Kung Fu Panda 3 Box Office Prediction

Jack Black is back kicking it again as Po in Dreamworks Animation’s Kung Fu Panda 3, out next weekend. The threequel comes nearly five years after the second installment with a slew of famous faces voicing characters in the martial arts comedy toon. They include Angelina Jolie Pitt, Dustin Hoffman, Lucy Liu, Jackie Chan, Seth Rogen, Bryan Cranston, Kate Hudson, J.K. Simmons, and David Cross.

In 2008, the original Panda chopped its way to a fabulous $60 million opening on its way to a $215 million domestic haul. The inevitable 2011 sequel couldn’t quite match that performance with a $47 million premiere and $165 million take. Part 3, unlike its two predecessors, isn’t debuting in the summer so competition is less steep. That said, the five year old layover could lead to slightly dwindling returns once again.

Kung Fu Panda 3 will almost undoubtedly set one record: biggest animated opening of all time in January (it only needs to top the $19.4 million accomplished by The Nut Job two years ago). It should double that at least, but I’ll predict it has the lowest opening of the trio.

Kung Fu Panda 3 opening weekend prediction: $41.7 million

For my Fifty Shades of Black prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/21/fifty-shades-of-black-box-office-prediction/

For my The Finest Hours prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/21/the-finest-hours-box-office-prediction/

For my Jane Got a Gun prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/21/jane-got-a-gun-box-office-prediction/

Box Office Predictions: January 22-24

Three new titles open Friday to challenge Ride Along 2, The Revenant, and Star Wars at the box office: Robert De Niro/Zac Efron comedy Dirty Grandpa, British horror pic The Boy, and YA thriller The 5th Wave. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on each here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/14/dirty-grandpa-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/15/the-boy-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/14/the-5th-wave-box-office-prediction/

Any one of these newbies (especially Grandpa or The Boy in my view) could over perform, but as predicted I have this trio all debuting in the $11-$14 million range. I am also speculating that current champ Ride Along 2 (which didn’t match the gross of its predecessor) is likely to dip over 50%. That should leave The Revenant (fresh off receiving the most Oscar nominations) in a position to get to #1 after two weeks in the runner up position and Star Wars in a position to potentially remain in third.

And with that, my top six predictions for the weekend:

  1. The Revenant

Predicted Gross: $19.6 million (representing a drop of 38%)

2. Ride Along 2

Predicted Gross: $16.8 million (representing a drop of 52%)

3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Predicted Gross: $15.9 million (representing a drop of 39%)

4. Dirty Grandpa

Predicted Gross: $14.6 million

5. The Boy

Predicted Gross: $12.1 million

6. The 5th Wave

Predicted Gross: $11.4 million

Box Office Results (January 15-17)

As expected, the return of Kevin Hart and Ice Cube in Ride Along 2 debuted atop the charts, finally knocking off Star Wars. Yet it didn’t earn quite as much as its predecessor did on the same weekend two years ago. The sequel posted $35.2 million, under my $45.5M prediction. Over the four day MLK day, it’s made $41M while the original made over $48M in 2014.

After a dozen Oscar nods, The Revenant held up remarkably well with $31.7 million, skyrocketing past my $21.4M estimate. Leo and the Bear clearly benefited immensely from the Academy buzz and its terrific total stands at $95M.

Star Wars finally fell closer to Earth after four weeks on top with $26.3 million (I said $23.9M) and its record setting total is at $858M.

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi had a so-so start with $16.1 million for fourth place, well under my kind $29.3M projection. Its 4 day MLK haul: $19.2M. Not bad, but for a film that generated heavy publicity, it’s a bit underwhelming.

Daddy’s Home was fifth and I incorrectly had it outside the top five. It made $9.5 million and sits at $131M.

The animated Arctic tale Norm of the North was sixth, premiering with a weak $6.8 million compared to my $9.3 estimate. Its 4 day MLK take? $9.3 million (of course).

And that’ll do it for now, my friends! Until next time…

The Big Short Movie Review

There’s a fine line between comedy and tragedy and it’s explored in sometimes serious and often darkly funny detail in Adam McKay’s The Big Short. Based on Michael Lewis’s book detailing the people who correctly predicted the housing bubble that burst wide open in 2008, Short chronicles their stories while condemning so many who looked the other way. Prior to this, director McKay has been solely known for Will Ferrell comedies and some of them (The Other Guys and even Anchorman 2) nibbled around the edges with the subject of corporate greed. With this film, McKay manages to balance a complex issue foreign to most viewers while infusing it with much needed humor. It helps because without it, we might just want to scream at the screen for two hours and that still happens from time to time.

