Tag: The Six Billion Dollar Man

98th Academy Awards Predictions: July 13th Edition

While there’s not a whole lot of movement with my Oscar predictions in the past ten days, there are notable changes in Actress and Supporting Actress.

In Actress, Amanda Seyfried’s work in Ann Lee surpasses Jennifer Lawrence from Die, My Love. A switch-up in Supporting Actress now has Sentimental Value generating 10 nominations with Inga Ibsfotter Lilleass in and Angelina LookingGlass (The Rivals of Amziah King) out.

Yorgos Lanthimos’s Bugonia is bumped to the top spot in Adapted Screenplay over Hamnet and you can read all the movement below!

Best Picture

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)

2. Sentimental Value (PR: 12) (E)

3. After the Hunt (PR: 3) (E)

4. Marty Supreme (PR: 4) (E)

5. Jay Kelly (PR: 5) (E)

6. Wicked: For Good (PR: 6) (E)

7. Bugonia (PR: 8) (+1)

8. Frankenstein (PR: 9) (+1)

9. It Was Just an Accident (PR: 10) (+1)

10. Hamnet (PR: 7) (-3)

Other Possibilities:

11. One Battle After Another (PR: 11) (E)

12. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 12) (E)

13. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 13) (E)

14. The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 14) (E)

15. Rental Family (PR: 20) (+5)

16. A House of Dynamite (PR: 18) (+2)

17. The Ballad of a Small Player (PR: 16) (-1)

18. The Secret Agent (PR: 15) (-3)

19. No Other Choice (PR: 19) (E)

20. Ann Lee (PR: 22) (+2)

21. Die, My Love (PR: 21) (E)

22. The Life of Chuck (PR: 23) (+1)

23. F1 (PR: 17) (-6)

24. Is This Thing On? (PR: 24) (E)

25. The Smashing Machine (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Best Director

Predicted Nominees:

1. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (PR: 1) (E)

2. Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value (PR: 2) (E)

3. Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (PR: 3) (E)

4. Luca Guadagnino, After the Hunt (PR: 4) (E)

5. Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Yorgos Lanthimos, Bugonia (PR: 6) (E)

7. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (PR: 7) (E)

8. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (PR: 9) (+1)

9. Noah Baumbach, Jay Kelly (PR: 8) (-1)

10. Chloé Zhao, Hamnet (PR: 11) (+1)

11. Jon M. Chu, Wicked: For Good (PR: 10) (-1)

12. Andrew Patterson, The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 13) (+1)

13. Kieber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (PR: 12) (-1)

14. Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice (PR: 15) (+1)

15. Kathryn Bigelow, A House of Dynamite (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

Edward Berger, The Ballad of a Small Player

Best Actress

Predicted Nominees:

1. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value (PR: 1) (E)

2. Julia Roberts, After the Hunt (PR: 2) (E)

3. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good (PR: 3) (E)

4. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet (PR: 4) (E)

5. Amanda Seyfried, Ann Lee (PR: 7) (+2)

Other Possibilities:

6. Jennifer Lawrence, Die, My Love (PR: 5) (-1)

7. Emma Stone, Bugonia (PR: 6) (-1)

8. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (PR: 8) (E)

9. Tessa Thompson, Hedda (PR: 9) (E)

10. Emma Mackey, Ella McCay (PR: 10) (E)

11. Sydney Sweeney, Untitled Christy Martin Biopic (PR: 13) (+2)

12. Jessica Lange, Long Day’s Journey Into Night (PR: 11) (-1)

13. Eva Victor, Sorry, Baby (PR: Not Ranked)

14. June Squibb, Eleanor the Great (PR: 12) (-2)

15. Amy Adams, At the Sea (PR: 15) (E)

Dropped Out:

Lucy Liu, Rosemead

Best Actor

Predicted Nominees:

1. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme (PR: 1) (E)

2. George Clooney, Jay Kelly (PR: 2) (E)

3. Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 3) (E)

4. Jesse Plemons, Bugonia (PR: 4) (E)

5. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent (PR: 6) (E)

7. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another (PR: 7) (E)

8. Daniel Day-Lewis, Anemone (PR: 9) (+1)

9. Matthew McConaughey, The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 8) (-1)

10. Dwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine (PR: 12) (+2)

11. Oscar Isaac, Frankenstein (PR: 11) (E)

12. Brendan Fraser, Rental Family (PR: 14) (+2)

13. Colin Farrell, The Ballad of a Small Player (PR: 10) (-3)

14. Willem Dafoe, Late Fame (PR: 13) (-1)

15. Denzel Washington, Highest 2 Lowest (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

Will Arnett, Is This Thing On?

