Blogger’s Note (09/16): On the eve of its premiere, I’m revising my estimate down from $8 million to $6.4M
At age 91, Clint Eastwood is still averaging about a movie a year and his latest is Cry Macho. The Western themed drama is based on a 1975 novel by N. Richard Nash. The cinematic version has been in development for so long that Burt Lancaster and Roy Scheider were once attached (as was Arnold Schwarzenegger close to 20 years ago).
Per usual, Eastwood directs. He also stars and it marks his first appearance onscreen since 2018’s The Mule. Costars include Dwight Yoakam and Eduardo Minett. As a Warner production, it will also be simultaneously available on HBO Max.
The question is whether fans of the filmmaker will pack theater seats… or will Eastwood mostly be talking to empty chairs? The Mule kicked off to a solid $17.5 million start nearly three years back. It had the advantage of having a higher profile December release date and more buzz.
Older audiences with streaming access may opt to view it at home. It seems a little risky to underestimate the legendary nonagenarian, but I’ll project Macho doesn’t quite reach double digits.
Cry Macho opening weekend prediction: $6.4 million
For my Copshop prediction, click here:
For my The Eyes of Tammy Faye prediction, click here:
What about blue bayou?
I’m just not seeing that in the top five. Haven’t seen a first screen count yet. My gut guess is maybe $1-$2 million.