Oscar Predictions: No Other Choice

No Other Choice is the newest feature from acclaimed South Korean filmmaker Park Chan-wook and it has premiered in Venice. With domestic distribution by Neon, the satirical thriller is expected to hit domestic screens later this year. It is based on a 1997 novel by Donald Westlake. The cast is led by Lee Byung-hun with supporting turns from Son Ye-jin, Park Hee-soon, Lee Sung-min, Yeom Hye-ran, and Cha Seung-won.

Chan-wook has made critical darlings including Oldboy, The Handmaiden, and Decision to Leave. Yet none of his efforts have been recognized by the Academy in the International Feature Film derby. 2022’s Leave was widely expected to do so and its snub was one of the biggest shockers on that nomination morning.

Choice certainly has the reviews to change that with 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and 86 on Metacritic. In a best case scenario, it could branch out from IFF and into Best Picture with Chan-wook in the directing quintet, Byung-hun in Actor, and an Adapted Screenplay mention. I think the most likely scenario is inclusion in IFF and the screenplay race. There’s also the possibility that the Academy ignores it like they did with Leave. However, one could argue that pic’s snub could help his latest. One thing to keep an eye is Neon’s bandwidth in their campaigns. In the international competition, they will also be juggling Sentimental Value (the frontrunner at this juncture), Palme d’Or winner It Was Just an Acciddent, and the heralded The Secret Agent and Sirât (both Cannes favorites). I wouldn’t put it past Neon to successfully shine lights on all of them though it could be a stretch. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Decision to Leave

South Korean filmmaker Park Chan-wook is highly acclaimed for features including Oldboy and The Handmaiden. His latest is the romantic thriller Decision to Leave, which has premiered at Cannes.

Starring Tang Wei and Park Hae-il, critics are praising Chan-wook’s effort with a current Rotten Tomatoes score of 92%. As is often the case with the director, the cinematography by Kim Ji-yong is drawing particular raves. Oscar voters have yet to honor its maker’s filmography. Despite the positive buzz, Leave could face an uphill battle for the Academy’s attention.

The primary reason is the country of origin. I have a feeling South Korea may select another pic from one of its best known directors – Hirokazu Kore’ada’s Broker – as their contestant for International Feature Film. It also premiered in France and its kudos are arguably louder. That would leave Decision out of the running. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…