Best Supporting Actress

Predicted Nominees:

1. Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)

2. Ayo Edebiri, After the Hunt (PR: 2) (E)

3. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value (PR: 3) (E)

4. Gwyneth Paltrow, Marty Supreme (PR: 5) (E)

5. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleass, Sentimental Value (PR: 8) (+3)

Other Possibilities:

6. Angelina LookingGlass, The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 5) (-1)

7. Laura Dern, Jay Kelly (PR: 6) (-1)

8. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another (PR: 9) (+1)

9. Mari Yamamoto, Rental Family (PR: Not Ranked)

10. Emily Blunt, The Smashing Machine (PR: 11) (+1)

11. Jennifer Lopez, Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: 7) (-4)

12. Hailee Steinfeld, Sinners (PR: 12) (E)

13. Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners (PR: 14) (+1)

14. Thomasin McKenzie, Ann Lee (PR: 13) (-1)

15. Regina Hall, One Battle After Another (PR: 10) (-5)

Dropped Out:

Glenn Close, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Best Supporting Actor

Predicted Nominees:

1. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value (PR: 1) (E)

2. Andrew Garfield, After the Hunt (PR: 2) (E)

3. Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly (PR: 3) (E)

4. Jeremy Strong, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 5) (+1)

5. Delroy Lindo, Sinners (PR: 4) (-1)

Other Possibilities:

6. Paul Mescal, Hamnet (PR: 6) (E)

7. Jonathan Bailey, Wicked: For Good (PR: 8) (+1)

8. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another (PR: 7) (-1)

9. Miles Caton, Sinners (PR: 12) (+3)

10. Akira Emoto, Rental Family (PR: Not Ranked)

11. Mark Hamill, The Life of Chuck (PR: 14) (+3)

12. Stephen Graham, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 10) (-2)

13. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein (PR: 9) (-4)

14. Bradley Cooper, Is This Thing On? (PR: 13) (-1)

15. Jeffrey Wright, Highest 2 Lowest (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

Robert Pattinson, Die, My Love

Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another

Best Original Screenplay

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sentimental Value (PR: 1) (E)

2. After the Hunt (PR: 2) (E)

3. Jay Kelly (PR: 3) (E)

4. Marty Supreme (PR: 5) (+1)

5. Sinners (PR: 4) (-1)

Other Possibilities:

6. It Was Just an Accident (PR: 6) (E)

7. The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 8) (+1)

8. Rental Family (PR: 11) (+3)

9. Sorry, Baby (PR: 7) (-2)

10. Ann Lee (PR: 10) (E)

11. The Secret Agent (PR: 9) (-2)

12. Ella McCay (PR: 12) (E)

13. A House of Dynamite (PR: 15) (+2)

14. Nouvelle Vague (PR: 14) (E)

15. Is This Thing On? (PR: 13) (-2)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Predicted Nominees:

1. Bugonia (PR: 2) (+1)

2. Hamnet (PR: 1) (-1)

3. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 3) (E)

4. Frankenstein (PR: 6) (+2)

5. No Other Choice (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. One Battle After Another (PR: 4) (-2)

7. Wicked: For Good (PR: 7) (E)

8. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 9) (+1)

9. The Life of Chuck (PR: 8) (-1)

10. The Ballad of a Small Player (PR: Not Ranked)

11. Die, My Love (PR: 11) (E)

12. Late Fame (PR: 12) (E)

13. Train Dreams (PR: 10) (-3)

14. Highest 2 Lowest (PR: 13) (-1)

15. The Smashing Machine (PR: 15) (E)

Dropped Out:

Hedda

Best International Feature Film

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sentimental Value (PR: 1) (E)

2. It Was Just an Accident (PR: 2) (E)

3. No Other Choice (PR: 4) (+1)

4. The Secret Agent (PR: 3) (-1)

5. The President’s Cake (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Sirât (PR: 6) (E)

7. Left-Handed Girl (PR: 8) (+1)

8. Sound of Falling (PR: 7) (-1)

9. Nouvelle Vague (PR: 9) (E)

10. All That’s Left of You (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

The Love That Remains

Best Animated Feature

Predicted Nominees:

1. Zootopia 2 (PR: 1) (E)

2. Arco (PR: 2) (E)

3. Elio (PR: 3) (E)

4. A Magnificent Life (PR: 7) (+3)

5. In Your Dreams (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Scarlet (PR: 4) (-2)

7. KPOP Demon Hunters (PR: 9) (+2)

8. Ne Zha 2 (PR: 10) (+2)

9. Animal Farm (PR: 6) (-3)

10. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (PR: 8) (-2)

Best Documentary Feature

Predicted Nominees:

1. The Perfect Neighbor (PR: 1) (E)

2. 2000 Meters to Andriivka (PR: 3) (+1)

3. Seeds (PR: 2) (-1)

4. Cutting Through Rocks (PR: 4) (E)

5. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (PR: 6) (+1)

Other Possibilities:

6. Deaf President Now! (PR: 5) (-1)

7. Apocalypse in the Tropics (PR: 7) (E)

8. The Alabama Solution (PR: Not Ranked)

9. Timestamp (PR: Not Ranked)

10. Orwell: 2 + 2 = 5 (PR: 8) (-2)

Dropped Out:

The Six Billion Dollar Man

The Librarians

Best Casting

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners (PR: 1) (E)

2. Wicked: For Good (PR: 3) (+1)

3. Sentimental Value (PR: 4) (+1)

4. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 5) (+1)

5. Marty Supreme (PR: 7) (+1)

Other Possibilities:

6. After the Hunt (PR: 2) (-4)

7. The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 8) (+1)

8. Rental Family (PR: Not Ranked)

9. One Battle After Another (PR: Not Ranked)

10. Jay Kelly (PR: 6) (-4)

Dropped Out:

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Best Cinematography

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners (PR: 1) (E)

2. Frankenstein (PR: 2) (E)

3. Bugonia (PR: 3) (E)

4. One Battle After Another (PR: Not Ranked)

5. The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Marty Supreme (PR: 4) (-2)

7. Nouvelle Vague (PR: 8) (+1)

8. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 9) (+1)

9. F1 (PR: 6) (-3)

10. Wicked: For Good (PR: 10) (E)

Dropped Out:

Sentimental Value

Best Costume Design

Predicted Nominees:

1. Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)

2. Frankenstein (PR: 2) (E)

3. Sinners (PR: 3) (E)

4. Hamnet (PR: 5) (+1)

5. Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: 4) (-1)

Other Possibilities:

6. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 7) (+1)

7. Ann Lee (PR: 6) (-1)

8. Hedda (PR: Not Ranked)

9. Snow White (PR: 9) (E)

10. Mother Mary (PR: 8) (-2)

Dropped Out:

One Battle After Another

Best Film Editing

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners (PR: 1) (E)

2. Sentimental Value (PR: 3) (+1)

3. Marty Supreme (PR: 2) (-1)

4. After the Hunt (PR: 6) (+2)

5. Bugonia (PR: 4) (-1)

Other Possibilities:

6. Wicked: For Good (PR: 7) (+1)

7. One Battle After Another (PR: 8) (+1)

8. F1 (PR: 5) (-3)

9. Jay Kelly (PR: Not Ranked)

10. Frankenstein (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

The Rivals of Amziah King

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Predicted Nominees:

1. Frankenstein (PR: 1) (E)

2. Wicked: For Good (PR: 2) (E)

3. Sinners (PR: 3) (E)

4. The Smashing Machine (PR: 4) (E)

5. Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Untitled Christy Martin Biopic (PR: 8) (+2)

7. Mother Mary (PR: Not Ranked)

8. 28 Years Later (PR: 6) (-2)

9. Marty Supreme (PR: Not Ranked)

10. Wolf Man (PR: 10) (E)

Dropped Out:

Bugonia

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Best Original Score

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners (PR: 1) (E)

2. Frankenstein (PR: 4) (+2)

3. After the Hunt (PR: 3) (E)

4. Bugonia (PR: 2) (-2)

5. One Battle After Another (PR: 6) (+1)

Other Possibilities:

6. Wicked: For Good (PR: 5) (-1)

7. Sentimental Value (PR: 8) (+1)

8. Jay Kelly (PR: Not Ranked)

9. F1 (PR: 7) (-2)

10. Marty Supreme (PR: 10) (E)

Dropped Out:

The Rivals of Amziah King

Best Original Song

Predicted Nominees:

1. TBD from Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)

2. “I Lied to You” from Sinners (PR: 2) (E)

3. “Dear Me” from Diane Warren: Relentless (PR: 3) (E)

4. TBD from Zootopia 2 (PR: 5) (+1)

5. TBD from Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 4) (-1)

Other Possibilities:

6. TBD from Wicked: For Good (2nd song) (PR: 6) (E)

7. “Golden” from KPOP Demon Hunters (PR: Not Ranked)

8. “Relentless” from Diane Warren Relentless (PR: 7) (-1)

9. TBD from Mother Mary (PR: 10) (+1)

10. “Steve’s Lava Chicken” from A Minecraft Movie (PR: 9) (-1)

Dropped Out:

“Waiting on a Wish” from Snow White

Best Production Design

Predicted Nominees:

1. Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)

2. Frankenstein (PR: 2) (E)

3. Sinners (PR: 3) (E)

4. Hamnet (PR: Not Ranked)

5. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 4) (-1)

Other Possibilities:

6. Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: 5) (-1)

7. One Battle After Another (PR: 7) (E)

8. Bugonia (PR: 6) (-2)

9. Ann Lee (PR: 10) (+1)

10. The Phoenician Scheme (PR: 9) (-1)

Dropped Out:

Marty Supreme

Best Sound

Predicted Nominees:

1. F1 (PR: 1) (E)

2. Wicked: For Good (PR: 3) (+1)

3. Sinners (PR: 2) (-1)

4. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 4) (E)

5. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 6) (+1)

Other Possibilities:

6. Warfare (PR: 5) (-1)

7. Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (PR: 7) (E)

8. Frankenstein (PR: 9) (+1)

9. Superman (PR: 10) (+1)

10. One Battle After Another (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Best Visual Effects

Predicted Nominees:

1. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 1) (E)

2. Wicked: For Good (PR: 2) (E)

3. Superman (PR: 3) (E)

4. The Fantastic Four: First Steps (PR: 5) (+1)

5. Frankenstein (PR: 4) (-1)

Other Possibilities:

6. Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (PR: 6) (E)

7. Tron: Ares (PR: 9) (+2)

8. How to Train Your Dragon (PR: 8) (E)

9. F1 (PR: 7) (-2)

10. Mickey 17 (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

Sinners

And that works out to these movies generating these numbers in terms of nominations:

14 Nomnations

Sinners

10 Nominations

Sentimental Value, Wicked: For Good

8 Nominations

After the Hunt, Frankenstein

7 Nominations

Marty Supreme

6 Nominations

Bugonia

5 Nominations

Hamnet

4 Nominations

Jay Kelly, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

3 Nominations

Avatar: Fire and Ash, It Was Just an Accident

2 Nominatons

Kiss of the Spider Woman, No Other Choice, One Battle After Another, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery, Zootopia 2

1 Nomination

2000 Meters to Andrivka, Ann Lee, Arco, Cutting Through Rocks, Diane Warren: Relentless, Elio, F1, The Fantastic Four: First Steps, In Your Dreams, A Magnificent Life, Mr. Nobody Against Putin, The Perfect Neighbor, The President’s Cake, The Rivals of Amziah King, The Secret Agent, Seeds, The Smashing Machine. Superman

98th Academy Awards Predictions: July 3rd Edition

We are officially past the midway point of 2025 and that’s cause to expand my Oscar predictions to all feature length categories for the 98th Academy Awards!

I would agree with most prognosticators that there’s only one already released film that is guaranteed a slot among the BP nominees – Ryan Coogler’s Sinners. I would also say Joachim Trier’s Sentimental Value, which screened at Cannes and took the Grand Prix (second place), has punched its ticket. As for the Palme d’Or winner It Was Just an Accident, I have it clinging to a BP nod.

