FINAL Oscar Predictions: Best Director

With the Oscar nominations coming out Thursday morning, I have been blogging my nominee predictions in the six major categories. I’m through the acting predictions and this brings us to only Best Picture (coming tomorrow) and now… Best Director.

This category is often seen as a good prognosticator of the movies that will be nominated for Best Picture. As you may be aware, Best Picture nominees can be anywhere from five to ten films. All other categories are a finite five. With this new rule change that’s only been in effect since last year, it’s probably fair safe to assume that every director nominated will see their movie nominated, too. So here’s a good indication of movies I think will get Best Picture nominations when I reveal those tomorrow.

Just this afternoon, a major harbinger of the Best Director Oscar category was released… the Director’s Guild of America (DGA) nominations. This association nominates five directors for their award every year. To give you an idea of the consistency of DGA nods to Oscar nods, in the last 10 years these nominations have exactly matched three times. It’s been a 4 out of 5 ratio six times. And only a 3 to 5 ratio once. In other words, it’s quite safe to assume that 4 out of 5 DGA nominees will get Best Director Oscar nominations. And maybe even all five could match.

The five DGA nominees announced today: Ben Affleck for Argo, Kathryn Bigelow for Zero Dark Thirty, Tom Hooper for Les Miserables, Ang Lee for Life of Pi, and Steven Spielberg for Lincoln. These are top five that I’ve been predicting on the blog for some time now and I’m having a hard time seeing any reason to change it….

Except for the fact that, more often than not, it’s only four out of five. So who could get in that didn’t get a DGA nod? The most likely is David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook. There’s also Michael Haneke for Amour, whom several experts have been picking. If the Academy really goes for Django Unchained or Moonrise Kingdom, Quentin Tarantino or Wes Anderson, respectively, could sneak in. And Paul Thomas Anderson’s work in The Master is a long-shot possibility.

Affleck, Bigelow, and Spielberg appear to be shoo-ins. Lee and Hooper seem the most vulnerable. I think Lee’s beautiful visionary direction for Life of Pi keeps him in. I am much less confident in Tom Hooper for Les Mis and could easily see Russell replacing him.

At the end of the day though, I have to stick with the five directors I’ve been going with that just happen to be the DGA nominees from a few hours ago.

FINAL PREDICTIONS: BEST DIRECTOR

Ben Affleck, Argo

Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Tom Hooper, Les Miserables

Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Be sure to check back tomorrow for my predictions for the big one – Best Picture!

UPDATED – Who Will Direct Star Wars – Episode VII?

All the way back on October 31st, I wrote a post very shortly after it was announced that Disney had acquired the right to LucasFilm and would be producing Episodes VII, VIII, and IX of Star Wars.

The announcement was a shock to the industry… more Star Wars movies!!! The deal led to immediate speculation on the director that would be chosen for the monumental task of restarting the franchise. In my late October blog post, I listed 20 potential directors that I felt were most likely to be offered the gig. That post can be found here:

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2012/10/31/who-will-direct-star-wars-episode-vii/

Well, much has changed since then. Three of the directors I listed in my Top Ten have since announced that they will not be the director. They are:

My #9 pick – Sam Mendes, who most recently directed Skyfall, the 007 flick that just passed a billion dollars at the box office worldwide. He made it clear in a recent interview that he didn’t expect to be offered the job and likely wouldn’t direct it anyway. You never know, but Mendes seems out of the race.

My #5 pick – Guillermo Del Toro, the great visionary director of the Hellboy movies, Pan’s Labyrinth, and this summer’s Pacific Rim. Just yesterday, Del Toro confirmed that he received a call from Disney gauging his interest, but that his plate was too full for Star Wars.

And last, but certainly not least…

My #1 pick – Brad Bird, who earned two Animated Feature Oscars through his work with Pixar (also owned by Disney) for The Incredibles and Ratatouille. In 2011, Bird made his live-action debut with Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol where he reinvigorated that franchise. With his Disney ties and great results with Mission, Bird seemed like an obvious choice and my preferred choice. However, he has announced that he will not be the director and is focusing on other projects.

So… where does that leave us? I thought the director announcement might come before the close of 2012. With that not occurring, we’re left to wonder whether we’ll know by month’s end. It’s certainly possible.

With all the recent movement, I’ve decided to pare down my list of 20 Likely Directors to 10 Likely Directors. If you think I’d just move everyone up a slot with Bird, Del Toro, and Mendes out, you would be exactly wrong. There are actually two new names in my now Top 10 that weren’t in my Top 20 over two months ago. Others that were in the October Top 10 have dropped out and some who were between 10-20 have moved up in the Star Wars world. Without further adieu, my Top 10 Most Likely Directors for Star Wars: Episode VII:

10. Neil Blomkamp (Previous Ranking: #3)

Blomkamp made a huge splash with his directorial debut, the original and inventive District 9. He gets a much bigger budget with this year’s Elysium with Matt Damon and Jodie Foster. Blomkamp has shown immense talent with sci-fi, but I have a sneaking suspicion he may not be as highly rated as I once thought and he’s had several move ahead in my view. Also, Blomkamp writes all his own stuff and we don’t even know if he’d want to work off someone else’s screenplay.

9. Lee Unkrich (Previous Ranking: Unranked)

Unkrich simply wasn’t on my radar screen when I posted in October. He has co-directed a number of Pixar features and made his solo directing debut with 2010’s rapturously received Toy Story 3. With fellow Pixar alum Brad Bird out, might Disney turn to another one for this franchise? It seems feasible, even though having Star Wars as your first live-action movie is a pretty tall order.

