Oscar Predictions: Supergirl

Supergirl marks the second feature in the new James Gunn curated iteration of the DC Universe behind last summer’s Superman reboot. Directed by Craig Gillespie, Milly Alcock (who briefly appeared in the Man of Steel’s 2025 adventure) plays the title character. David Corenswet appears as Supes with the supporting cast including Matthias Schoenaerts, Eve Ridley, David Krumholtz, and Jason Momoa as bad guy Lobo (not Aquaman).

Box office expectations aren’t near as high for this DC effort compared to what was happening a year ago. Reviews were mixed on Superman. However, reaction to Supergirl is more negative. While Alcock is getting some decent ink, Rotten Tomatoes is at 57% with 48 on Metacritic.

The only awards races worth considering are Visual Effects, Sound, and Makeup and Hairstyling. Superman didn’t get into any of those despite being shortlisted in the first two. Supergirl‘s best shot might be in Makeup and Hairstyling where Gunn’s Guardians of the Galaxy trilogy managed three nominations. Interestingly critics are comparing Supergirl less with Guardians and more with Mad Max flicks. Like 2024’s Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga, the chances are strong this will receive zero noms. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Supergirl Box Office Prediction

Warner Bros looks for Supergirl to fly high on June 26th as the second feature since James Gunn and Peter Safran took over the DC Studios. Hitting multiplexes a year after Superman had solid if not otherworldly box office results, Craig Gillespie directs Milly Alcock in the title role. Costars include Matthias Schoenaerts, Eve Ridley, David Krumholtz, Emily Beecham, David Corenswet (reprising his turn as the Man of Steel), and Jason Momoa (not as Aquaman but as the villainous Lobo).

Last year, Superman took in $125 million in its opening weekend with $354 million overall domestically. Expectations are nowhere near that range for the second feature about Kal-El’s cousin. The first arrived in 1984 with Helen Slater portraying the title character. It was a significant flop.

Supergirl will try to avoid being the same. Estimates are in the mid 50s range. Anything above $60 million would be considered a pleasant surprise. I’m taking the under and going mid 40s.

Supergirl opening weekend prediction: $44.5 million

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