Box Office Predictions: September 27-29

After a fairly toned down last three weekends in which only five new pictures premiered, the floodgates open this coming weekend with four new wide releases: Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2, Ron Howard’s Formula One racing flick Rush, the Paula Patton romantic comedy Baggage Claim, and Don Jon, which marks Joseph Gordon-Levitt’s directorial debut.

You can find my individual prediction posts on each right here:

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/09/22/cloudy-with-a-chance-of-meatballs-2-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/09/22/rush-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/09/22/don-jon-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/09/22/baggage-claim-box-office-prediction/

Unless any of the new entries fall below $6.5 million (which is about what Insidious: Chapter 2 may make in its third weekend), the four new pics should all populate the top five. I’m predicting that they will. That leaves Prisoners in its second weekend as the only predicted holdover and it should fall no more than 40% in its sophomore frame.

And with that, my prognosis for the weekend’s top five:

1. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2

Predicted Gross: $48.1 million

2. Rush

Predicted Gross: $17.2 million

3. Prisoners

Predicted Gross: $12.7 million (representing a drop of 39%)

4. Baggage Claim

Predicted Gross: $9.5 million

5. Don Jon

Predicted Gross: $8 million

I’ll have updates posted on the blog’s Facebook page Saturday with final results on the blog Sunday!

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