Animal Farm Box Office Prediction

Unless I’m vastly underestimating the number of toddlers clamoring for George Orwell adaptations, Animal Farm could face a tough road when it opens May 1st. Based on the author’s 1945 dystopian fable, Andy Serkis directs the animated treatment with an all-star voice cast. That includes Seth Rogen, Gaten Matatrazzo, Kieran Culkin, Glenn Close, Laverne Cox, Steve Buscemi, Woody Harrelson, Jim Parsons, Kathleen Turner, Iman Vellani, and Serkis himself voicing multiple parts.

Precious dollars might be hard to secure. Angel Studios is handling distribution duties and their marketing footprint appears light. Buzz is also quiet and the mostly mediocre reviews (36% Rotten Tomatoes, 40 Metacritic) should give parents pause to take the kiddos. Add all that up and this Farm might yielded a return in the low single digits.

Animal Farm opening weekend prediction: $2.7 million

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Oscar Predictions: Animal Farm

Angel Studios is distributing Andy Serkis’s animated rendering of George Orwell’s novella Animal Farm, out May 1st. With a screenplay from Nicholas Stoller, the third cinematic adaptation of the source material boasts an impressive voice cast including Seth Rogen, Gaten Matarazzo, Kieran Culkin, Glenn Close, Laverne Cox, Steve Buscemi, Woody Harrelson, Jim Parsons, Kathleen Turner, Iman Vellani, and Mr. Serkis himself.

Reviews are not precious. The middling reaction is evidenced by the 36% Rotten Tomatoes score and 42 Metacritic. Those results make it clear that you shouldn’t bet that Farm will be a factor in the animated awards races months down the line. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions – Orwell: 2 + 2 = 5

Raoul Peck, whose acclaimed 2016 feature I Am Not Your Negro was nominated for Best Documentary Feature, could find himself in contention nine years later with Orwell: 2 + 2 = 5. Focused on the life of George Orwell while paralleling current events, Damian Lewis narrates as the 1984 writer.

The Neon distributed effort is out today with 85% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 74 Metacritic. The reaction is not as rapturous as Peck’s predecessor. However, with the right push (something Neon is capable of), don’t be surprised if this makes the shortlist of docs later this year. It it does, it has a shot to make the quintet though winning is highly improbable. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…