Two new titles attempt to gather eyeballs this weekend with the kiddie rendering of the King Arthur legend The Kid Who Would Be King and Matthew McConaughey/Anne Hathaway thriller Serenity. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on each of them here:
https://toddmthatcher.com/2019/01/16/the-kid-who-would-be-king-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2019/01/17/serenity-box-office-prediction/
I’ll say the Kid manages to just top double digits and that could give it a second place showing. As for Serenity, my mid single digits forecast of $5.1 million puts it just outside the top five in sixth.
Current champ Glass should have little trouble staying in first place, but I am predicting a sophomore frame drop of over 50% due to middling critical and audience reaction.
Holdovers The Upside, Aquaman, and Spider–Man: Into the Spider–Verse should round out the top half of the charts. As for Dragon Ball Super: Broly, it debuted with terrific results this past weekend (more on that below). However, I anticipate a front-loaded nature for its earnings and a fall in the mid 50s range. That puts it outside the top 5 in my view.
Here are my projections for the weekend ahead:
1. Glass
Predicted Gross: $19.6 million
2. The Kid Who Would Be King
Predicted Gross: $10.8 million
3. The Upside
Predicted Gross: $9.8 million
4. Aquaman
Predicted Gross: $6.4 million
5. Spider–Man: Into the Spider–Verse
Predicted Gross: $5.2 million
Box Office Results (January 18–21)
The long MLK weekend saw M. Night Shyamalan’s Glass rule with the third highest opening of this particular holiday at $46.5 million. That is a bit below expectations and under my $58.1 million estimate. However, it nearly doubled its reported $25 million budget in four days.
The Upside went down to second with $18.3 million, ahead of my $15.4 million prediction. The Kevin Hart/Bryan Cranston comedic drama stands at a strong $46 million after two weeks.
Aquaman was third with $12.7 million (I said $13.8 million) as it crossed the triple century mark at $306 million.
The aforementioned Dragon Ball Super: Broly was fourth with a fantastic $11.9 million over the traditional weekend and $22 million since its Wednesday premiere. I’ll sheepishly admit that the anime feature was not properly on my radar and I didn’t do a projection for it.
Spider–Man: Into the Spider–Verse was in the five-spot with $10.1 million compared to my guesstimate of $8.3 million. Overall haul is $161 million.
A Dog’s Way Home was sixth at $9.9 million (I said $9.1 million) for a two-week tally of $24 million.
And that does it for now, folks! Until next time…
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