The MCU will undeniably be the captain this weekend at the box office as Captain Marvel blasts into multiplexes. The pic comes off a banner 2017 for the studio that saw Black Panther and Avengers: Infinity War dominate the year. You can peruse my detailed prediction post on it here:
https://toddmthatcher.com/2019/02/27/captain-marvel-box-office-prediction/
My forecast north of $150 million gives it the seventh largest opening of the franchise. I believe it will help tremendously that it’s seen as a bridge between Infinity War and next month’s Avengers: Endgame.
No other studio bothered to open anything against the MCU juggernaut. That means two-time champ How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World will dip to second position. Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral opened well, but it should experience a rather hefty decline as other Madea titles have. Holdovers Alita: Battle Angel and The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part might be close vying for fourth place.
And with that, my top 5 take on the Marvel-ous weekend:
1. Captain Marvel
Predicted Gross: $154.4 million
2. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Predicted Gross: $16.6 million
3. Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral
Predicted Gross: $11 million
4. Alita: Battle Angel
Predicted Gross: $4 million
5. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part
Predicted Gross: $3.9 million
Box Office Results (March 1–3)
As mentioned, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World stayed atop the charts for a second time despite Madea. The Dreamworks Animation pic took in $30 million, a bit under my $32.2 million projection. It’s staring at the century mark with $97 million.
Tyler Perry has claimed A Madea Family Funeral is the character’s swan song. If so, she went out on a high note with $27 million compared to my $22.8 million estimate. That’s the franchise’s third best starting haul.
Alita: Battle Angel was third with $7.2 million (I said $6.3 million) for $72 million overall.
The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part was fourth with $6.6 million. I was lower at $5.3 million. It’s built its earnings up to $91 million.
Fighting with My Family was fifth at $4.6 million. I incorrectly had it outside the top five. It’s made $14 million in two weeks.
Greta was the weekend’s non-Madea newbie and it debuted in eighth place with a ho-hum $4.4 million. I had it at $5.6 million.
And that does it for now, folks! Until next time…
