Tag: Tosin Cole

Oscar Predictions – Bob Marley: One Love

When Reinaldo Marcus Green’s Bob Marley: One Love, the biopic of the reggae icon was slated for early 2024 (it’s out February 14th), it called into question the viability of its awards prospects. After all, most real contenders aren’t seen in the first quarter unless it’s a Sundance screening. That speculation has been confirmed with the review embargo now lifted.

Kingsley Ben-Adir, who likely came close to a Supporting Actor nod in 2020 for One Night in Miami…, plays the title character with Lashana Lynch as wife Rita. The supporting cast includes James Norton, Tosin Cole, Umi Myers, and Anthony Welsh. Green’s previous pic King Richard gave Will Smith a much discussed Best Actor victory.

Don’t look for the Academy to look too much into Love and that could include Ben-Adir’s performance (though I wouldn’t totally discount the possibility). The Rotten Tomatoes score is a mere 36% and even the positive(ish) reviews use descriptions like serviceable and decent. Despite Marley’s beloved music, I wouldn’t look for Sound to be in play (though it would be the only race where it’s somewhat possible). My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Bob Marley: One Love Box Office Prediction

Paramount hopes fans of the title character turn out for Bob Marley: One Love when it debuts on February 14th. Kingsley Ben-Adir is the legendary reggae singer with Lashana Lynch as wife Rita. Reinaldo Marcus Green, who last directed King Richard, is behind the camera. James Norton, Tosin Cole, and Anthony Welsh are among the supporting players.

Originally slated for January, the studio opted to push it back to the long holiday weekend encompassing Valentine’s and President’s Day. Reviews are mixed to negative with an RT score of 36% thus far.

Despite the critical reaction, Marley has a devoted fanbase and competition is light save for Madame Web. I believe a four-day take in the high teens to low 20s is doable with high 20s for the six-day tally.

Bob Marley: One Love opening weekend prediction: $19.2 million (Friday to Monday); $28.9 million (Wednesday to Monday)

For my Madame Web prediction, click here:

Madame Web Box Office Prediction

House Party Box Office Prediction

Blogger’s Update (01/11): Considering its meager 1500 screen count and scant buzz, I’m revising my House Party prediction down from $6 million to $3 million.

Warner Bros hopes audiences RSVP to the House Party reboot when it debuts January 13th. Directed by Calmatic (best known for music videos and commercials), Jacob Latimore and Tosin Cole star as best friends who hatch a plan to hold a blowout bash at the estate of LeBron James. The NBA superstar plays himself as do musical celebs like Kid Cudi, Lil Wayne, and Snoop Dogg.

The 1990 original featured hip hop act Kid N’ Play (who appear here) and spawned two sequels. It was a surprise box office success that also drew critical kudos. This was originally slated for an HBO Max only premiere last summer before the studio shifted emphasis to theatrical output.

Rolling out over the long MLK weekend, Party could manage to over perform. There’s a real question which new release will make the most money with A Man Called Otto and Plane as the other contenders. The trio should all fall behind Avatar: The Way of Water and M3GAN. I’ll project this falls short of double digits earnings by a notable margin.

House Party opening weekend prediction: $3 million (Friday to Monday estimate)

For my A Man Called Otto prediction, click here:

A Man Called Otto Box Office Prediction

For my Plane prediction, click here:

Plane Box Office Prediction