Oscar Predictions – Spinal Tap II: The End Continues

Considered a comedy classic and credited for popularizing the mockumentary genre, This Is Spinal Tap was released 41 years ago. Today the sequel is out for consumption in Spinal Tap II: The End Continues. It reunites director Rob Reiner with Christopher Guest, Michael McKean and Harry Shearer as the clueless but endearing English rockers.

The original Tap took a little while to achieve its beloved status. None of their original songs were nominated in that category at the Oscars so we missed the opportunity to see them perform “Big Bottom” or “Stonehenge”. At the Golden Globes, it didn’t materialize in Best Picture – Musical/Comedy. I’d say it had more staying power in retrospect than Micki + Maude.

Reviews for the sequel are primarily average with 71% on Rotten Tomatoes and 60 on Metacritic. There are nine new tracks on the soundtrack. Perhaps “Let’s Just Rock Again” or another ditty will be campaigned for by the studio. If it makes the shortlist of contenders, maybe a wave of nostalgia gets it in, but I doubt it. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Spinal Tap II: The End Continues Box Office Prediction

1984’s This Is Spinal Tap popularized the mockumentary and became an all-time comedy classic. Over four decades later, the clueless rock band consisting of Christoper Guest, Michael McKean and Harry Shearer is back in Spinal Tap II: The End Continues. So is Rob Reiner as their documentarian and the sequel’s actual director. Expect plenty of cameos as evidenced by Sirs Paul McCartney and Elton John in the trailer.

With Bleecker Street handling distribution duties, marketing for the follow-up is a little underwhelming. Many younger viewers simply may not be familiar with the source material while some fans of the original may wait until a streaming start.

The original’s biggest fans should still turn up, but that might only mean a debut in the mid single digits at best.

Spinal Tap II: The End Continues opening weekend prediction: $3.4 million

For my Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Movie: Infinity Castle prediction, click here:

For my Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale prediction, click here:

For my The Long Walk prediction, click here:

Father Figures Box Office Prediction

Looking to tickle the funny bones of audiences over the long holiday weekend, Father Figures debuts next Friday. The pic casts Owen Wilson and Ed Helms as brothers searching for their biological pops after mom Glenn Close informs them it could be several men. J.K. Simmons, Christopher Walken, Ving Rhames, and Terry Bradshaw (playing himself) are among them. Katt Williams, June Squibb, and Harry Shearer are included in the supporting cast with Lawrence Sher directing.

Originally titled Bastards, the comedy was originally slated by Warner Bros. for a November 2016 opening before a delay until January 2017 and finally this Christmastime release. That doesn’t exactly inspire confidence with the multiple push backs.

Figures has plenty of competition and of the five wide releases premiering over the weekend, it will likely place fifth among them. Its best hope would be to replicate what Why Him? (last year’s Christmas entry in the genre) did with $15.5 million over the four-day frame.

That could be wishful thinking. I’ll predict this only reaches high single digits to low double digits for its roll out.

Father Figures opening weekend prediction: $8.6 million (Friday to Monday estimate)

For my Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2017/12/11/jumanji-welcome-to-the-jungle-box-office-prediction/

For my Pitch Perfect 3 prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2017/12/12/pitch-perfect-3-box-office-prediction/

For my The Greatest Showman prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2017/12/12/the-greatest-showman-box-office-prediction/

For my Downsizing prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2017/12/13/downsizing-box-office-prediction/