Nearly three years after his Never Say Never was a box office hit, Justin Bieber is out with a new documentary Believe. In February of 2011, the aforementioned doc earned $29.5 million in its opening weekend.
This will not be the case with Believe. While a good percentage of Belieber nation could turn out, here is the key difference: Never Say Never was released on 3105 screens. Believe is coming out on approximately 1000. That fact alone guarantees a considerably smaller opening. Add to that an extraordinarily crowded Christmas marketplace and Believe may be lucky to reach double digits over its five-day debut. I think it’ll get there, but just barely.
Believe opening weekend prediction: $5.8 million (Friday-to-Sunday), $10.3 million (Wednesday-to-Sunday)
For my prediction on the other four Christmas openers – The Wolf of Wall Street, Grudge Match, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, and 47 Ronin – click here:
https://toddmthatcher.com/2013/12/22/the-wolf-of-wall-street-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2013/12/22/grudge-match-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2013/12/22/the-secret-life-of-walter-mitty-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2013/12/22/47-ronin-box-office-prediction/
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