This weekend the summer 2014 movie season officially gets underway and it’s mega-sequel The Amazing Spider-Man 2 leading the charge. You can read my detailed prediction post on its prospects here:
https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/04/27/the-amazing-spider-man-2-box-office-prediction/
Week after week, we will see huge profile releases after another. As for weekend #1, Spidey should easily out gross the rest of the top five combined and then some. As for spring holdovers, I look for last weekend’s 1-4 (The Other Woman, Captain America: The Winter Soldier, Heaven Is for Real, Rio 2) to all drop in the high 30s-mid 40s range.
And with that, my estimates for the weekend’s top five:
1. The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Predicted Gross: $90.1 million
2. The Other Woman
Predicted Gross: $14.3 million (representing a drop of 42%)
3. Captain America: The Winter Soldier
Predicted Gross: $9 million (representing a drop of 44%)
4. Heaven Is for Real
Predicted Gross: $8.5 million (representing a drop of 41%)
5. Rio 2
Predicted Gross: $8.3 million (representing a drop of 39%)
Box Office Results (April 25-27)
As for the final weekend of spring, The Other Woman with Cameron Diaz debuted very solidly with $24.7 million, outshining my $18.1M estimate. The rom com clearly hit with its female target audience.
Holdovers occupied slots 2-4. Captain America: The Winter Soldier took second with $16.2 in its fourth weekend, above my $14.3M prediction. Heaven Is for Real held up well in its second weekend for third with $14.3 million, topping my $13M projection. Rio 2 was fourth with $13.8 million, just below my $14.5M prediction.
The Paul Walker action pic Brick Mansions opened in fifth with a weak $9.5 million – not reaching my $12.3M estimate. And the horror flick The Quiet Ones absolutely tanked with only $3.8 million for a seventh place showing, well below my generous $9.4M guess.
That’s all for now! I’ll be back soon as we see just how well Spidey does!
