In the weekend before Rogue One and then a slew of Christmas releases populate the multiplexes, we have two pics opening in wide release: holiday comedy Office Christmas Party and Jessica Chastain political drama Miss Sloane. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on each here:
Actually, there’s a third film scheduled to come out in wide (or semi-wide) release and that’s Tom Ford’s thriller Nocturnal Animals with Amy Adams and Jake Gyllenhaal. The problem is that I don’t have a screen count on it at press time, so predicting its number is a bit of guesswork. I’ll say it manages $2.3M. However, when its count is released, I reserve to right to change that estimate.
Back to the newbies with theater counts. Office Christmas Party may benefit from being the only comedy out there (Bad Santa 2 has come and gone) and with its recognizable cast, I’ve got it pegged to manage a #2 opening, just behind Moana‘s third weekend.
Fantastic Beasts should slip to third with holdovers Arrival and Allied filling out the top five, with Sloane very close behind.
Here’s how I have the top 6 projected for this weekend:
Predicted Gross: $19.6 million (representing a drop of 32%)
2. Office Christmas Party
Predicted Gross: $18.4 million
3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Predicted Gross: $10 million (representing a drop of 45%)
Predicted Gross: $5 million (representing a drop of 31%)
Predicted Gross: $4.7 million (representing a drop of 34%)
6. Miss Sloane
Predicted Gross: $4.6 million
Box Office Results (December 2-4)
The post Thanksgiving holiday weekend is typically a pretty sleepy one at the box office and 2016 was no different.
Disney’s Moana easily held the top spot for the second weekend in a row grossing $28.2 million (on pace with my $28.8M projection). The animated hit has amassed $119M thus far.
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them held the #2 position with $18.1 million, a bit under my $20.9M prediction for an overall gross of $183M.
Other holdovers held up quite well over the weekend. Arrival was third with $7.2 million (above my $5.9M estimate) for a $73M total. Allied was fourth with $7 million (I said $5.9M for it as well). It’s grossed $28M. Doctor Strange was fifth with $6.6 million (I said $6.1M). The Marvel property stands at $215M.
Last and least, horror pic Incarnate landed in ninth with a blah $2.5 million, though it did manage to just outpace my $1.7M forecast.
And that’ll do it for now, folks! Check out the blog tomorrow when my Rogue One: A Star Wars Story box office prediction is posted. Until then…