Hamilton Box Office Prediction

Timed to coincide with the 10th anniversary of the Broadway phenomenon, Disney is at last releasing Hamilton on the big screen on September 5th. The biographical musical turned Lin-Manuel Miranda into a sensation when it premiered back in 2015 with the play nabbing 11 Tonys and a Pulitzer to boot.

A filmed version of the production with the original cast was slated for theatrical output in October 2021. COVID interrupted those plans and Mouse House execs opted to unveil it on Disney+ in July 2020. That original cast includes Miranda in the title role alongside Leslie Odom Jr., Daveed Diggs, Renée Elise Goldsberry, Phillipa Soo, Anthony Ramos, Jonathan Groff, and Jasmine Cephas Jones.

Obviously Hamilton has its legions of fans who have seen it on Broadway, at regional offshoots, and now on streaming for the past five years. That could certainly limit the excitement factor than an October ’21 release would have brought.

I could alter my estimate based on an eventual screen count. In 2021, I might have leaned toward a $20 million plus start. Now I think it’ll be fortunate to achieve half of that figure.

Hamilton opening weekend prediction: $8.7 million

For my The Conjuring: Last Rites prediction, click here:

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