8. Drew Goddard (Previous Ranking: #4)

Goddard has slipped a bit as well. His first feature, last year’s Cabin in the Woods, was a lot of fun and very well-directed. As I wrote about in October, it helps that he’s Joss Whedon’s right-hand man. Whedon, as you may know, happened to direct a little movie called The Avengers for Disney last year and that turned out about as well as humanly possible. His association with Whedon is a huge plus, but again I think there’s others that have moved ahead. Whedon, it should be noted, is all but out because he’ll be working on The Avengers sequel.

7. Joe Kosinki (Previous Ranking: Unranked)

Our second newbie to the list, Kasinki directed Disney’s 2010 film Tron: Legacy and it grossed over $400 million worldwide. His follow-up feature is this April’s sci-fi thriller Oblivion with Tom Cruise. If the word on Oblivion turns out positive, that combination coupled with Disney’s earlier success with him could make Kosinski a major contender.

6. David Yates (Previous Ranking: #12)

Yates seems like a natural choice: he directed the last four Harry Potter pictures to great acclaim and enormous box office results. He’s already proven he can successfully take a beloved franchise and keep it running with very positive results. Yates would probably rank higher here, but Warner Bros. is likely to offer him any project he desires to keep him with the company, included the eagerly-awaited Justice League movie.

5. Joe Johnston (Previous Ranking: #14)

This selection is beginning to make a lot more sense to me than in October. A veteran director, Johnston actually did the visual effects on the original Star Wars trilogy. He then moved on to direct high-profile features like Jumanji and Jurassic Park III. His connection with Disney is now strong after directing 2011’s Captain America: The First Avenger. 

4. Rupert Wyatt (Previous Ranking: #11)

Wyatt earned a lot of props with his directorial debut, 2011’s terrific Rise of the Planet of the Apes. Like Mr. Yates, Mr. Wyatt proved he could take over a well-known franchise and infuse it with energy. Wyatt was scheduled to direct the Apes sequel, but dropped out so he’s open for business right now.

3. Jon Favreau (Previous Ranking: #15)

Here’s another one who’s jumped way up. Favreau is the man responsible for starting the whole Avengers franchise after directing both Iron Man flicks to critical acclaim and huge box office. Disney reportedly loves working with him and his success with the Marvel franchise (which Disney owns) might get him the offer for this franchise.

2. Alfonso Cuaron (Previous Ranking: #2)

Cuaron is the only director to keep his previous ranking and for good reason. He’d be an inspired choice after directing the greatest Harry Potter film (Prisoner of Azkaban) and the amazingly directed Children of Men. This year, audiences will see Gravity, his sci-fi epic with George Clooney and Sandra Bullock. Cuaron has stayed conspicuously quiet and he certainly hasn’t ruled himself out, which makes this a real possibility.

But, at the end of the day, there’s got to be a number one pick and with my previous selection, Brad Bird, out of the running, the new #1 is….

1. Matthew Vaughn (Previous Ranking: #7)

Vaughn has jumped to #1 mostly because there’s a lot of rumors that he’s been offered the film. That news broke weeks ago and I wrote about it here:

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2012/11/05/we-may-already-know-who-is-directing-star-wars/

The best news: if these rumors turn out true, Vaughn is a fine choice. Like some of my other top ten picks, he’s already proven he can restart a franchise to great results, after 2011’s X-Men: First Class. I still find it noteworthy that he dropped out of directing the sequel to X-Men. His name has been swirling around for some time now and he’s said nothing, which tells me he’s probably interested.

And that’s where we are today, my friends. We shall find out soon if any of these predictions have any merit. Stay tuned!

The 007 Files: Moonraker

1979’s Moonraker opens with an exciting scene of Bond and Jaws (the henchman returning from The Spy Who Loved Me) battling it out after jumping from an airplane.

The theme song is Shirley Bassey’s third of the franchise. It’s a good one, though not quite to the level of her previous two, “Goldfinger” and “Diamonds Are Forever”.

Ken Adam, the franchise’s renowned production designer, does an absolutely terrific job with the sets here. He’s the star of this movie, as far as I’m concerned.

There’s the pretty cool sight of James Bond hang gliding over a waterfall. And Rio De Janiero looks beautiful in the few minutes we spend there.

There are the positive aspects of Moonraker and maybe I should just leave it that, except for the pesky fact that just about everything else in the film sucks. I love the James Bond franchise, in case you haven’t figured that out. And I don’t want to write this post, but I have to be honest so here goes:

Moonraker is a travesty on a number of levels. Interestingly, the film was not supposed to be the 007 movie being released in 1979. At the end of its predecessor, The Spy Who Loved Me, we were told: “James Bond Will Return in For Your Eyes Only.” That’s what filmgoers saw in the end credits of Spy in the summer of 1977. Want to know something else audiences saw in the summer of 1977? A little film called Star Wars. 

And that, my friends, prompted Bond producers to change their minds and quickly make Moonraker the next 007 adventure. After the release of Star Wars (and also Close Encounters of the Third Kind) in 1977, science fiction was the most popular thing around… along with disco and Burt Reynolds.

