Angel Studios hopes audiences will seek a Founding Father drama over the Independence Day weekend when Young Washington debuts on July 3rd. Directed by Jon Erwin (I Can Only Imagine, American Underdog), William Franklyn-Miller plays our first POTUS in his formative years. Costars include Mary-Louise Parker, Kelsey Grammer, Andy Serkis, and Ben Kingsley.
Three summers ago, Sound of Freedom from the same studio shocked box office prognosticators with a Fourth of July frame gross of over $40 million for the extended six-day earnings. July 4th was on a Tuesday that year and its traditional Friday to Sunday gross was $19 million. It would be a heavenly result for Angel to repeat that same magic. However, with the 4th on the Saturday, the dynamic has changed. Projections for Young Washington are all over the map with some as low as $10 million from Friday to Sunday and the most optimistic topping $30 million.
I am not falling on the side of the high end estimates though the timing of the release is shrewd and this distributor has certainly exceeded expectations before. On the flip side, they’ve had a number of so-so performances since Freedom. I’ll say high teens is where it lands.
Young Washington opening weekend prediction: $18.5 million
For my Minions & Monsters prediction, click here: