Ender’s Game Box Office Prediction

Based on a popular series of novels by Orson Scott Card that began in 1985, the sci-fi action pic Ender’s Game arrives in theaters Friday with a reported $110 million budget and a built-in audience that will analyze it closely.

Starring Asa Butterfield as the title character with a solid supporting cast that includes Harrison Ford, Ben Kingsley, True Grit‘s Hailee Steinfeld, Viola Davis, and Abigail Breslin, there is likely hope that Ender’s Game spawns a franchise. The pic has been well promoted and, as mentioned, its source material is known to many.

How will this translate to its opening? There is uncertainty surrounding it. Let’s take a look at some other openings in 2013 for high-profile sci-fi flicks that aren’t sequels:

Pacific Rim opening: $37.2 million

Elysium opening: $29.8 million

After Earth opening: $27.5 million

Ender’s Game currently stands at 71% on Rotten Tomatoes so critics are mostly on its side. The pic should debut at #1 unless other new entries Last Vegas or Free Birds debut bigger than expected. Ender’s Game could eclipse the openings of the aforementioned trio (above $40M is possible), though I’m predicting it’ll fall short of that and below what Pacific Rim managed. A debut in the low to mid 30s seems like the right call.

Ender’s Game opening weekend prediction: $32.9 million

For my Last Vegas opening weekend prediction, click here:


For my Free Birds prediction, click here:


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