So not only did MGM go with the Ian Fleming novel with sci-fi elements, they decided to open up the bank for Moonraker. Its predecessor, Spy Who Loved Me, had been the biggest budgeted 007 so far at $14 million. The budget for Moonraker would be set at $34 million. No question that the huge financial success of Spy contributed to the budget raise, but the producers knew Bond + space likely = $.

And they were right. Moonraker grossed over $200 million dollars worldwide, making it the biggest Bond so far financially. It made $70M in the U.S., placing it 10th for that year domestically. The fact is, science fiction was so trendy at that time that combining 007 with it was a winning combo, at least financially.

I suppose I’ll touch on the plot… briefly. Space shuttles get stolen. The man behind it is the manufacturer of the shuttles, Hugo Drax. He has a plan to use those shuttles to repopulate the Earth in space with only beautiful people he takes with him. This, of course, involves wiping out the planet and creating that master race in space. It’s a far-fetched and silly plot, even by Bond standards.

Speaking of the villain Drax, he’s the worst Bond baddie we’ve seen so far. Played by Michael Lonsdale with no real energy, the guy’s really just a bore. The less said the better because you’re going to forget his character anyway.

Then, we’re mistreated to one of the worst Bond girls so far. She does have a memorable name, Holly Goodhead. That’s the only memorable thing about her character or Lois Chiles’ listless performance as her.

Oh, it gets worse. Bond in spaghetti Western gear. Jaws, a solid character in Spy Who Loved Me, getting way overused. He even turns good guy in the end because he falls in love with a girl and realizes Drax will probably kill him. Lame.

All that said, what I disliked most about Moonraker is the final half hour when Bond and Goodhead are shot out of Earth in a shuttle and engage in a space war, complete with laser guns. Darth Vader does not enter the movie to fight them, but he might as well. The final battle scenes show the filmmakers really desperate to capture George Lucas-type magic on the screen. And they don’t.

This is supposed to be a James Bond movie. I can handle the Roger Moore entries becoming much more comical and silly (it happened first with Sean Connery in Diamonds Are Forever, by the way). What I had a hard time accepting is the Bond franchise completely capitulating to another franchise. In the last act of Moonraker, we don’t feel like we’re watching a 007 movie. We feel like we’re watching a bad Star Wars rip-off. One with great sets, of course (to give another Ken Adam shout-out). But, still bad.

We saw glimpses of this in Roger Moore’s first two features, with the influence of blaxpoitation in Live and Let Die and kung fu in The Man With the Golden Gun. Not to this extent, though. Moore’s third 007 movie, The Spy Who Loved Me, is terrific. It’s one of the greatest Bonds and I suspect it’ll register highly (very highly) on my favorite 007 flicks when I release my list after this blog series is complete. So, the fact that this was the follow-up adds to the letdown. Even the director of Spy, Lewis Gilbert, directed this too!

Moonraker, besides obviously trying (and succeeding) to cash in on Star Wars craze, makes references to 2001: A Space Odyssey and Close Encounters of the Third Kind. These joking references remind us that those were great sci-fi movies. Moonraker is neither a good sci-fi or James Bond movie. The joke is clearly on us.

Here are the facts:

Film: Moonraker

U.S. Release Date: June 29, 1979

Director: Lewis Gilbert

Screenplay: Christopher Wood

Bond: Roger Moore

Main Bond Villain: Hugo Drax (Michael Lonsdale)

Main Bond Girl: Holly Goodhead (Lois Chiles)

Theme Song: “Moonraker” – performed by Shirley Bassey

Budget: $34 million

Worldwide Box Office: $210.3 million

***On a somber note, actor Bernard Lee who portrayed the character of M in the first eleven Bond pictures, from Dr. No to Moonraker, passed away in early 1981 at age 73. Moonraker would mark Lee’s final appearance in the series.

My James Bond blog series will return in “The 007 Files: For Your Eyes Only”

FINAL Oscar Predictions: Best Actor and Actress

With the Academy Award nominations coming out Thursday, this is part two of my series of FINAL predictions for what and whom will be recognized. We are at my predictions for Best Actor and Actress, with Best Director to come Tuesday and Best Picture on Wednesday.

BEST ACTOR

Let’s get this out of the way first: if Daniel Day-Lewis is not nominated for Lincoln, it would constitute one of the biggest shockers in Oscar history. There is no way that’s going to happen. None. If it happens, you can call me every name in the book publicly on Facebook. That’s my confidence level in that nomination.

After that, I don’t believe I’ve ever seen an Oscar race like this year’s for Best Actor. Why? As I’ve explained in previous posts, there are five other performances that would be shoo-ins in any other year. However, only four will make it in.

Those five performances are: John Hawkes in The Sessions, Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings Playbook, Denzel Washington in Flight, Joaquin Phoenix in The Master, and Hugh Jackman in Les Miserables. There’s also Jean-Louis Trintignant in Amour, who remains a remote possibility if the French film really ends up taking off with voters.

In a weaker year, performances such as Jamie Foxx in Django Unchained and Richard Gere in Arbitrage, among others, would merit consideration.

You can make arguments for any of those five performers being left off. For Hawkes, The Sessions is a small film that didn’t really connect with audiences. If Helen Hunt doesn’t get a Supporting Actress nod for the movie (I’ve predicted she will), Hawkes could be in trouble.

For Denzel, Flight was once considered a contender for Best Picture. This doesn’t seem as likely now and Denzel could easily be the film’s only nomination… or perhaps the Academy ignores it altogether.

