The 2015 Summer Movie Season officially kicks off this Friday and there’s a rather big release to start things off: Avengers: Age of Ultron, Marvel’s sequel to the third highest grossing picture of all time. The event film stands a very legitimate shot at scoring the largest opening weekend in domestic box office history (breaking its predecessor’s record) and I’m predicting it will – barely. You can read my detailed prediction post on it here:
No other new release would dare stand in the way of Iron Man, Captain America, and their superhero compadres – so the rest of the top five will be populated by spring leftovers. Furious 7 will fall to the runner-up spot with Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2, The Age of Adaline, and Home behind it.
And with that, my predictions for the weekend:
1. Avengers: Age of Ultron
Predicted Gross: $212.7 million
2. Furious 7
Predicted Gross: $9.6 million (representing a drop of 46%)
3. Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2
Predicted Gross: $8.7 million (representing a drop of 41%)
4. The Age of Adaline
Predicted Gross: $8 million (representing a drop of 40%)
Predicted Gross: $5.8 million (representing a drop of 29%)
Box Office Results (April 24-26)
As expected, Furious 7 led the box office for the fourth weekend in a row with $17.8 million, a bit higher than my $15.6M estimate. The massive hit has taken in $320 million so far.
Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 also managed to surpass my prediction in its second weekend with $14.7 million as compared to my $12M projection. The Kevin James sequel won’t reach the heights of the original, but it’s grossed a solid $43 million in ten days of release.
The romantic drama The Age of Adaline had a fairly decent roll out with $13.2 million, right on target with $13.3M prediction. It may hold up OK in subsequent weekends.
The animated Home took fourth with $8 million, outpacing my $6.5M estimate and its total is at $153M. #5 belonged to horror pic Unfriended in weekend two with $6.1 million, just under my $6.9M prediction and it stands at $25 million.
Critically acclaimed British sci-fi import Ex Machina opened sixth with $5.4 million (below my $7.1M projection, but still a pretty impressive start).
Finally, war drama Little Boy tanked in 13th place with just $2.7 million, just ahead of my $2.1M estimate.
And that’s all for now, folks! Until next time…