Michael Burry (Christian Bale) is a highly eccentric hedge fund honcho who figures out that something is majorly wrong with our nation’s housing market about three years before the foundation totally collapses. His timely discoveries are met with skepticism from nearly all corners. The exceptions are from Ryan Gosling’s bond salesman, Steve Carell’s unhappy Wall Street hedge fund manager, and a duo (John Magaro and Finn Wittlock) trying to take their fledgling business into the NYC scene. They all come to believe Burry’s siren calls and they all try to maneuver their way to profit off it. There are no real heroes here, but they really have no idea at first just how corrupt the system is that’s creating the impending doom.

McKay realizes that the many Wall Street technical terms are, frankly, confusing as hell. In a nice stroke, he enlists celebrities like The Wolf of Wall Street ingenue Margot Robbie and others to creatively explain what we are witnessing. It helps, but the director and his cowriter Charles Randolph delve into a deeper truth: no one really understands what’s happening or are willing to own up to it while billions of dollars line the pockets of many. Meanwhile, scores of people believe they can actually afford the pretty home they dwell in.

The Big Short hearkens back to 1970s filmmaking in certain manners. It’s political, has a point of view, and isn’t afraid to show it. If you felt McKay’s annoyance at the elite crowd in those Ferrell pics, this opens up an unmistakable furious floodgate. He’s enlisted a stable of talented performers to tell the tale. In particular, Bale continues to demonstrate his ability to disappear into a role while Carell continues to show his dramatic abilities are just as strong as his comedic ones. Brad Pitt also turns up as an ex banker who helps uncover the fraud. The screenplay provides many guffaws, but this is not a “comedy”, no matter what the awards shows portend. And a well deserved shout out goes to Hank Corwin, the picture’s editor who does a masterful job.

You’ll likely cringe while you’re laughing and that’s the way McKay wants it. The biggest scare is that this effort doesn’t pretend like the crisis explained here won’t occur once again. According to The Big Short, believe it won’t at your own risk and don’t bet the house on it.

***1/2 (out of four)

Todd’s Ten Songs of the Week: January 17 Edition

And now for a new feature on the blog that I’ll try to post weekly on every Sunday. The concept is simple – I’m giving you ten songs to listen to for your musical enjoyment. Those who know me obviously know I’m a huge movie buff, but I’m also a major music lover.

For this initial post, I cannot help but make some track suggestions from the great David Bowie. Most of us know his many hits but for this evening, I’m selecting ten that perhaps you don’t know. Do yourself a favor and do what I’ve found myself doing this week – just select a Bowie album and let it rip. It’s worth it to truly appreciate his one of a kind genius.

Here we go:

“Always Crashing in the Same Car” from Low (1977)

“Win” from Young Americans (1975)

“Beauty and the Beast” from Heroes (1977)

“Word on a Wing” from Station to Station (1976)

“Dirty Boys” from The Next Day (2013)

“New Killer Star” from Reality (2003)

“DJ” from Lodger (1979)

“Everything’s Alright” from Pinups (1973)

“No Control” from Outside (1995)

“I Can’t Give Everything Away” from Blackstar (2016)

And there you have it – DJ Todd shall return next weekend!

Todd’s 2015 Oscar Winner Predictions: Round 1

It’s been two days since the Oscar nominations came out, allowing some time to pass to digest what and who is being recognized. After numerous posts prognosticating the nominations, we now arrive at this question: What Will Win??

Today brings my initial round of guesses on the movies and performers that I believe will get their gold statues. I will definitely have a second and final round posted probably two to three days before the February ceremony.

Let’s get to it:

BEST PICTURE

First off, there are four selections that basically should be happy with the nomination: Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, The Martian, and Room. Mad Max: Fury Road is a major long shot. That leaves a three picture race and indeed it is. Between The Big Short, The Revenant, and Spotlight – this is truly a competitive category this time around. I’m currently giving the ever so slight edge to Spotlight, which has been considered the soft front runner for a while now. Be warned though: the other two are hot on its heels.

