The Iron Claw Box Office Prediction

A24 drops The Iron Claw into multiplexes on December 22nd. The wrestling biopic focuses on the Von Erich family, who were prominent in the sport during the 1980s. Sean Durkin directs with Zac Efron, Jeremy Allen White, Harris Dickinson, Maura Tierney, Holt McCallany, and Lily James headlining.

Critical reaction is impressive with 91% on Rotten Tomatoes. In my Oscar Predictions post earlier this week, I maintain that this would be more of an awards contender had it played the festival circuit early in the fall.

Fans of wrestling and adult moviegoers looking for entertainment over the holiday weekend could cause this to over perform. $6-7 million would be a decent start from Friday to Monday (Christmas) and I think it could exceed that a little.

The Iron Claw opening weekend prediction: $8.7 million (Friday to Monday estimate)

For my Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom prediction, click here:

For my Migration prediction, click here:

For my Anyone but You prediction, click here:

For my Poor Things prediction, click here:

For my The Color Purple prediction, click here:

For my Ferrari prediction, click here:

For my The Boys in the Boat prediction, click here:

For my Salaar: Part 1 – Ceasefire prediction, click here:

Oscar Predictions: The Iron Claw

The Iron Claw is in theaters on December 22nd as it tells the true life tale of the Von Erich family of wrestlers. Recounting their triumphs and many tragedies, Sean Durkin writes and directs a cast including Zac Efron, Jeremy Allen White, Harris Dickinson, Maura Tierney, Holt McCallany, and Lily James.

The A24 release’s review embargo lifted today and the Rotten Tomatoes meter stands at an impressive 93%. Frankly, I’m surprised the sports biopic chose to forego screenings at festivals like Toronto and Telluride. That could’ve built awards buzz for the picture itself, as well as Efron and White.

I wonder now it it’s too late in the season for Claw to reach voters. While it did make the cut in the National Board of Review’s 10 best, it was nowhere to be seen with AFI or at the Golden Globe nominations. If Claw can manage to squeeze into the SAG nods next month (for Best Ensemble or with Efron or White individually), that could help visibility with the Academy. Right now I think the likeliest scenario is it comes up empty-handed on Oscar nom morning. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…