My updated weekly Oscar predictions goes from 6 categories to 8 with the inclusion of both screenplay derbies! It’s the first time we’ve seen some titles in my possibilities such as Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Nope, The Greatest Beer Run Ever, and Bones & All.
As for changes in the other races, I’m putting Rustin back in BP and that means Empire of Light drops from the top ten. Danielle Deadwyler (Till) returns to my top five in Actress over Cate Blanchett in Tar.
You can peruse all the movement below!
Best Picture
Predicted Nominees:
1. Babylon (Previous Ranking: 1) (E)
2. The Fabelmans (PR: 2) (E)
3. Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 3) (E)
4. Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 4) (E)
5. The Son (PR: 6) (+1)
6. Women Talking (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Bardo (PR: 7) (E)
8. She Said (PR: 8) (E)
9. The Whale (PR: 9) (E)
10. Rustin (PR: 11) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
11. Empire of Light (PR: 10) (-1)
12. White Noise (PR: 20) (+8)
13. Broker (PR: 12) (-1)
14. Amsterdam (PR: 14) (E)
15. Poor Things (PR: 13) (-2)
16. Decision to Leave (PR: 15) (-1)
17. Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 18) (+1)
18. Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 17) (-1)
19. Tar (PR: 16) (-3)
20. Elvis (PR: 21) (+1)
21. Next Goal Wins (PR: 22) (+1)
22. Thirteen Lives (PR: 19) (-3)
23. Armageddon Time (PR: Not Ranked)
24. The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 25) (+1)
25. Till (PR: 24) (-1)
Dropped Out:
Aftersun
Best Director
Predicted Nominees:
1. Damien Chazelle, Babylon (PR: 1) (E)
2. Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans (PR: 2) (E)
3. Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 3) (E)
4. The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Bardo (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Sarah Polley, Women Talking (PR: 6) (E)
7. Florian Zeller, The Son (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Darren Aronofsky, The Whale (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave (PR: 9) (E)
10. Hirokazu Kore-eda, Broker (PR: 11) (+1)
11. Sam Mendes, Empire of Light (PR: 10) (-1)
12. Noah Baumbach, White Noise (PR: Not Ranked)
13. Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things (PR: 13) (E)
14. James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 14) (E)
15. Maria Schrader, She Said (PR: 12) (-3)
Dropped Out:
George C. Wolfe, Rustin
Best Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Margot Robbie, Babylon (PR: 1) (E)
2. Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 2) (E)
3. Regina King, Shirley (PR: 3) (E)
4. Olivia Colman, Empire of Light (PR: 4) (E)
5. Danielle Deadwyler, Till (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Cate Blanchett, Tar (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Emma Stone, Poor Things (PR: 9) (+2)
8. Naomi Ackie, I Wanna Dance with Somebody (PR: 8) (E)
9. Carey Mulligan, She Said (PR: 7) (-2)
10. Laura Dern, The Son (PR: 10) (E)
11. Helen Mirren, Golda (PR: 11) (E)
12. Ana de Armas, Blonde (PR: 13) (+1)
13. Viola Davis, The Woman King (PR: 12) (-1)
14. Michelle Williams, Showing Up (PR: 14) (E)
15. Saoirse Ronan, See How They Run (PR: 15) (E)
Best Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Brendan Fraser, The Whale (PR: 1) (E)
2. Hugh Jackman, The Son (PR: 2) (E)
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 3) (E)
4. Colman Domingo, Rustin (PR: 4) (E)
5. Austin Butler, Elvis (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Adam Driver, White Noise (PR: 10) (+4)
7. Christian Bale, Amsterdam (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Song Kang-Ho, Broker (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Diego Calva, Babylon (PR: 7) (-2)
10. Daniel Gimenez Cacho, Bardo (PR: 9) (-1)
11. Michael Fassbender, Next Goal Wins (PR: 11) (E)
12. Gabriel LaBelle, The Fabelmans (PR: 12) (E)
13. Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 15) (+2)
14. Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 13) (-1)
15. Viggo Mortensen, Thirteen Lives (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Michael Ward, Empire of Light
Best Supporting Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans (PR: 1) (E)
2. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 2) (E)
3. Jessie Buckley, Women Talking (PR: 3) (E)
4. Zoe Kazan, She Said (PR: 4) (E)
5. Hong Chau, The Whale (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Vanessa Kirby, The Son (PR: 6) (E)
7. Jean Smart, Babylon (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Audra McDonald, Rustin (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Patricia Clarkson, She Said (PR: 9) (E)
10. Dakota Johnson, Cha Cha Real Smooth (PR: 12) (+2)
11. Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 10) (-1)
12. Anne Hathaway, Armageddon Time (PR: Not Ranked)
13. Sadie Sink, The Whale (PR: 13) (E)
14. Margot Robbie, Amsterdam (PR: 15) (+1)
15. Nina Hoss, Tar (PR: 11) (-4)
Dropped Out:
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Supporting Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 1) (E)
2. Paul Dano, The Fabelmans (PR: 4) (+2)
3. Brad Pitt, Babylon (PR: 2) (-1)
4. Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 3) (-1)
5. Jesse Plemons, Killers of the Flower Moon (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Willem Dafoe, Poor Things (PR: 6) (E)
7. Glynn Turman, Rustin (PR: 9) (+2)
8. Colin Firth, Empire of Light (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Anthony Hopkins, Armageddon Time (PR: 11) (+2)
10. Ben Whishaw, Women Talking (PR: 8) (-2)
11. Seth Rogen, The Fabelmans (PR: 10) (-1)
12. John David Washington, Amsterdam (PR: 13) (+1)
13. Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 15) (+2)
14. Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things (PR: 14) (E)
15. Tom Hanks, Elvis (PR: 12) (-3)
Best Original Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
1. Everything Everywhere All at Once
2. Babylon
3. The Fabelmans
4. Bardo
5. Broker
Other Possibilities:
6. Rustin
7. Amsterdam
8. Decision to Leave
9. Empire of Light
10. Tar
11. Triangle of Sadness
12. Aftersun
13. Armageddon Time
14. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
15. Nope
Best Adapted Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
1. Killers of the Flower Moon
2. The Son
3. The Whale
4. Women Talking
5. White Noise
Other Possibilities:
6. She Said
7. Poor Things
8. The Banshees of Inisherin
9. Next Goal Wins
10. Till
11. Thirteen Lives
12. Bones and All
13. Top Gun: Maverick
14. Avatar: The Way of Water
15. The Greatest Beer Run Ever
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