PREDICTED WINNER: Spotlight

BEST DIRECTOR

Tom McCarthy’s work in Spotlight could be honored with outside chances for Adam McKay (The Big Short) or George Miller (Mad Max). Lenny Abrahamson’s surprise nomination for Room succeeded in screwing up people’s predictions. He has no chance to win. Yet I’ll go with the Academy honoring Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu’s direction in The Revenant, just one year after he received the prize for Birdman.

PREDICTED WINNER: Inarritu

BEST ACTOR

We will make this simple: it appears that Leonardo DiCaprio is finally going to win a statue for The Revenant. He is the very heavy favorite and if he doesn’t emerge victorious, it would probably constitute the largest upset of the evening.

PREDICTED WINNER: DiCaprio

BEST ACTRESS

Like lead Actor, there is a front runner here with Brie Larson in Room. Unlike Actor, the possibility for an upset is real with both Charlotte Rampling (45 Years) and Saoirse Ronan. I’ll stick with Larson though. Cate Blanchett (Carol) and Jennifer Lawrence (Joy) seem like non factors.

PREDICTED WINNER: Larson

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

This was an incredibly difficult category to predict with about 12 performances in the running. Now that we know the nominees, this is a race ripe for an upset. Any of the five – Christian Bale (The Big Short), Tom Hardy (The Revenant), Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight), Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies), Sylvester Stallone (Creed) – are feasible recipients. Rylance has won some precursors, but like the Golden Globes, I’ll project that sentimentality wins out with Stallone standing center stage.

PREDICTED WINNER: Stallone

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

No major front runner here but Alicia Vikander had a great year with another heralded role in Ex Machina. I’ll predict her work in The Danish Girl eeks out a win over Rooney Mara (Carol), Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight), Globes winner Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs), and Rachel McAdams (Spotlight).

PREDICTED WINNER: Vikander

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Short and sweet here – Spotlight is the heavy front runner here and I’ll be surprised if it doesn’t win here. I’m much more confident in predicting a victory for it here than in Picture.

PREDICTED WINNER: Spotlight

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Martian or Room have outside shots, but this looks like a win for The Big Short.

PREDICTED WINNER: The Big Short

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Anomalisa has its hardcore fans, but Pixar’s Inside Out is the big favorite.

PREDICTED WINNER: Inside Out

BEST FOREIGN FILM

Easy pick. Son of Saul is a huge front runner. Mustang is the only completion.

PREDICTED WINNER: Son of Saul

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Amy, chronicling the career of the late singer Amy Winehouse, is the favorite. For now, however, I’m going with an upset pick in the form of Cartel Land.

PREDICTED WINNER: Cartel Land

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

The legendary John Williams could be in the running for his latest Star Wars score, but I’ll predict the Academy honors another legend: Ennio Morricone for The Hateful Eight.

PREDICTED WINNER: The Hateful Eight

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Was very surprised to see “See You Again” from Furious 7 snubbed. To me, that would have been the main competition for “Til It Happens To You” from The Hunting Ground, performed by Lady Gaga.

PREDICTED WINNER: “Til It Happens To You” from The Hunting Ground

BEST SOUND EDITING

I believe these sound categories will come down to a battle between Mad Max and Star Wars, with The Revenant as a spoiler. For now, I’m splitting the difference.

PREDICTED WINNER: Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST SOUND MIXING

See above.

PREDICTED WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Once again, I see this as a contest between Chewbacca and Max. I’ll give Max the slight edge.

PREDICTED WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

This is another tough one with Mad Max maintaining a small edge over The Revenant and The Martian.

PREDICTED WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

The Hateful Eight stands a chance here, as does Mad Max. However, I believe Emmanuel Lubezki will take home his third Oscar in a row for The Revenant.

PREDICTED WINNER: The Revenant

BEST EDITING

This race often matches Picture and could here with Spotlight. The Big Short, Mad Max, and The Revenant are in the mix. This is practically a coin flip for me right now so don’t be shocked if this changes.

PREDICTED WINNER: The Big Short

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Only three nominees here and Mad Max and The Revenant are likely the only two winner possibilities.

PREDICTED WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Sandy Powell could split her own vote between Carol and Cinderella. Mad Max and The Danish Girl are in the running, but I’ll go with Powell and her work in Carol.

