Just so there’s zero confusion, it’s not Martin Scorsese’s A Madea Family Funeral debuting next weekend. No, this would be the latest Tyler Perry effort from the writer/director/star and it’s said to be the final pic with the Madea moniker.
Originally slated to open last fall, Funeral looks to bring in Perry’s consistent crowd one more time. It’s likely to succeed. Let’s take a trip down Madea memory lane with the premiere weekends of each one featuring that name:
Madea’s Family Reunion (2006) – $30 million
Madea Goes to Jail (2009) – $41 million
Madea’s Big Happy Family (2011) – $25 million
Madea’s Witness Protection (2012) – $25 million
A Madea Christmas (2013) – $16 million
Boo! A Madea Halloween (2016) – $28 million
Boo 2! A Madea Halloween (2017) – $21 million
Christmas is a bit of an outlier since it came out in the bustling holiday frame when titles often open somewhat low and leg out. A common theme with this franchise is front loaded first weekends that frequently represent nearly half the overall domestic gross.
I see no reason why Funeral wouldn’t top $20 million out of the gate and I’ll put it in range with what Boo 2! achieved, going a tad higher.
Todd Thatcher’s A Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral opening weekend prediction: $22.8 million
For my Greta prediction, click here:
https://toddmthatcher.com/2019/02/25/greta-box-office-prediction/