The Master was once considered a shoo-in for nominations for Picture and Director. This also seems much less likely now. Phoenix has missed out on the some of the precursors, too.

Bradley Cooper is still pretty new in the game, at least to Academy voters. His co-stars in Silver Linings Playbook like Jennifer Lawrence and Robert De Niro have gotten the lions share of attention.

Hugh Jackman has received career best reviews for Les Miserables, but if the movie fails to get a Best Picture nomination (which seems unlikely) or Best Director (which could happen), there could be a ripple effect leaving Jackman out.

So there’s the arguments against each one, but the truth is, I’ve had a tougher time deciding which one gets left out more than any other category I’m predicting. But, I’ve got to pick and I’m not changing the five from my last post.

FINAL PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTOR

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

John Hawkes, The Sessions

Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables

Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Denzel Washington, Flight

BEST ACTRESS

As I’ve written about before, Jennifer Lawrence in Silver Linings Playbook and Jessica Chastain for Zero Dark Thirty appear to be shoo-ins. Then there’s uncertainty.

Emmanuelle Riva, an 84 year old French actress has gotten a good deal of attention for Amour. Naomi Watts has gotten fine reviews for The Impossible. Quevenzhane Wallis is 9 years old and received great notices for starring in the indie favorite Beasts of the Southern Wild. Marion Cotillard also has received attention for indie film Rust and Bone. Rachel Weisz got some surprise precursor nominations and wins for this past spring’s thriller The Deep Blue Sea. Helen Mirren was singled out by critics for her performance as Mrs. Hitchcock in Hitchcock. 

Any one of these ladies could join Lawrence and Chastain on Thursday’s list and really no combination would shock me.

FINAL PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTRESS

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

Naomi Watts, The Impossible

All right, folks! Check back tomorrow when we cover Best Director!

FINAL Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor and Actress

So, here we go! On Thursday, the Oscar nominations will be released. I’ve been blogging often with my predictions.

Starting this evening, I am dividing my FINAL predictions into four posts: Best Supporting Actor/Actress tonight, Best Actor/Actress on Monday, Best Director on Tuesday, and Best Picture on Wednesday. On Thursday, you’ll have my complete analysis of the nominations and some early hints on what and whom I believe will win.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

My picks in this category haven’t really changed much over the last couple of months. I have a nagging suspicion there will be a surprise nominee… none of the five I’m picking would be considered surprises. Those surprises could include Christoph Waltz in Django Unchained. I can’t help but think of 2006 when prognosticators assumed Jack Nicholson would get a supporting nod for The Departed, but it ended up being Mark Wahlberg nominated for the film. The smart money is on Leo DiCaprio getting nominated and my predictions reflect that. But, don’t be too surprised if Waltz gets the nod instead. There’s even an outside shot Samuel L. Jackson could get the nod for Django as well… he’s seemed to gain a little steam over the last couple of weeks. Another nominee that would be considered fairly surprising is Matthew McConaughey for Magic Mike. He’s had a great 2012, with acclaimed roles in Mike and the comedy Bernie. And there’s the chance that Javier Bardem, with his terrific turn as the bad guy in Skyfall, could be recognized. All that being said, I can’t bring myself to pick any of them and I’m playing it safe with the same five actors I’ve had for quite a few weeks.

FINAL PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Alan Arkin, Argo

Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained

Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

These picks also reflect the same five actresses as my last predictions. Again, I’m supremely not confident about my picks. I think Anne Hathaway and Sally Field are shoo-ins. They’ve been so for months. The rest of the field is unpredictable. When the Golden Globe and SAG nominations came out, everyone was shocked to Nicole Kidman nominated for the critically panned and little-seen drama The Paperboy. Many now believe that recognition will translate into an Oscar nod. I wouldn’t be surprised, but still can’t predict her. Other “surprises” that wouldn’t shock me include Judi Dench in Skyfall and Jacki Weaver in Silver Linings Playbook. Up until my last round of predictions, I had Amy Adams in The Master listed, but dropped her in favor of a somewhat surprise pick, Ann Dowd in the indie thriller Compliance. I’m sticking with it.

FINAL PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Ann Dowd, Compliance

Sally Field, Lincoln

Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Helen Hunt, The Sessions

Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Tomorrow, check in for my final picks for Best Actor and Actress!

Box Office Results: January 4-6

Audiences ended the three-week reign of The Hobbit at the top of the box office charts and ushered in a new #1 in the form of Leatherface.

Texas Chainsaw 3D debuted in first place, grossing $23 million, well above my modest $16.1M projection and #4 opening prediction. Horror films are generally tough to predict and, more often than not, they make more than expected. While the opening is impressive, horror films like Chainsaw often experience huge drop-offs in their second weekend and I would expect that to happen in this case.

Quentin Tarantino’s Django Unchained held at #2, as I predicted. It earned $20.1 million, right on course with my $20.6M projection. With over $100 million domestically in 10 days, Django is poised to pass Inglourious Basterds as Quentin’s highest grossing film in the United States.

I wrongly predicted The Hobbit would hold at #1 and gross $20.8 million. It fell further than I figured, grossing $17.5M for a third place finish.

Les Miserables also fell a bit further than my projection. At fourth, it made $16.1 million, lower than my $18.8M estimate.

The next three holiday holdovers all held close to my prediction margin: at fifth, Parental Guidance with $10.1 million (my projection: $10.2M). At sixth, Jack Reacher with $9.3 million (my projection: $9M). At seventh, This Is 40 with $8.6 million (my projection: $7.8M).