PREDICTED WINNER: Carol

And there you have it! My first Oscar winner predictions.

 

 

The Boy Box Office Prediction

The British set supernatural horror pic The Boy debuts next weekend, attempting to scare up some business for STX Entertainment. Directed by The Devil Inside maker William Brent Bell, this focuses on a creepy doll wreaking havoc on the nanny tasked to care for it (Lauren Cohan). Rupert Evans costars.

Trailers and TV spots for The Boy are a little bit creepy, but I’m not sure how much that will translate to box office dollars. Just last weekend, another horror title The Forest debuted to a respectable $13 million and it seems to me that this could premiere to around that number.

I wouldn’t be surprised if this flops and gets under double digits, but I’ll estimate that The Boy is able to reach close to those Forest grosses.

The Boy opening weekend prediction: $12.1 million

For my Dirty Grandpa prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/14/dirty-grandpa-box-office-prediction/

For my The 5th Wave prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/14/the-5th-wave-box-office-prediction/

The 5th Wave Box Office Prediction

Adapted from a popular 2013 YA novel by Rick Yancey, Chloe Grace Moretz stars in the alien invasion flick The 5th Wave, out next weekend. Costarring Nick Robinson, Ron Livingston, Maria Bello, and Liev Schrieber, Columbia Pictures hopes to capture the wave of hunger gaming, diverging, and maze running that have made those entries into hits.

Reviews are negative so far with just a 20% rating on Rotten Tomatoes and there doesn’t seem to be much excitement generated around this. As I see it, this has little hope of breaking out like the aforementioned movies. I see this performing similarly to The Giver, which debuted to $12.3 million in the summer of 2014.

The 5th Wave opening weekend prediction: $11.4 million

For my Dirty Grandpa prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/14/dirty-grandpa-box-office-prediction/

For my The Boy prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/15/the-boy-box-office-prediction/

Dirty Grandpa Box Office Prediction

Not a Johnny Knoxville sequel to Bad Grandpa, Robert De Niro and Zac Efron get into some raunchy R Rated hijinks with Dirty Grandpa, out next Friday. The two stars have had some successes in the comedy genre, most recently with Efron in Neighbors.

Aubrey Plaza and Zoey Deutch costar in this tale of De Niro and about to be married grandson Efron letting loose on spring break. The January release date raises some red flags and the trailers for it are, frankly, not encouraging. This should reach nowhere near the level of Neighbors or De Niro’s hits like Meet the Parents or Analyze This.

A fair comparison point could be De Niro’s Last Vegas, which opened to $16.3 million in fall 2013. Yet that had the benefit of possibly bringing in an older crowd due to the teaming of him with Michael Douglas, Morgan Freeman, and Kevin Kline.

I’ll estimate that Dirty Grandpa limps to a opening in the mid teens.

Dirty Grandpa opening weekend prediction: $14.6 million

For my The 5th Wave prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/14/the-5th-wave-box-office-prediction/

For my The Boy prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/01/15/the-boy-box-office-prediction/

2015 Oscar Nominations Reaction

After numerous rounds of predictions, this morning the official Oscar nominations were released for the big show (hosted by Chris Rock) in February, with The Revenant and Mad Mad Max: Fury Road leading the way. My analysis on each race and how your trusty blogger performed in each category can be found now:

Best Picture

How I Did: 8/8 (though I predicted nine)

For the second year in a row, the Academy went with the number 8 on their scale of 5-10 pictures that can be recognized. I went with nine and the film that missed the cut: Carol. Still, not too shabby! Straight Outta Compton was a trendy pick to make the group, though I correctly left it off.

The Nominees

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Brooklyn

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight

Best Director

How I Did: 3/5

The big surprise here is the omission of Ridley Scott for The Martian. My other pick, Todd Haynes for Carol, was who I placed in slot #5, so I’m not shocked to see him left out. Adam McKay and Lenny Abrahamson (a bit of surprise pick) made the cut.

The Nominees

Lenny Abrahamson, Room

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant

Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Adam McKay, The Big Short

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Actor

How I Did: 5/5

Now we’re talking! 5 for 5 here and I stand by my estimate that this year will be the Leo Show.

The Nominees

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Matt Damon, The Martian

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Best Actress

How I Did: 5/5

Gotta admit I’m pretty pleased going 10/10 in the lead acting races. Like the previous race, there is a genuine front runner with Brie Larson.

