The Running Man Box Office Prediction

Blogger’s Update (11/12): I am downgrading my estimate from $27.6 million to $19.6 million as reviews and word-of-mouth have seemingly stalled momentum

Paramount hopes audiences are game for The Running Man when it debuts November 14th. The sci-fi action flick casts Glen Powell in a role that Arnold Schwarzenegger played in the 1987 original. Based on a Stephen King novel, costars include Josh Brolin, Colman Domingo, Lee Pace, Jayme Lawson, Michael Cera, Emilia Jones, Daniel Ezra, and William H. Macy. Edgar Wright directs. This is the second 2025 adaptation of a dystopian tale written under King’s pseudonym Richard Bachman behind The Long Walk.

Following Predator: Badlands by a week (another Ah-nuld adjacent release), Running hopes to pick up speed based on Powell’s star power and decent early word-of-mouth. The original isn’t exactly considered a classic, but it has a solid cult B-movie reputation. I don’t think this reaches near $40 million like Badlands. Low to mid 20s seems more likely.

The Running Man opening weekend prediction: $19.6 million

For my Now You See Me: Now You Don’t prediction, click here:

Now You See Me: Now You Don’t Box Office Prediction

For my Keeper prediction, click here:

Keeper Box Office Prediction