Obviously many of the BP hopefuls will elevate or diminish their statuses when festival season kicks off in approximately two months via Toronto, Telluride, and Venice. There is one significant change in my BP selections. For several weeks, I’ve had Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another and Bugonia from Yorgos Lanthimos on the outside looking in. These are two of the higher profile features awaiting their unveiling. I doubt both miss the cut and I went back and forth on which one to include. I’ve gone with Bugonia and that puts Avatar: Fire and Ash on the outside looking in. The Bugonia bump also puts Jesse Plemons in my Best Actor quintet with Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) dropping.

Today’s post gives my first ever preview of the Academy’s new race: Best Casting. As with some other categories, I have Sinners currently leading the way. In fact, my projections have the vampire saga racking up 14 nods. That would tie it with All About Eve, Titanic, and La La Land for the most mentions of any picture in Oscar history.

As in past years, I’m keeping my BP mentions at 25 possibilities with directing, the four acting derbies, and the two screenplay competitions at 15 hopefuls. For all others, I’m giving you 10 contenders. These numbers will dwindle as the categories take shape down the line.

Here’s my first look at all 21 feature length races!

Best Picture

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)

2. Sentimental Value (PR: 2) (E)

3. After the Hunt (PR: 3) (E)

4. Marty Supreme (PR: 4) (E)

5. Jay Kelly (PR: 6) (+1)

6. Wicked: For Good (PR: 5) (-1)

7. Hamnet (PR: 7) (E)

8. Bugonia (PR: 12) (+4)

9. Frankenstein (PR: 8) (-1)

10. It Was Just an Accident (PR: 10) (E)

Other Possibilities:

11. One Battle After Another (PR: 11) (E)

12. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 9) (-3)

13. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 13) (E)

14. The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 15) (+1)

15. The Secret Agent (PR: 16) (+1)

16. The Ballad of a Small Player (PR: 18) (+2)

17. F1 (PR: 24) (+7)

18. A House of Dynamite (PR: 21) (+3)

19. No Other Choice (PR: 19) (E)

20. Rental Family (PR: 20) (E)

21. Die, My Love (PR: 17) (-4)

22. Ann Lee (PR: 23) (+1)

23. The Life of Chuck (PR: 14) (-9)

24. Is This Thing On? (PR: 22) (+2)

25. Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

The Smashing Machine

Best Director

Predicted Nominees:

1. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (PR: 1) (E)

2. Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value (PR: 2) (E)

3. Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (PR: 3) (E)

4. Luca Guadagnino, After the Hunt (PR: 4) (E)

5. Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Yorgos Lanthimos, Bugonia (PR: 10) (+4)

7. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (PR: 6) (-1)

8. Noah Baumbach, Jay Kelly (PR: 11) (+3)

9. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (PR: 9) (E)

10. Jon M. Chu, Wicked: For Good (PR: 8) (-2)

11. Chloé Zhao, Hamnet (PR: 7) (-4)

12. Kieber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (PR: 13) (+1)

13. Andrew Patterson, The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 12) (-1)

14. Edward Berger, The Ballad of a Small Player (PR: Not Ranked)

15. Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

James Cameron, Avatar: Fire and Ash

Scott Cooper, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Best Actress

Predicted Nominees:

1. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value (PR: 1) (E)

2. Julia Roberts, After the Hunt (PR: 2) (E)

3. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good (PR: 3) (E)

4. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet (PR: 4) (E)

5. Jennifer Lawrence, Die, My Love (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Emma Stone, Bugonia (PR: 8) (+2)

7. Amanda Seyfried, Ann Lee (PR: 6) (-1)

8. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (PR: 7) (-1)

9. Tessa Thompson, Hedda (PR: 9) (E)

10. Emma Mackey, Ella McCay (PR: 10) (E)

11. Jessica Lange, Long Day’s Journey Into Night (PR: 11) (E)

12. June Squibb, Eleanor the Great (PR: 14) (+2)

13. Sydney Sweeney, Untitled Christy Martin Biopic (PR: Not Ranked)

14. Lucy Liu, Rosemead (PR: 13) (-1)

15. Amy Adams, At the Sea (PR: 12) (-3)

Dropped Out:

Anne Hathaway, Mother Mary

Best Actor

Predicted Nominees:

1. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme (PR: 1) (E)

2. George Clooney, Jay Kelly (PR: 2) (E)

3. Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 3) (E)

4. Jesse Plemons, Bugonia (PR: 8) (+4)

5. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent (PR: 4) (-2)

7. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another (PR: 6) (-1)

