IF Box Office Prediction

Paramount is banking on John Krasinski’s latest directorial project to make lots of noise at multiplexes when IF debuts on May 17th. Mixing live-action with animation, the comedy’s real-life cast consists of Ryan Reynolds, Cailey Fleming, Fiona Shaw, Alan Kim, Liza Colón-Zayas, Bobby Moynihan, and Krasinski himself. The sprawling list of performers providing voiceover work includes the filmmaker’s Office costar Steve Carell, Phoebe Waller-Bridge, Krasinski’s spouse Emily Blunt, the late Louis Gossett Jr., Matt Damon, Maya Rudolph, Jon Stewart, Sam Rockwell, Sebastian Maniscalco, Christopher Meloni, Richard Jenkins, Awkwafina, Blake Lively, George Clooney, Matthew Rhys, Bradley Cooper, Amy Schumer, Keegan-Michael Key, and Vince Vaughn.

Handling screenplay duties as well, this is a far cry from the director’s A Quiet Place pics. The summer’s first feature geared toward families, this should capitalize on the absence of genre material in the marketplace (it’s been two months since Kung Fu Panda 4). The title, by the way, stands for Imaginary Friend.

The chance for this to rise above expectations seems real. I think it could make $50 million for starters. It could also start out slowly and hope for decent legs in subsequent weekends. A worst case scenario could be $25-30 million. I’m giving it $35-40 million out of the gate.

IF opening weekend prediction: $38.3 million

For my The Strangers: Chapter 1 prediction, click here:

For my Back to Black prediction, click here:

Vengeance Review

After writing and directing episodes (and of course costarring) in The Office, B.J. Novak turns his triple threat talents to his big screen debut Vengeance. This dark comedy takes his Big Apple journalist Ben Manalowitz and bobs him into the Texas waters of Whataburgers, guns, and football. That’s where liking the wrong college gridiron squad is enough to get your car blown up (something that’s very believable to this reviewer typing this in Columbus, Ohio).

We meet Ben on the East Coast having a vapid conversation at a party with a guy named John played by none other than John Mayer. They extol the virtues of being single along with proper text etiquette for a late night booty call. His detachment to commitment is evidenced by the way he saves women in his phone. For example, there’s “Brunette Random House Party”. This eventually causes confusion because Ben can’t remember if that listing refers to a hookup from a casual gathering or a dark haired girl from an event put on by the publishing giant.

One of the entries is Abby Shaw. Ben hasn’t seen her for a little while and one night (while in bed with the aforementioned Random), he gets a call that she’s dead. Not only has she passed, but her brother Ty (Boyd Holbrook) suspects murder. And there’s no ifs, ands, or buts as Ben is expected to travel to Abby’s home Lone Star state for the funeral. The Shaw family, from sassy grandma to a little brother called El Stupido (he’s not offended because he doesn’t speak Spanish), were led to think their guest was her serious boyfriend. The Shaw clan also assumes Ben will be up for finding and extending Texas style justice to the killer.

Ben makes the trip for business and not revenge reasons as he believes this could make an intriguing and profitable podcast. His producer Eloise (Issa Rae) agrees. She reasons that dead white girls always sell. It’s not until Abby’s demise that Ben starts to learn about his former fling and maybe even care about her. He needs to figure out whether she was offed or if it was the opiate overdose that was offered as an official explanation. This means talking to the locals who are constantly quirky and consistently armed. Sometimes it feels like Novak’s screenplay has its characters act opposite of their caricatures for a quick and cheap chuckle.

One exception is Ashton Kutcher’s record producer where Abby was cutting demos. He has two big scenes and shines in both. The first is when the movie is on an upswing. The second occurs as this is collapsing under the weight of its admirable ambitions with an ending that rings false.

This isn’t a real story – it’s about how a faceless legion of podcast listeners will react to these characters (never mind that they’re actual people). At least that’s how Ben and his producer approach Abby’s demise. The script is filled with many fascinating ideas about divisions in the country represented by the lead’s New Yorker in this desolate setting. Novak doesn’t quite manage to bring it together though there’s plenty of genuinely funny dialogue and setups along the way. By the third act, his character’s actions defy believability.

Vengeance may eventually serve as our recording of a first time director somewhat clumsily finding his way. The targets hit are mostly in the comedic space while those with heftier themes tend to misfire. There’s times when I wanted to give the filmmaker a Texas sized toast for the attempt. When the script’s less effective elements pop up… well, bless his heart for trying.

**1/2 (out of four)

Oscar Predictions: Vengeance

B.J. Novak is known to most folks for his in front of the camera work on NBC’s The Office. You may not know he also served as a director, writer, and producer for the beloved show. His theatrical debut is the comedic mystery Vengeance and it’s out in theaters this weekend.

The filmmaker stars in the pic that premiered in June at the Tribeca Film Festival. Novak’s costars include Boyd Holbrook, Dove Cameron, Issa Rae, and Ashton Kutcher.

Reviews are solid and it sits at 84% on Rotten Tomatoes. This doesn’t, however, appear to be the type of effort that would garner awards chatter. My guess is it’ll also slip through the cracks with HFPA voters for the Golden Globes (in the Musical/Comedy races). My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

A Quiet Place Movie Review

Prior to this, John Krasinki’s most notable contribution to the sound of silence was his wordless and humorous deadpan expressions that populated each episode of “The Office”. That all changes with A Quiet Place, his supremely satisfying horror flick that uses the absence of noise in scary ways.

Tense and well-crafted, the pic is set in the near future as alien creatures roam the Earth and destroy anything that makes a sound in its path. The Abbott family exists in a rural town where seemingly all other humans couldn’t keep their mouths shut. Lee (Krasinski) and wife Evelyn (the director’s real-life wife Emily Blunt) are raising three youngsters – their deaf daughter Regan (Millicent Simmonds) and two younger brothers. Their every move and action is designed not to elevate decibel levels to dastardly outcomes. A battery-powered toy causes a family tragedy.

About a year later, the Abbotts are coping with loss while Evelyn is in the final days of a pregnancy. This brings the natural question: how in the world can they survive with a baby on the way? The film takes careful consideration of the details to their staying alive. The characters are in a persistent state of worry. So are we.

A Quiet Place has a simple concept and wisely doesn’t waste time explaining the events that put the Abbotts in their predicament. We know we need to know. Make a sound and you’re a goner. Perhaps sequels or spin-offs will delve into the history. It’s not exactly necessary. Krasinski had previously made two comedic dramas that made little impact with critics or audiences. We did not know he was capable of something like this and it’s an announcement of a filmmaker who’s found a roaring place in this genre. There’s some Spielberg influence, a sprinkle of Shyamalan, some Hitchcockian stuff here and there. Additionally there’s an Alien vibe happening. That classic’s tagline was “In space, no one can you hear you scream.” The rule is Earthbound here. Yet it also feels highly original at times.

Much of the film is silent itself save for the solid musical score. We don’t even get the amount of symphonic jump scares that you might expect. Like many famous horror titles, A Quiet Place has something to say about parenting and you may find yourself reconsidering its themes of that subject once the credits roll. Krasinski and Blunt are convincing as the protectors of their always vulnerable flock. Simmonds (who is deaf herself) is terrific. The picture is pulled off well enough that you may find yourself tempted to tip toe immediately afterwards.

***1/2 (out of four)