Box Office Predictions: August 2-4

This weekend sees the release of two new pictures as the Denzel Washington/Mark Wahlberg action flick 2 Guns opens against The Smurfs 2. This could be a real battle for top spot and you can find my predictions for both movies below:

If both titles don’t measure up to my predictions, there’s a small chance last weekend’s champ The Wolverine could retain the top spot. The pic had the lowest opening of any of the six X-Men titles in the franchise so far. Earning $53 million, The Wolverine was in the same ballpark as 2011’s X-Men: First Class, which debuted with $55 million. That pic then dropped 56% in its sophomore frame and I look for the new Logan adventure to drop roughly the same.

Rounding out the top five, I look for audience and critical favorite The Conjuring to continue to hold nicely (especially for a horror flick) and Despicable Me 2 to continue its terrific run.

Since Smurfs 2 opens on Wednesday, I believe that will allow 2 Guns to nab the #1 spot for the weekend, even though Papa Smurf and friends should have a solid debut, based on my projections.

And with that, my predictions for the weekend’s top five:

1. 2 Guns

Predicted Gross: $28.9 million

2. The Smurfs 2

Predicted Gross: $25.7 million ($38.2 million projected five-day gross)

3. The Wolverine

Predicted Gross: $24 million (representing a drop of 54%)

4. The Conjuring

Predicted Gross: $12.4 million (representing a drop of 45%)

5. Despicable Me 2

Predicted Gross: $10.3 million (representing a drop of 38%)

That’s all for now, folks! Don’t forget to go to to play along with me and make your own predictions! I’ll have updates on the Facebook page throughout the weekend with final results Sunday.

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