? – 45% Just About Right, 33% Too High, 22% Too Low
Max Steel – 46% Too Low, 36% Too High, 18% Just About Right
And with that – my take on that top 5 for the weekend ahead:
1. The Accountant
Predicted Gross: $17.6 million
2. Kevin Hart: What Now?
Predicted Gross: $13.5 million
3. The Girl on the Train
Predicted Gross: $13.4 million (representing a drop of 45%)
4. Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children
Predicted Gross: $8.2 million (representing a drop of 46%)
5. Deepwater Horizon
Predicted Gross: $6.8 million (representing a drop of 41%)
BOX OFFICE RESULTS (OCTOBER 7-9)
As expected, The Girl on the Train topped the charts, rolling in with $24.5 million. This is a pretty decent debut that did come in below my $28.2M forecast. However, its middling B Cinemascore grade indicates plenty of audience members weren’t wild about it.
Last weekend’s champ Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children dropped to second with $15.1 million, a bit ahead of my $14.3M projection. The 10 day total stands at $51 million.
In its sophomore frame, Deepwater Horizon was third with $11.5 million – in line with my $11.9M estimate for a $38 million total.
The Magnificent Seven was fourth with $9 million (higher than my too clever $7.7M prediction) and has earned $75 million.
Storks rounded out the high five at $8.2 million (I said $9.3M) and it’s earned an underwhelming $49 million.
Lackluster newbies were sixth and seventh. Once considered a strong Oscar contender, the fading The Birth of a Nation disappointed with $7 million. I went higher with $10.5M.
Teen comedy Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life was right under with only $6.8 million (I said $7.8M).
And that’ll do it for now, folks! Until next time…