Three new entries populate the box office this weekend as the Key and Peele comedy Keanu, Jennifer Aniston/Julia Roberts dramedy Mother’s Day, and video game based animated pic Ratchet & Clank open. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on each of them here:
https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/04/22/keanu-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/04/22/mothers-day-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/04/23/ratchet-clank-box-office-prediction/
None of them are likely to knock Disney’s The Jungle Book off its perch at #1, which will be the third weekend on top for Mowgli and friends.
Keanu and Mother’s Day should nab the #2 and #3 positions. I have The Huntsman Winter’s War dropping to fourth and it should have a pretty hefty decline after its disappointing opening (more on that below).
I’m not expecting much out of Ratchet & Clank and have it fighting for fifth with the third weekend of Barbershop: The Next Cut and slightly losing that battle.
And with that, a top 6 predictions for the weekend:
- The Jungle Book
Predicted Gross: $37.9 million (representing a drop of 38%)
2. Keanu
Predicted Gross: $17.6 million
3. Mother’s Day
Predicted Gross: $14.7 million
4. The Huntsman Winter’s War
Predicted Gross: $8.1 million (representing a drop of 58%)
5. Barbershop: The Next Cut
Predicted Gross: $6.2 million (representing a drop of 41%)
6. Ratchet & Clank
Predicted Gross: $5.2 million
Box Office Results (April 22-24)
Disney’s The Jungle Book kept swinging along in its sophomore frame with $61.5 million, just above my $59M projection for a two-week tally of $192M. As mentioned, it should easily retain its #1 status next weekend before another Mouse Factory entry – Captain America: Civil War – does its thing in a few days.
The weekend’s major newcomer was also quite a high-profile flop. The Huntsman Winter’s War, the sort of prequel/sequel to 2012’s hit Snow White and the Huntsman, earned just $19.4 million (lower than my $26.3M estimate). With a reported $115 million budget, War couldn’t overcome toxic reviews and the absence of Kristen Stewart (aka Snow White). The pic may struggle to even reach the $56 million that Snow White made in its opening weekend. Ouch.
Barbershop: The Next Cut was third in its second weekend with $10.5 million, in line with my $11.2M prediction for a total of $35M.
Zootopia was fourth with $6.5 million, higher than my estimate of $5M for a $316M total.
Melissa McCarthy’s The Boss rounded out the top five with $6.2 million, ahead of my $4.9M projection for a three-week take of $49M (pretty low for one of her comedies).
And that’ll do it for now, folks! Until next time…
Yo Todd!
Boy, there are some crap movies being released this weekend.
Keanu – $9.8M
Mother’s Day – $9.2M
Ratchet & Clank – $4.9M
Next week is when the real season starts! 🙂