It’s going to be a busy Valentine’s/President’s Day weekend at the box office as two eagerly awaited titles debut: erotic drama Fifty Shades of Grey, based on the massive bestseller and comic book based spy pic Kingsman: The Secret Service. You can read my detailed individual prediction posts on each here:
The two newbies should populate the top two spots this weekend. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water enjoyed a fabulous debut (more on that below) and should lose around half its audience during its sophomore frame. American Sniper should place fourth while Jupiter Ascending (which suffered a rather dismal beginning) is likely to have a huge fall in its second weekend.
And with that, my top five predictions for the weekend:
1. Fifty Shades of Grey
Predicted Gross: $63.1 million
2. Kingsman: The Secret Service
Predicted Gross: $30.6 million
3. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water
Predicted Gross: $25.7 million (representing a drop of 53%)
4. American Sniper
Predicted Gross: $15.3 million (representing a drop of 34%)
5. Jupiter Ascending
Predicted Gross: $7.5 million (representing a drop of 58%)
Box Office Results (February 6-8)
As previously mentioned, Nickelodeon has a fantastic weekend as sequel The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water had the fifth biggest February opening of all time at $55.3 million or double my meager $27.8M projection. Expect a third Sponge-worthy tale soon without the decade long wait.
American Sniper held up stronger in its fourth wide release weekend with $23.2 million. I predicted $17.7M. The Oscar nominated phenomenon stands at $281 million.
Big budget sci fi actioner Jupiter Ascending stumbled out of the gate with just $18.3 million, just below my $20.9M projection. Bad reviews didn’t help and this marks the third Wachowski directed flop in a row after Speed Racer and Cloud Atlas.
Jupiter wasn’t the only fantasy pic dud of the weekend as Seventh Son took in only $7.2 million, a bit under my $8.9M estimate. The Jeff Bridges starring critical disappointment simply didn’t resonate with its target crowd.
Finally, bear tale Paddington rounded out the top five with $5.2 million – right on target with my $5.3M prediction.
That’s all for now folks! Until next time…