The Nominees

Cate Blanchett, Carol

Brie Larson, Room

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Best Supporting Actor

How I Did: 3/5

This has been the trickiest major race to prognosticate with about a dozen legit names to consider. It bore out with my predictions as I incorrectly guessed Idris Elba for Beasts of No Nation and Paul Dano in Love and Mercy. Taking their place: Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight) and Tom Hardy (The Revenant).

The Nominees

Christian Bale, The Big Short

Tom Hardy, The Revenant

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Best Supporting Actress

How I Did: 4/5

Luckily, Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander’s work in Carol and The Danish Girl, respectively, were honored here and not in lead Actress. I missed Rachel McAdams and incorrectly picked Helen Mirren’s performance in Trumbo.

The Nominees

Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

Rooney Mara, Carol

Rachel McAdams, Spotlight

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Best Original Screenplay

How I Did: 3/5

I’m a bit surprised that Quentin Tarantino’s work for The Hateful Eight didn’t make it (I also had Sicario predicted in the five spot). My #6 and #7 other possibilities (Ex Machina and Straight Outta Compton) replaced them.

The Nominees

Bridge of Spies

Ex Machina

Inside Out

Spotlight

Straight Outta Compton

Best Adapted Screenplay

How I Did: 4/5

Following its Golden Globe victory for screenplay, Aaron Sorkin’s work in Steve Jobs missed the cut, replaced by Drew Goddard’s adaptation of The Martian.

The Nominees

The Big Short

Brooklyn

Carol

The Martian

Room

Best Animated Feature

How I Did: 3/5

No love for my predicted The Prophet or The Peanuts Movie (good grief!). Inside Out has the inside track here.

The Nominees

Anomalisa

Boy and the World

Inside Out

Shaun the Sheep Movie

When Marnie Was There

Best Documentary Feature

How I Did: 3/5

It’s Cartel Land and What Happened Miss Simone in and Going Clear and He Named Me Malala out with these predictions.

The Nominees

Amy

Cartel Land

The Look of Silence

What Happened Miss Simone

Winter on Fire

Best Foreign Language Film

How I Did: 4/5

Theeb got in instead of The Brand New Testament. Son of Saul is a strong front runner here.

The Nominees

Embrace of the Serpent

Mustang

Son of Saul

Theeb

A War

Best Production Design

How I Did: 4/5

Carol out, Martian in.

The Nominees

Bridge of Spies

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Best Cinematography

How I Did: 4/5

Carol (which I had listed as sixth) took out my #4 Bridge of Spies

The Nominees

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Sicario

Best Costume Design

How I Did: 3/5

Voters went with The Revenant and Mad Max over my 4th and 5th guesses, Brooklyn and Far from the Madding Crowd.

The Nominees

Carol

Cinderella

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Best Editing

How I Did: 4/5

Nice for Star Wars (which I listed ninth on the scale), replacing Bridge of Spies.

The Nominees

The Big Short

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Spotlight

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

How I Did: 3/3 (!)

Pat on back.

The Nominees

Mad Max: Fury Road

The 100 Year Old Man Who Climbed Out of the Window and Disappeared

The Revenant

Best Sound Mixing

How I Did: 4/5

#4 pick Sicario out, #7 pick Bridge of Spies in.

The Nominees

Bridge of Spies

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Sound Editing

How I Did: 4/5

Picked Sicario in wrong sound category, as I had it listed sixth here. It replaces my #5 The Hateful Eight.

The Nominees

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Visual Effects

How I Did: 4/5

Little surprised Jurassic World missed out. I did have Ex Machina listed sixth.

The Nominees

Ex Machina

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Original Score

How I Did: 4/5

Must admit, didn’t really have Sicario on my radar for a nod here, but it took out my #5 The Danish Girl.

The Nominees

Bridge of Spies

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Original Song

OK – I’m surprised here as my #1 pick “See You Again” from Furious 7 wasn’t honored. Same goes for “So Long” from Concussion (which I had fifth). In their place: “Earned It” from Fifty Shades of Grey and the out of nowhere “Manta Ray” from Racing Extinction.