Finally, I was right on target with the other two pictures that opened wider. Matt Damon’s Promised Land failed to capture a decent audience, earning $4.3 million (I projected $4.2M). The Naomi Watts tsunami drama The Impossible was on a lower amount of screens and did an OK $2.8 million (I projected $2.6M).

Be sure to check back Wednesday for my predictions for next weekend, when the buzzed about Zero Dark Thirty is finally released nationwide and Gangster Squad come out.

The 007 Files: The Spy Who Loved Me

007 fans would experience the biggest lull so far in between Bond pictures at two and a half years between The Man with the Golden Gun and the tenth film, 1977’s The Spy Who Loved Me. As the old adage says, good things come to those who wait.

The Spy Who Loved Me is easily the best Bond movie since Connery’s heyday. The excitement starts right away in the pre-title credit sequence, with Bond performing an awesome ski stunt complete with the British flag parachute.

We then move immediately to one of the greatest Bond theme songs, “Nobody Does It Better”, by Carly Simon.

And this one actually has a cool plot no less, unlike Roger Moore’s first two entries in the series. The main villain, Stromberg (in a fine performance from Curt Jurgens) intends to use two nuclear weapons to destroy the world. The twist this time around? He doesn’t want ransom. Stromberg is a madman who wants to start the world over with an underwater civilization. His main henchman is Jaws (7’4″ actor Richard Kiel) who is the best secondary villain since Oddjob in Goldfinger. 

Then there’s the Bond girl Anya. She’s a Soviet spy who can hold her own with Bond. The writers (veteran Richard Maibaum and first-timer Christopher Wood) give 007 the best female counterpart since at least Diana Rigg in On Her Majesty’s Secret Service. Barbara Bach is solid in the role. The character of Anya also provides a dynamic never seen before in the series. It turns out Bond killed Anya’s lover in that cool opening ski scene. Anya vows to kill Bond after they complete their mission. This adds another new twist in Bond world and it’s a great development in the screenplay.

Again, it’s very necessary to focus on the production design of Ken Adam. Stromberg has an underwater hideout called Atlantis. Simply put, it’s really sweet looking. And the interiors of Atlantis and all the other sets prove once again that Adam is the best in the business and such an important figure in 007 history.

Of course, that scene shows that Stromberg likes to use sharks to off his victims, but once again, they do not have giant laser beams attached to their frickin heads.

Besides the wonderful looking Atlantis and submarine sequences, the early part of the film set in Cairo is gorgeously shot and they put that locale to perfect use. We even get a cool scene at the pyramids. And this great scene where 007 tries to find out the whereabouts of a key contact. It never goes quite as planned.

Piling on, we get a now-classic Bond car in The Spy Who Loved Me: The Lotus Esprit which turns into a freaking submarine! We discover this in a kick-ass action sequence.

The great usual Bond composer John Barry was unavailable this time around so the late Marvin Hamlisch was brought in to replace. He does a first-rate job, even though we do get a bit of disco mixed in occasionally. It’s a little disconcerting at first, but hey it was 1977! That’s the year Saturday Night Fever came out and there’s a couple of moments in Spy Who Loved Me where I thought the Bee Gees might start harmonizing over the soundtrack.

The budgets of 1965’s Thunderball and 1967’s You Only Live Twice were in the $9 million range, before the next three (Diamonds Are Forever, Live and Let Die, Man with the Golden Gun) all were around $7 million. The Spy Who Loved Me was the most expensive Bond by quite a margin at $14 million. We see it on the screen. The action sequences are top notch as always. It looks like the most expensive Bond flick so far. Lewis Gilbert returns to direct his second 007 feature, ten years after You Only Live Twice. 

If you’ve noticed I haven’t complained in this post… you’re right. The fact is that The Spy Who Loved Me clicks on all cylinders. I found it to be most compatible to Thunderball for a couple of reasons. First, the underwater elements, but more than anything else it’s just a hell of a good time and a wildly fun popcorn movie.

The last element of my highly complimentary ramblings: it’s Roger Moore’s finest performance as Bond we’ve seen so far. Moore would say in later interviews that Spy is his favorite Bond movie and he seems to relish having a good script, something that can’t really be said for his two original go-rounds.

Moviegoers really liked it as well. It grossed $185 million worldwide, nearly double the amount its predecessor, Golden Gun, made. Earning $46 million in the United States, it was the 10th highest grossing picture that year.

The Spy Who Loved Me is a triumph. I highly suspect it will rank right up there with some of the early Connery entries when I do my rankings upon this blog series concluding.

Here are the facts:

Film: The Spy Who Loved Me

U.S. Release Date: July 13, 1977

Director: Lewis Gilbert

Screenplay: Christopher Wood and Richard Maibaum

Bond: Roger Moore

Main Bond Villain: Karl Stromberg (Curt Jurgens)

Main Bond Girl: Anya Amasova (Barbara Bach)

Theme Song: “Nobody Does It Better” – performed by Carly Simon

Budget: $14 million

Worldwide Box Office: $185.4 million

My James Bond blog series will return in “The 007 Files: Moonraker”

13 Spring Movies To Watch For in 2013

We all know summer movies are typically reserved for huge studio blockbusters and fall is when the big awards contenders come out. So where does that leave the months of January through April in a movie year?

