Oscar Predictions: Queer

Daniel Craig veers far from his James Bond/Benoit Blanc personas in Queer from Luca Guadagnino. Based on a 1985 novel from William S. Burroughs, essentially plays the author as an expat in Mexico City who falls for a younger man (Drew Starkey). Lesley Manville and Jason Schwartzman costar. A24 has it planned for a late calendar release and it has premiered at the Venice Film Festival.

Guadagnino, whose Call Me by Your Name received four Oscar nods in 2017 including Best Picture, directs his second feature of 2024 behind Challengers. This was looked at as the more probable awards contender. Reaction from Italy may change that dynamic with one exception.

The Rotten Tomatoes score is 75%. That’s fair, but word-of-mouth indicates polarizing reactions are to be expected. Inclusion in the ten BP nominees seems like more of a reach than it did yesterday. Queer has been in my projected 10 all year. I anticipate it won’t be when my forthcoming update arrives. Viability in Adapted Screenplay also appears shaky. So do down the line mentions in tech competitions (though maybe the score from Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross could still contend).

As for the cast, Manville is actually getting the second best notices but I doubt she makes the Supporting Actress cut. Mr. Craig might be the pic’s only nom and I no longer think his spot in the quintet is secure. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…