8. Matthew McConaughey, The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 7) (-1)

9. Daniel Day-Lewis, Anemone (PR: 11) (+2)

10. Colin Farrell, The Ballad of a Small Player (PR: 9) (-1)

11. Oscar Isaac, Frankenstein (PR: 10) (-1)

12. Dwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine (PR: 12) (E)

13. Willem Dafoe, Late Fame (PR: Not Ranked)

14. Brendan Fraser, Rental Family (PR: 13) (-1)

15. Will Arnett, Is This Thing On? (PR: 14) (-1)

Dropped Out:

Matthew McConaughey, The Lost Bus

Best Supporting Actress

Predicted Nominees:

1. Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)

2. Ayo Edebiri, After the Hunt (PR: 2) (E)

3. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value (PR: 4) (+1)

4. Gwyneth Paltrow, Marty Supreme (PR: 3) (-1)

5. Angelina LookingGlass, The Rivals of Amziah King (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Laura Dern, Jay Kelly (PR: 7) (+1)

7. Jennifer Lopez, Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: 6) (-1)

8. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleass, Sentimental Value (PR: 8) (E)

9. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another (PR: 9) (E)

10. Regina Hall, One Battle After Another (PR: 10) (E)

11. Emily Blunt, The Smashing Machine (PR: 11) (E)

12. Hailee Steinfeld, Sinners (PR: 12) (E)

13. Thomasin McKenzie, Ann Lee (PR: Not Ranked)

14. Wumni Mosaku, Sinners (PR: 13) (-1)

15. Glenn Close, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

America Ferrera, The Lost Bus

Mari Yamamoto, Rental Family

Best Supporting Actor

Predicted Nominees:

1. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value (PR: 2) (+1)

2. Andrew Garfield, After the Hunt (PR: 3) (+1)

3. Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly (PR: 1) (-2)

4. Delroy Lindo, Sinners (PR: 4) (E)

5. Jeremy Strong, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 5) (E)

Other Possibilities:

6. Paul Mescal, Hamnet (PR: 7) (+1)

7. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another (PR: 6) (-1)

8. Jonathan Bailey, Wicked: For Good (PR: 9) (+1)

9. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein (PR: 13) (+4)

10. Stephen Graham, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 14) (+4)

11. Robert Pattinson, Die, My Love (PR: 8) (-3)

12. Miles Caton, Sinners (PR: 10) (-2)

13. Bradley Cooper, Is This Thing On? (PR: 12) (-1)

14. Mark Hamill, The Life of Chuck (PR: 11) (-3)

15. Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another (PR: Not Ranked)

Dropped Out:

Akira Emoto, Rental Family

Best Original Screenplay

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sentimental Value

2. After the Hunt

3. Jay Kelly

4. Sinners

5. Marty Supreme

Other Possibilities:

6. It Was Just an Accident

7. Sorry, Baby

8. The Rivals of Amziah King

9. The Secret Agent

10. Ann Lee

11. Rental Family

12. Ella McCay

13. Is This Thing On?

14. Nouvelle Vague

15. A House of Dynamite

Best Adapted Screenplay

Predicted Nominees:

1. Hamnet

2. Bugonia

3. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

4. One Battle After Another

5. No Other Choice

Other Possibilities:

6. Frankenstein

7. Wicked: For Good

8. The Life of Chuck

9. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

10. Train Dreams

11. Die, My Love

12. Late Fame

13. Highest 2 Lowest

14. Hedda

15. The Smashing Machine

Best International Feature Film

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sentimental Value

2. It Was Just an Accident

3. The Secret Agent

4. No Other Choice

5. The President’s Cake

Other Possibilities:

6. Sirát

7. Sound of Falling

8. Left-Handed Girl

9. Nouvelle Vague

10. The Love That Remains

Best Animated Feature

Predicted Nominees:

1. Zootopia 2

2. Arco

3. Elio

4. Scarlet

5. In Your Dreams

Other Possibilities:

6. Animal Farm

7. A Magnificent Life

8. Little Amélie or The Character of Rain

9. KPop Demon Hunters

10. Ne Zha 2

Best Documentary Feature

Predicted Nominees:

1. The Perfect Neighbor

2. Seeds

3. 2000 Meters to Andriivka

4. Cutting Through Rocks

5. Deaf President Now!

Other Possibilities:

