This weekend sees the release of two new pictures as the Denzel Washington/Mark Wahlberg action flick 2 Guns opens against The Smurfs 2. This could be a real battle for top spot and you can find my predictions for both movies below:
If both titles don’t measure up to my predictions, there’s a small chance last weekend’s champ The Wolverine could retain the top spot. The pic had the lowest opening of any of the six X-Men titles in the franchise so far. Earning $53 million, The Wolverine was in the same ballpark as 2011’s X-Men: First Class, which debuted with $55 million. That pic then dropped 56% in its sophomore frame and I look for the new Logan adventure to drop roughly the same.
Rounding out the top five, I look for audience and critical favorite The Conjuring to continue to hold nicely (especially for a horror flick) and Despicable Me 2 to continue its terrific run.
Since Smurfs 2 opens on Wednesday, I believe that will allow 2 Guns to nab the #1 spot for the weekend, even though Papa Smurf and friends should have a solid debut, based on my projections.
And with that, my predictions for the weekend’s top five:
1. 2 Guns
Predicted Gross: $28.9 million
2. The Smurfs 2
Predicted Gross: $25.7 million ($38.2 million projected five-day gross)
3. The Wolverine
Predicted Gross: $24 million (representing a drop of 54%)
4. The Conjuring
Predicted Gross: $12.4 million (representing a drop of 45%)
5. Despicable Me 2
Predicted Gross: $10.3 million (representing a drop of 38%)
That’s all for now, folks! Don’t forget to go to http://www.boxofficeace.com to play along with me and make your own predictions! I’ll have updates on the Facebook page throughout the weekend with final results Sunday.