I Know What You Did Last Summer Box Office Prediction

Sony hopes horror fans get hooked on the nostalgic scares of I Know What You Did Last Summer on July 18th. It restarts the late 90s franchise that capitalized on Kevin Williamson’s notoriety from Scream (he penned both). Jennifer Kaytin Robinson directs with Madelyn Cline, Chase Sui Wonders, Jonah Hauer-King, Tyriq Winters, Sarah Pidgeon, and Billy Campbell among the cast. Jennifer Love Hewitt and Freddie Prinze Jr. reprise their roles from the features over a quarter century ago.

The teen centric slasher from 1997 was a financial success ($72 million domestically) while 1998 follow-up I Still Know What You Did Last Summer couldn’t measure up with $40 million stateside. This series may not hold the same reverence that Scream does among genre fans. Name brand familiarity could still mean decent grosses.

Tracking has this pegged in the mid to late teens. I think it could go higher in the low 20s, but I’ll go with the expectations.

I Know What You Did Last Summer opening weekend prediction: $17.7 million

For my Smurfs prediction, click here:

For my Eddington prediction, click here:

Oscar Predictions: The Friend

The Friend played Telluride and is about to hit Toronto and the dramedy has found some allies already. Based on the novel by Sigrid Nunez, the team known as Siegel & McGehee direct. They are known for indie pics such as The Deep End, What Maisie Knew, and Montana Story. Naomi Watts is a writer caring for her late mentor’s dog. Supporting work comes from Bill Murray (as said mentor), Sarah Pidgeon, Constance Wu, Ann Dowd, Owen Teague, and Carla Gugino. There’s also what’s said to be a terrific performance by Great Dane Bing as Apollo.

Several critics, while saying The Friend is formulaic, also say it often rises above similar doggie tales. Early buzz indicates it earns the tears of audience members. The Rotten Tomatoes score is 100% with Metacritic at 70.

Still seeking domestic distribution, it remains to be seen whether this makes the 2024 cut. If so, Watts is getting plenty of applause. She’s a two-time nominee for 2003’s 21 Grams and 2012’s The Impossible. Becoming a contender isn’t an impossibility, but it is a stretch. There’s no Best Canine category so Bing doesn’t need his tux pressed. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…