Oscar Predictions: The History of Sound

The History of Sound features Paul Mescal and Josh O’Connor as musicians involved in a romance during the World War I era. Costars include Chris Cooper, Molly Price, Raphael Sbarge, and Hadley Robinson. The Cannes premiere is from Oliver Hermanus, who last directed Bill Nighy to a lead Actor nom for 2022’s Living.

Unlike A Complete Unknown from the previous ceremony, don’t expect this folk song heavy drama to be a major Academy contender. Plenty of reviews are respectful, but this is not a festival breakout with 70% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 62 Metacritic. Mescal and O’Connor could have other opportunities this year with Hamnet and The Mastermind respectively. Sound is unlikely to offer their names for consideration. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Living

From a randy aging rock star in Love Actually to Dave Jones in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise, Bill Nighy has been turning up in notable roles for years. Yet the acclaimed English thespian hasn’t gotten his awards bait role to date. That could change with Living, which has premiered at Sundance over the weekend.

Set in 1950s London, the remake of Akira Kurosawa’s 1952 pic Ikiru casts Nighy as a government worker diagnosed with a terminal illness. Costars include Aimee Lou Wood, Alex Sharp, and Tom Burke. Kazuo Ishiguro, who wrote the source material for 1993’s The Remains of the Day (which nabbed Best Picture and acting noms) is the screenwriter. Initial reviews (under 10 thus far) give it a 100% Rotten Tomatoes score.

For a well-regarded actor of Nighy’s stature, this certainly seems like something that could be catnip for BAFTA voters. Whether the Academy follows suit might be determined by how robust its campaign is and that, of course, remains to be seen in the days and months ahead. My Oscar Predictions posts will continue…