Well, it can sometimes be a dumping ground for products that studios don’t have a lot of faith in. However, this is certainly not always the case. Just last year, films like The Grey, Chronicle, 21 Jump Street, and Safe House did big business. And a little flick called The Hunger Games did massive business.

Since it’s 2013, I’ve picked 13 titles coming out between this month and April… or as Hollywood calls it – Spring. These are movies that I believe have the potential to be good and have a shot at box office success. Here we go:

Admission – out March 8

She’s had success in her limited movie career so far with Baby Mama and Date Night and this is Tina Fey’s latest comedy, co-starring the always dependable Paul Rudd. With “30 Rock” ending its run, expect Fey to devote herself to movie stardom full-time and this movie starts it off.

Broken City – out January 18

Mark Wahlberg had a January hit last year with the action flick Contraband. He’s also fresh off the huge comedy Ted and co-star Russell Crowe is appearing in the hit Les Miserables right now. This political thriller looks promising in the trailer.

Evil Dead – out April 12

This remake of the 1981 Sam Raimi cult classic is probably the movie horror fans are most excited about this year. Raimi is on board as a producer here. The trailer (which is red-band, so careful if you’re squeamish) looks like a horror flick lover’s dream. It should be a bloody, really bloody, good time.

Gangster Squad – out January 11

Boasting an A-list cast that includes Ryan Gosling, Josh Brolin, Emma Stone, and Sean Penn, Gangster Squad was originally set for release in October, but was pushed back after its movie theater massacre scene was edited out following Aurora. From Zombieland director Ruben Fleischer, this looks like it could be a really entertaining old time gangster tale. Sean Penn sure seems like he’s having a good time chewing up the scenery.

A Good Day to Die Hard – out February 14

OK, fellas, might as well tell your girl what your Valentine’s Day plans are now. The fifth installment of detective John McClane’s wild adventures continues here. Set in Europe, I’m guessing big explosions and foul-mouthed smack talking from Bruce Willis. The last entry, 2007’s Live Free or Die Hard, was pretty darn good so there’s hope.

The Heat – out April 5

We’ve seen a whole lot of male buddy cop comedies over the years, but not many female ones. This one seems to have a lot going for it, as it stars Sandra Bullock and Melissa McCarthy. It’s also director Paul Feig’s first feature since the smash hit Bridesmaids. This one could bring in a lot of money.

The Incredible Burt Wonderstone – out March 15

This comedy about washed up magicians features a hell of a cast – Steve Carell, Steve Buscemi, Alan Arkin, and Jim Carrey. With that pedigree, this has gotta have some funny stuff in it.

Jack, the Giant Slayer – out March 1

Director Bryan Singer, who brought us The Usual Suspects and the first two X-Men films, brings us into fairy tale world with his latest picture. Hard to tell with this one and it could go either way, but it looks a whole lot better than this spring’s other fairy tale story, Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters.

The Last Stand – out January 18

OK, who knows if this will be any good? But I have to include Arnold Schwarzenegger’s first leading role in ten years, since Terminator 3. As you may recall, he was busy the last decade being Governor of California and admitting to being his nanny’s baby daddy. Sly Stallone has a nice little career going lately with the Expendables flicks and Rocky and Rambo returns. Let’s see if Ah-nuld can follow suit.

Movie 43 – out January 25

If Movie 43 doesn’t do well, it certainly won’t be for lack of recognizable cast members. The raunchy comedy, which apparently has multiple stories and directors, features Hugh Jackman, Emma Stone, Uma Thurman, Richard Gere, Naomi Watts, Halle Berry, Kate Winslet, Jason Sudeikis, Terrence Howard, and many, many others.

Oblivion – out April 12

The last sci-fi movies with Tom Cruise were 2002’s Minority Report and 2005’s War of the Worlds and they were both solid. Of course, they were also both directed by Steven Spielberg, who’s, well, pretty decent at that genre. We’ll see how sci-fi and Tommy Boy mix here.

Oz: The Great and Powerful – out March 8

I mentioned director Sam Raimi earlier for Evil Dead, but in the last decade Raimi is known for the Spiderman trilogy. Here, Raimi turns his attention and a $200 million dollar budget to the land of Oz. This certainly has the potential to be a massive blockbuster. The fact that it has the same weekend release slot that Alice in Wonderland had three years ago is not an accident.

Pain and Gain – out April 26

Marky Mark again! Here he stars in this true story action flick along with The Rock. It’s directed by Michael Bay, who gave us the Transformers and Bad Boys movies. Shockingly, Bay decided to go cheap here and the budget is a meager $22 million or about one-tenth of a Transformers flick. Looks like it could be mindless fun though.

So there you have it – 13 titles for the next four months that may get some attention at the box office. Stay tuned!

The 007 Files: The Man With the Golden Gun

In The Man with the Golden Gun, Roger Moore’s second appearance as 007, we get a real mixed bag of a movie. It contains some solid elements but also a lot of weak stuff, from a poorly written Bond girl to a truly dull and nearly non-existent plot.

Moore’s first outing Live and Let Die certainly had some issues, too. It did have a classic Bond theme from Paul McCartney and Wings, though. This film’s theme song by Lulu? It’s pretty bad and definitely the worst Bond theme so far.