The Nominees

“Earned It” from Fifty Shades of Grey

“Til It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground

“Manta Ray” from Racing Extinction

“Writing’s on the Wall” from Spectre

“Simple Song #3” from Youth

All in all, I went 82 out of 106 on my predictions, which I can live with. The nomination breakdowns were as follows with the number in parentheses showing my predicted number for them:

12 Nominations

The Revenant (10)

10 Nominations

Mad Max: Fury Road (9)

7 Nominations

The Martian (6)

6 Nominations

Bridge of Spies (7)

Carol (8)

Spotlight (4)

5 Nominations

The Big Short (4)

Star Wars: The Force Awakens (4)

4 Nominations

The Danish Girl (5)

Room (3)

3 Nominations

Brooklyn (4)

The Hateful Eight (5)

Sicario (3)

2 Nominations

Ex Machina (0)

Inside Out (2)

Steve Jobs (3)

1 Nomination

Anomalisa (1)

Boy and the World (0)

Cinderella (1)

Creed (1)

Fifty Shades of Grey (0)

45 Years (1)

The Hunting Ground (1)

Joy (1)

The 100 Year Old Man Who Climbed Out of the Window and Disappeared (1)

Racing Extinction (0)

Spectre (1)

Straight Outta Compton (0)

Trumbo (2)

When Marnie Was There (o)

Youth (1)

Films I Predicted Would Be Nominated for One Oscar and Were Not:

Beasts of No Nation

Concussion

Far from the Madding Crowd

Furious 7

Jurassic World

Love and Mercy

I will have a post up very soon with my initial round of predicted winners. Until then!

 

 

 

 

 

Black Mass Movie Review

Scott Cooper’s Black Mass features a remarkable performance by Johnny Depp in a rather unremarkable telling of a fascinating true life gangster tale. Taking place over a number of years starting in the mid 1970s, Mass concentrates on the Boston reign of James “Whitey” Bulger, a notorious crime kingpin who was able to evade the law due to his status as an FBI informant. Much of his leeway is due to his friendship dating from childhood with agent John Connolly (Joel Edgerton). Their union allows Bulger to roam the Bah-ston streets freely while giving up info that has the added benefit of eradicating his North Side Mob enemies. Connolly’s longtime connection leaves him either oblivious to who Whitey really is or perhaps a willful co-conspirator.

The film is told in a predictable flashback style as Whitey’s former associates are being questioned by authorities. For anyone who’s watched the news in the last few years, you’ll probably know the real Bulger successfully was a very wanted fugitive for quite a while. We don’t really become acquainted with these witnesses or the law enforcement agents outside of Connolly, but there’s lots of familiar faces playing them. On the good guy side, we have Kevin Bacon, Corey Stoll, and David Harbour (who is afforded a chilling dinner table scene with the star). Whitey’s henchman are played effectively by Rory Cochrane and Jesse Plemons. Benedict Cumberbatch’s role as Whitey’s politician brother is also underwritten and Dakota Johnson has a brief role as the criminal mastermind’s first wife. The best bit part belongs to Peter Sarsgaard as a coked out associate mixed up with Bulger’s corrupt involvement in World Jai Alai. That subplot, by the way, practically begs for its own feature if done right. Edgerton’s work is commendable and convincing as we slowly learn the dynamics of his relationship with the informant he’s known for decades and the ties that bind them.

Yet this is unquestionably the Johnny Depp Show. His menacing performance, with his giant baby blues and slicked back receding mane, reminds us of just how terrific this man can be. Depp’s trademark eccentricities are on display, but they feel necessary in service to the role he’s playing and not just present for the sake of being weird. It’s something that downgraded recent performances from him and his intense persona here is a breath of fresh and scary air. Truth be told, though, the moments here when Depp’s Bulger is terrorizing his associates are often the only scenes that generate real excitement.

That said, true story or not, little else feels fresh about Black Mass. We’ve seen a number of similar genre tales (some set in Boston) mingling the worlds of crime, law, and politics with greater effectiveness. One that immediately springs to mind is Scorsese’s The Departed, in which Jack Nicholson plays a more fictionalized version of Bulger. Many of the plot points that show up in Mass are contained in The Departed and it’s far more fascinating in the latter. That Boston gang drama earned Best Picture. Black Mass earns credit for allowing Depp to make this role a memorable one. For that reason alone, it’s probably worth a look for his many fans even if the material surrounding it is familiar and a little tiresome.

**1/2 (out of four)