It’s Memorial Day weekend coming up at the summer box office with two high-profile sequels debuting – X-Men: Apocalypse and Alice Through the Looking Glass. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on each here:
I expect the Mutants to fairly easily top The Mad Hatter, with Apocalypse just edging the century mark for its four-day holiday frame with Looking Glass getting to the mid-60s. That would mean both entries would come in below what their predecessors managed in 2014 and 2010, respectively.
As for holdovers, The Angry Birds Movie should slide to third after a robust 1st place debut (more on that below) with Captain America: Civil War and Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (which struggled this last weekend) rounding out the top five.
And with that, my top 5 predictions for the Memorial Day frame which encapsulates my three and four-day forecasts:
- X-Men: Apocalypse
Predicted Gross: $82.8 million (Friday to Sunday), $100.4 million (Friday to Monday)
2. Alice Through the Looking Glass
Predicted Gross: $53.6 million (Friday to Sunday), $67.7 million (Friday to Monday)
3. The Angry Birds Movie
Predicted Gross: $20.4 million (Friday to Sunday), $24.5 million (Friday to Monday)
4. Captain America: Civil War
Predicted Gross: $18.1 million (Friday to Sunday), $22.2 million (Friday to Monday)
5. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising
Predicted Gross: $10.4 million (Friday to Sunday), $12.2 million (Friday to Monday)
Box Office Results (May 20-22)
The first feature film based on an app nabbed the #1 spot as The Angry Birds Movie soared to a $38.1 million opening, a bit above my $34.5M projection. This was on the higher end of expectations for the animated pic.
After two weeks on top, Captain America: Civil War slipped to second with $32.9 million, just under my $35.1M forecast for a three-week total of $347M.
The news was not good for Seth Rogen, Zac Efron, and company as Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising grossed an unimpressive $21.7 million for third. I went way over with $38.2M, which I should predicted for those ill-tempered birds. Considering the original made $49M out of the gate, we can safely assume Neighbors 3 won’t happen. This continues a recent trend of comedy sequels (think: Horrible Bosses, Zoolander) under performing.
Despite mostly glowing reviews, The Nice Guys with Russell Crowe and Ryan Gosling finished fourth with $11.2 million in its opening, under my $14.4M prediction.
The Jungle Book rounded out the top five with $10.9 million and I predicted… $10.9M! Yay! Almost makes up for the Neighbors thing, but not really…
And there you have it, folks! Until next time…