Let’s start positive. The villain character of Scaramanga is well-regarded among Bond fans. I give most of that credit to Christopher Lee, a fine actor who brings a lot to the character. He’s a world-famous assassin who happens to have his own island that happens to be a disguised solar power plant . Scaramanga’s plan is to sell the plant to the highest bidder or let the oil barons buy it so they don’t have competition. Or something like that. The plot is not the movie’s strong point. Not that specific story elements are ever extremely important in a 007 picture, but I’ve been struck how thinly plotted both Moore entries have been so far.

Oh, Scaramanga also kills his victims with a cool looking golden gun, in case you were wondering where the title came from.

And he also has a midget sidekick named Nick Nack (Herve Villechaize) who provides some memorable moments. The villain also has an elaborate funhouse set up on his island, which he and Nick Nack use to trap people who Scaramanga intends on killing. The funhouse element likely stems from Scaramanga’s past, where he was raised by a traveling circus ringmaster. As he explains to 007 at one point in the picture, his interest in becoming an assassin originated from an abusive animal trainer when he was a kid. You see, the mean ol animal trainer hurt an elephant that Scaramanga had made friends with, so Scaramanga killed him. Oh, and Scaramanga also has three nipples for some reason. Moving on…

The film’s main Bond girl is Mary Goodnight, played by the gorgeous Britt Ekland. Her character represents the low end of the spectrum for Bond girls. The writers (007 vets Richard Maibaum and Tom Mankiewicz) repeat the same mistake they made in Diamonds Are Forever. Goodnight is played as a total ditz. It’s even worse here because we’re supposed to believe this girl is a secret agent. Call it personal preference, but I’d much rather the Bond girl be someone who’s got some intelligence and adds a little to the story, like in the Connery pictures. Here, it’s as if Chrissy from “Three’s Company” somehow managed to become a spy.

In the role of Scaramanga’s mistress who ends up assisting Bond (in a couple of ways), actress Maud Adams is better and she has a cool demise. Adams would actually later appear as the main Bond girl in Octopussy nine years later. We’ll get there soon.

And then there’s the inexplicable return of the Sheriff J.W. Pepper character from Live and Let Die. Apparently, audiences must have responded positively to the redneck Louisiana sheriff, portrayed by Clifton James. Not sure why. When Bond discovers the hick lawman is vacationing in Bangkok (really?), 007’s reaction is: “Oh no!”. So was mine.

There’s also a few karate related sequences that were clearly put in to capitalize on the kung fu craze that was happening in the early 70s, due to Bruce Lee and others. While these scenes are mildly entertaining, I couldn’t help but think of how Live and Let Die also borrowed from the popular at the time blaxpoitation genre. The early Bond films set the trends that filmmakers in the action genre would follow. The first two Moore features seem to often be following whatever trend was hot at the moment.

The Man With the Golden Gun does make good use of its beautiful island location in the last half hour. In fact, the last act of the film is quite entertaining because Lee gets a chance to shine more than a lot of other Bond villains. Also, the funhouse showdown between Bond and Scaramanga is fun.

However, other than one nifty car stunt and a few other moments here and there, the first three-fourths of Golden Gun is forgettable and by-the-numbers.

Audiences, to an extent, seemed to agree. The picture’s worldwide gross was just under $100 million. In America, it earned $21 million, giving it the distinction of being the lowest grossing 007 picture so far and placing it 19th on the year’s list of moneymakers. With a $7 million dollar budget, don’t get me wrong: it made tons of money. Nevertheless, considering that its two predecessors, Diamonds Are Forever made $116 million and Live and Let Die made $161 million (in just the year before, no less), Golden Gun‘s numbers were subpar.

This would be director Guy Hamilton’s fourth and final go round as a 007 director. He started with a classic, Goldfinger. His other three entries – Diamonds Are Forever, Live and Let Die, and this… not so classic.

Bottom line: for me, the final half hour almost made me forget the first hour and a half that I sat through. There’s a lot I didn’t like in Golden Gun, but like all Bond flicks, it’s watchable. How’s that for a sterling recommendation?

Here are the facts:

Film: The Man With the Golden Gun

U.S. Release Date: December 18, 1974

Director: Guy Hamilton

Screenplay: Richard Maibaum and Tom Mankiewicz

Bond: Roger Moore

Main Villain: Francisco Scaramanga (Christopher Lee)

Main Bond Girl: Mary Goodnight (Britt Ekland)

Theme Song: “The Man With the Golden Gun” – performed by Lulu

Budget: $7 million

Worldwide Box Office: $97.6 million

My James Bond blog series will return in “The 007 Files: The Spy Who Loved Me”

The 007 Files: Live and Let Die

Live and Let Die, released in 1973, began a new 12 year era in the James Bond franchise with the casting of Roger Moore as 007. Sean Connery made it clear during the filming of 1971’s Diamonds Are Forever that this was a one film return, so the producers turned to Moore, an actor they’d had on their minds for a while.

Unlike Connery, Moore was far from an unknown when he landed the Bond role. From 1962-70, he gained worldwide fame in the television series “The Saint”. And unlike George Lazenby, producers seemed aware that the casting of Moore would necessitate a number of changes in the franchise. By Moore’s own admission, he did not bring quite the tough guy persona that Mr. Connery delivered. This would be a softer Bond. And a sillier Bond. Moore’s main strength was the gift of very good comic timing and he is certainly convincing with classic 007 quips and one-liners.

