2015 Oscar Nominations Reaction

After numerous rounds of predictions, this morning the official Oscar nominations were released for the big show (hosted by Chris Rock) in February, with The Revenant and Mad Mad Max: Fury Road leading the way. My analysis on each race and how your trusty blogger performed in each category can be found now:

Best Picture

How I Did: 8/8 (though I predicted nine)

For the second year in a row, the Academy went with the number 8 on their scale of 5-10 pictures that can be recognized. I went with nine and the film that missed the cut: Carol. Still, not too shabby! Straight Outta Compton was a trendy pick to make the group, though I correctly left it off.

The Nominees

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Brooklyn

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight

Best Director

How I Did: 3/5

The big surprise here is the omission of Ridley Scott for The Martian. My other pick, Todd Haynes for Carol, was who I placed in slot #5, so I’m not shocked to see him left out. Adam McKay and Lenny Abrahamson (a bit of surprise pick) made the cut.

The Nominees

Lenny Abrahamson, Room

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant

Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Adam McKay, The Big Short

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Actor

How I Did: 5/5

Now we’re talking! 5 for 5 here and I stand by my estimate that this year will be the Leo Show.

The Nominees

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Matt Damon, The Martian

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Best Actress

How I Did: 5/5

Gotta admit I’m pretty pleased going 10/10 in the lead acting races. Like the previous race, there is a genuine front runner with Brie Larson.

The Nominees

Cate Blanchett, Carol

Brie Larson, Room

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Best Supporting Actor

How I Did: 3/5

This has been the trickiest major race to prognosticate with about a dozen legit names to consider. It bore out with my predictions as I incorrectly guessed Idris Elba for Beasts of No Nation and Paul Dano in Love and Mercy. Taking their place: Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight) and Tom Hardy (The Revenant).

The Nominees

Christian Bale, The Big Short

Tom Hardy, The Revenant

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Best Supporting Actress

How I Did: 4/5

Luckily, Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander’s work in Carol and The Danish Girl, respectively, were honored here and not in lead Actress. I missed Rachel McAdams and incorrectly picked Helen Mirren’s performance in Trumbo.

The Nominees

Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

Rooney Mara, Carol

Rachel McAdams, Spotlight

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Best Original Screenplay

How I Did: 3/5

I’m a bit surprised that Quentin Tarantino’s work for The Hateful Eight didn’t make it (I also had Sicario predicted in the five spot). My #6 and #7 other possibilities (Ex Machina and Straight Outta Compton) replaced them.

The Nominees

Bridge of Spies

Ex Machina

Inside Out

Spotlight

Straight Outta Compton

Best Adapted Screenplay

How I Did: 4/5

Following its Golden Globe victory for screenplay, Aaron Sorkin’s work in Steve Jobs missed the cut, replaced by Drew Goddard’s adaptation of The Martian.

The Nominees

The Big Short

Brooklyn

Carol

The Martian

Room

Best Animated Feature

How I Did: 3/5

No love for my predicted The Prophet or The Peanuts Movie (good grief!). Inside Out has the inside track here.

The Nominees

Anomalisa

Boy and the World

Inside Out

Shaun the Sheep Movie

When Marnie Was There

Best Documentary Feature

How I Did: 3/5

It’s Cartel Land and What Happened Miss Simone in and Going Clear and He Named Me Malala out with these predictions.

The Nominees

Amy

Cartel Land

The Look of Silence

What Happened Miss Simone

Winter on Fire

Best Foreign Language Film

How I Did: 4/5

Theeb got in instead of The Brand New Testament. Son of Saul is a strong front runner here.

The Nominees

Embrace of the Serpent

Mustang

Son of Saul

Theeb

A War

Best Production Design

How I Did: 4/5

Carol out, Martian in.

The Nominees

Bridge of Spies

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Best Cinematography

How I Did: 4/5

Carol (which I had listed as sixth) took out my #4 Bridge of Spies

The Nominees

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Sicario

Best Costume Design

How I Did: 3/5

Voters went with The Revenant and Mad Max over my 4th and 5th guesses, Brooklyn and Far from the Madding Crowd.

The Nominees

Carol

Cinderella

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Best Editing

How I Did: 4/5

Nice for Star Wars (which I listed ninth on the scale), replacing Bridge of Spies.

The Nominees

The Big Short

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Spotlight

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

How I Did: 3/3 (!)

Pat on back.

The Nominees

Mad Max: Fury Road

The 100 Year Old Man Who Climbed Out of the Window and Disappeared

The Revenant

Best Sound Mixing

How I Did: 4/5

#4 pick Sicario out, #7 pick Bridge of Spies in.

The Nominees

Bridge of Spies

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Sound Editing

How I Did: 4/5

Picked Sicario in wrong sound category, as I had it listed sixth here. It replaces my #5 The Hateful Eight.

The Nominees

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Visual Effects

How I Did: 4/5

Little surprised Jurassic World missed out. I did have Ex Machina listed sixth.

The Nominees

Ex Machina

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Original Score

How I Did: 4/5

Must admit, didn’t really have Sicario on my radar for a nod here, but it took out my #5 The Danish Girl.

The Nominees

Bridge of Spies

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Original Song

OK – I’m surprised here as my #1 pick “See You Again” from Furious 7 wasn’t honored. Same goes for “So Long” from Concussion (which I had fifth). In their place: “Earned It” from Fifty Shades of Grey and the out of nowhere “Manta Ray” from Racing Extinction.

The Nominees

“Earned It” from Fifty Shades of Grey

“Til It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground

“Manta Ray” from Racing Extinction

“Writing’s on the Wall” from Spectre

“Simple Song #3” from Youth

All in all, I went 82 out of 106 on my predictions, which I can live with. The nomination breakdowns were as follows with the number in parentheses showing my predicted number for them:

12 Nominations

The Revenant (10)

10 Nominations

Mad Max: Fury Road (9)

7 Nominations

The Martian (6)

6 Nominations

Bridge of Spies (7)

Carol (8)

Spotlight (4)

5 Nominations

The Big Short (4)

Star Wars: The Force Awakens (4)

4 Nominations

The Danish Girl (5)

Room (3)

3 Nominations

Brooklyn (4)

The Hateful Eight (5)

Sicario (3)

2 Nominations

Ex Machina (0)

Inside Out (2)

Steve Jobs (3)

1 Nomination

Anomalisa (1)

Boy and the World (0)

Cinderella (1)

Creed (1)

Fifty Shades of Grey (0)

45 Years (1)

The Hunting Ground (1)

Joy (1)

The 100 Year Old Man Who Climbed Out of the Window and Disappeared (1)

Racing Extinction (0)

Spectre (1)

Straight Outta Compton (0)

Trumbo (2)

When Marnie Was There (o)

Youth (1)

Films I Predicted Would Be Nominated for One Oscar and Were Not:

Beasts of No Nation

Concussion

Far from the Madding Crowd

Furious 7

Jurassic World

Love and Mercy

I will have a post up very soon with my initial round of predicted winners. Until then!

 

 

 

 

 

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