6. Mr. Nobody Against Putin

7. Apocalypse in the Tropics

8. Orwell 2 + 2 = 5

9. The Six Billion Dollar Man

10. The Librarians

Best Casting

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners

2. After the Hunt

3. Wicked: For Good

4. Sentimental Value

5. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Other Possibilities:

6. Jay Kelly

7. Marty Supreme

8. The Rivals of Amziah King

9. Kiss of the Spider Woman

10. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Best Cinematography

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners

2. Frankenstein

3. Bugonia

4. Marty Supreme

5. The Rivals of Amziah King

Other Possibilities:

6. F1

7. Sentimental Value

8. Nouvelle Vague

9. Avatar: Fire and Ash

10. Wicked: For Good

Best Costume Design

Predicted Nominees:

1. Wicked: For Good

2. Frankenstein

3. Sinners

4. Kiss of the Spider Woman

5. Hamnet

Other Possibilities:

6. Ann Lee

7. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

8. Mother Mary

9. Snow White

10. One Battle After Another

Best Film Editing

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners

2. Marty Supreme

3. Sentimental Value

4. Bugonia

5. F1

Other Possibilities:

6. After the Hunt

7. Wicked: For Good

8. One Battle After Another

9. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

10. The Rivals of Amziah King

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Predicted Nominees:

1. Frankenstein

2. Wicked: For Good

3. Sinners

4. The Smashing Machine

5. Kiss of the Spider Woman

Other Possibilities:

6. 28 Years Later

7. Bugonia

8. Untitled Christy Martin Biopic

9. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

10. Wolf Man

Best Original Score

Predicted Nominees:

1. Sinners

2. Bugonia

3. After the Hunt

4. Frankenstein

5. Wicked: For Good

Other Possibilities:

6. One Battle After Another

7. F1

8. Sentimental Value

9. The Rivals of Amziah King

10. Marty Supreme

Best Original Song

Predicted Nominees:

1. TBD from Wicked: For Good

2. “I Lied to You” from Sinners

3. “Dear Me” from Diane Warren: Relentless

4. TBD from Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

5. TBD from Zootopia 2

Other Possibilities:

6. TBD from Wicked: For Good (second song)

7. “Relentless” from Diane Warren: Relentless

8. “Waiting on a Wish” from Snow White

9. “Steve’s Lava Chicken” from A Minecraft Movie

10. TBD from Mother Mary

Best Production Design

Predicted Nominees:

1. Wicked: For Good

2. Frankenstein

3. Sinners

4. Avatar: Fire and Ash

5. Kiss of the Spider Woman

Other Possibilities:

6. Bugonia

7. One Battle After Another

8. Marty Supreme

9. The Phoenician Scheme

10. Ann Lee

Best Sound

Predicted Nominees:

1. F1

2. Sinners

3. Wicked: For Good

4. Avatar: Fire and Ash

5. Warfare

Other Possibilities:

6. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

7. Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning

8. Kiss of the Spider Woman

9. Frankenstein

10. Superman

Best Visual Effects

Predicted Nominees:

1. Avatar: Fire and Ash

2. Wicked: For Good

3. Superman

4. Frankenstein

5. The Fantastic Four: First Steps

Other Possibilities:

6. Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning

7. F1

8. How to Train Your Dragon

9. Tron: Ares

10. Sinners

Here’s my initial take on how many nominations the various pictures will receive:

14 Nominations

Sinners

11 Nominations

Wicked: For Good

9 Nominations

Sentimental Value

8 Nominations

After the Hunt

7 Nominations

Frankenstein, Marty Supreme

6 Nominatons

Bugonia

4 Nominations

Hamnet, Jay Kelly

3 Nominations

Avatar: Fire and Ash, It Was Just an Accident, Kiss of the Spider Woman, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

2 Nominatons

F1, No Other Choice, The Rivals of Amziah King, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery, Zootopia 2

1 Nomination

2000 Meters to Andrivka, Arco, Cutting Through Rocks, Deaf President Now!, Diane Warren: Relentless, Die, My Love, Elio, The Fantastic Four: First Steps, In Your Dreams, One Battle After Another, The Perfect Neighbor, The President’s Cake, Scarlet, The Secret Agent, Seeds, The Smashing Machine, Superman, Warfare