It is definitely Moore’s casting, though, that has divided 007 fans for years. My history with Moore is simple: he’s the James Bond I grew up watching the most. It wasn’t really until later that I discovered the wonder of Connery. And truthfully, the often comedy oriented style of the Moore pictures probably translates better to kids. It’s not until you get a little older that the Connery pics can be truly appreciated. At least that’s my story.

Upon receiving the Bond Blu Ray set, I was and am most curious to rediscover what I now feel about the Moore movies. It’s been a while and we start with Live and Let Die. I’ve already surprised myself once with On Her Majesty’s Secret Service. It had been years and years since I’d viewed it. Frankly, my recollection of it seemed to coincide with what a lot of Bond fans now feel about it: that it’s one of the greatest 007 adventures. Upon viewing it a few days ago, I discovered that I didn’t really feel that way. I have a feeling Majesty will fall somewhere in the middle of the pack when I finally rank them.

I have fond memories of watching Roger Moore as 007 as a child. But would they translate as an adult? So far, with Live and Let Die – the answer is a mixed bag. First, let’s get the obvious item out of the way. The theme song to the film, performed by Paul McCartney and Wings, is undoubtedly one of the greatest Bond themes ever. When regular Bond scorer John Barry was unavailable for the film, longtime Beatles producer George Martin took over the reins. And so we have a Bond theme by an ex-Beatle. Ironic, considering Sean Connery’s well-known line in Goldfinger: “That’s as bad as listening to the Beatles without earmuffs!”. Guess the new Bond was a little more hip.

Live and Let Die also contains some very memorable sequences, most notably an extended boat chase that is really terrific. Before that, we have a great sequence from 007 must deal with some nasty alligators. I remember loving these scenes as a kid and I still do.

We also have a truly beautiful Bond girl this time around, Solitaire, played by Jane Seymour. She’s a tarot card reader who also happens to be a virgin, until very shortly after meeting Mr. Bond, naturally. She’s certainly a major improvement over the Tiffany Case character in Diamonds Are Forever.

However, not all is well with Live and Let Die and there are some major issues. Much like in Diamonds, we get one character – loudmouth Louisiana Sheriff J.W. Pepper that seems to have wandered in from a different movie. A really dumb movie. Surprisingly, at least to me, this annoying character would prove popular and make a return appearance in the next 007 feature. Go figure.

And then there’s the matter of the plot. What Live and Let Die is most known for nowadays is the influence of the blaxpoitation genre on the film. Very popular in the early 70s, screenwriter Tom Mankiewicz chose to make the villains African-American and set the film in New Orleans and the Caribbean. Also, New York City in the early part of movie, where James Bond chases a “pimp mobile” (the script’s words, not mine). Watching the film today, trying to mesh blaxpoitation and 007 is an often uncomfortable mix. Lots of the African-American characters in the picture are pretty badly drawn stereotypes. While you come to expect that in blaxpoitation flicks, it’s a little disconcerting to see here. And frankly, it seems kind of unnecessary.

The influence of that genre leads to a rather unexciting plot. Instead of world domination, Bond is basically just trying to stop heroin dealers here. The main villain is Dr. Kananga, the dictator of a small country in the Caribbean who plans to give away two tons of heroin to put his competitors out of business. Then, of course, he gets lots of people hooked and can charge whatever he wants. Little different than nuclear annihilation, eh? Kananga is played Yaphet Kotto, who gives a solid performance even if the character isn’t too memorable.

Not that everything is totally different. Kananga does have an underground lair (with, as always, fantastic production design). He even nearly kills Bond and Solitaire at the end with his sharks… but Bond has time to outwit him due to the unnecessarily slow-moving dipping mechanism. This leads to a final encounter between Bond and Kananga that’s pretty darn memorable and cool. And utterly ridiculous, but that’s OK.

There is another quibble: Where’s Q??? In the history of Bond, from the second feature in 1963 to the third Brosnan feature in 1999 (Llewelyn passed away that year), Live and Let Die is the only 007 film that Desmond Llewelyn does not appear in. Apparently, he was shooting something else, but would’ve been let out in order to shoot his part in this. Producers decided to drop the character from Live and Let Die. They wouldn’t make that mistake again.

Producers had to be worried about how audiences would respond to the new James Bond, especially after the negative reaction to Lazenby. Things would be different this time, however. Live and Let Die was a hit, earning over $160 million worldwide. Clearly, crowds were much more accepting of Moore in the iconic role. In the U.S., it made $35 million – a decent number but less than the majority of the Connery films. It placed eighth on the list of 1973’s earners.

Director Guy Hamilton takes his third turn behind the camera here. For that third entry, it’s safe this one ain’t his best so far (Goldfinger) and ain’t his worst (Diamonds Are Forever).

There are some big problems I had with Live and Let Die including a dull plot and silly characters. Quite a bit of it, though, is just a hell of a lot of fun with some truly inspired action sequences. It’s a mixed bag, but it’s certainly an improvement over Diamonds Are Forever.

Here are the facts:

Film: Live and Let Die

U.S. Release Date: June 27, 1973

Director: Guy Hamilton

Screenplay: Tom Mankiewicz

Bond: Roger Moore

Main Villain: Dr. Kananga (Yaphet Kotto)

Main Bond Girl: Solitaire (Jane Seymour)

Theme Song: “Live and Let Die” – performed by Paul McCartney and Wings

Budget: $7 million

Worldwide Box Office: $161.8 million

My James Bond blog series will return in “The 007 Files: The Man with the Golden Gun”